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 October 22-24 Predictions 
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
Post October 22-24 Predictions
I'll do just the openers for now...

The Grudge- $22.8 million
Surviving Christmas- $12.3 million
I Heart Huckabees- $5.2 million


Last edited by zingy on Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:48 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:39 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48667
Location: Arlington, VA
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The Grudge - $22.7 million
Surviving Christmas - $11.8 mullion
I Heart Huckabees - $6.3 million


Last edited by Libs on Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:47 pm
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Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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1. The Grudge - $16.0
2. Shark Tale - $14.4
3. Surviving Christmas - $10.4
4. Friday Night Lights - $8.2
5. Team America - $5.5
6. Ladder 49 - $5.4
7. Taxi - $4.2
8. The Forgotten - $3.7

I think Shark Tale has a 20% chance at remaining #1 for 4 weeks in a row. The Grudge looks quite stupid in my opinion and people aren't ready for a Christmas Movie. I actually think Surviving Christmas will open in the $7-9 million range. I think they will probably rerelease it close to Christmas.


Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:56 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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I think it's almost a gaurantee that The Grudge will do $20 million this weekend. All the teens are hyped up for it, it's the first real horror movie of October and close to Halloween, The Forgotten was a nice success, and it's got a Ring-like vibe.


Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:03 pm
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rustiphica

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:59 pm
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The Grudge - 21 M
Surviving Christmas - 8M (if advertising doesn't start soon) 13 (if ads start up)
I Heart Huckabees - 4M


Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:09 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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I see a lot of advertising for Surviving Christmas.


Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:11 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
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1. The Grudge - $22.5 million
2. Shark Tale - $15.5 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $12 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $8.5 million
5. Shall We Dance? - $7 million
6. Team America: World Police - $7 million
7. I ♥ Huckabees - $6.5 million
8. Ladder 49 - $5.5 million
9. Taxi - $4.5 million
10. The Forgotten - $4 million

The Grudge could perform like The Ring though ($15 million opening, fantastic legs).

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Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:18 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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Only predicted The grudge for now.

22.5m and it will be number 1.

BOM has it at 3000+ theatres, so 22.5m should be obtainable.


Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:25 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
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THE GRUDGE- $21.5M
SHARK TALE- $15.1M
SURVIVING CHRISTMAS- $10.1M
FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS- $7.8M
SHALL WE DANCE- $7M
TEAM AMERICA: WORLD POLICE- $6.8M
I HEART HUCKABEES- $5.9M
LADDER 49- $4.1M
TAXI- $3.4M
THE FORGOTTEN- $3.2M


Mon Oct 18, 2004 5:59 pm
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Hot Fuss

Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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I've seen little advertising for Surving Xmas. Should make a little dent in the top 5.

The Grudge: 15.8 - Not feeling it yet. I'm not anti horror, but, the ads are really stupid imo. It doesn't even have the Sixth Sense style appeal the Forgotten had. It looks like Dragonfly meets I Know What You Did Last Summer.... not good!

Surving Xmas - 8.1 for now

I Heart Huckabees - 6.8m - I want this to succeed so bad. I love the cast, and Jude Law. Its a must see in my book!


Mon Oct 18, 2004 6:12 pm
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Indiana Jones IV
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The Grudge.... ir eally havent seen any ads for this yet so i'm going to give it at 15.7 because look at the ring. It only made 18 million its first weekend and if you guys are saying that it has a ring type movie then it will perform like the ring but with shorter legs.

Surviving Christmas 7.2. Christmas dont survive in october!!!! what are they thinking. I havent even thought about Christmas or the holidays yet and we got movies that are. I'm still psyched about the leaves chaging here and Halloween. I wouldnt even be suprised if it opened with 5 million because this can't be good. Do you think Santa Clause 2 would do good if it was relased in September. Hell no. So why would a lower budget film with no big names (Ben Affleck is not a big name he uses his good looks to get around) to do good in october. Hell no.

Not sure about I love Huckabees so i'll just agree with everyone here and say about 5.1

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Mon Oct 18, 2004 7:37 pm
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You must have big rats
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Very early predictions:

1. The Grudge - $23.9 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.8 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $11.3 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $8 million
5. Shall We Dance? - $7.8 million
6. Team America: World Police - $5.9 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.4 million
8. I <3 Huckabees - $4.8 million
9. Taxi - $4.6 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.3 million

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Mon Oct 18, 2004 7:38 pm
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Teenage Dream

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
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1. The Grudge - $26.7
2. Shark Tale - $15.4
3. Surviving Christmas - $10.1
4. Friday Night Lights - $7.9
5. Shall We Dance? - $7.1
6. Team America: World Police - $6.0
7. I Heart Huckabees - $5.7
8. Ladder 49 - $5.5
9. Taxi - $4.6
10. The Forgotten - $3.9


Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:00 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Location: Arlington, VA
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zach wrote:
I've seen little advertising for Surving Xmas. Should make a little dent in the top 5.

The Grudge: 15.8 - Not feeling it yet. I'm not anti horror, but, the ads are really stupid imo. It doesn't even have the Sixth Sense style appeal the Forgotten had. It looks like Dragonfly meets I Know What You Did Last Summer.... not good!

Surving Xmas - 8.1 for now

I Heart Huckabees - 6.8m - I want this to succeed so bad. I love the cast, and Jude Law. Its a must see in my book!


Well, I thought I Heart Huckabees was the most disappointing movie of the year.

Maybe I just didn't "get it", but I dunno...


Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:04 pm
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Teenage Dream

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
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Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if The Grudge cleared $30 million this weekend. Halloween is right around the corner, the ads are all over the place, it actually looks scary, it's PG-13, there hasn't been a horror flick in a while... I just think all the cards are lined up.


Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:07 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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I say over 10m for Surviving Christmas but not over 15m, with okay legs it should make like 45m.


Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:53 pm
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Waitress in LA
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Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:20 am
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I said this on BOM, but anyway, let me repeat myself. This is like that weekend from last month all over again when Sky Captain opened and did rather poorly, and the next week The Forgotten opened and did over 20 million. And The Forgotten was the last horror movie to be released, so... yeah. It's about time for a new one, and The Grudge has had really effective TV spots, a lot better then The Forgotten's, in my opinion. The Grudge just has perfect timing, and excellent promotion.

1. The Grudge - $24.8 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.9 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $12.2 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $9.1 million
5. Team America: World Police - $7.2 million
6. Shall We Dance? - $6.8 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.7 million
8. I <3 Huckabees - $4.3 million
9. Taxi - $3.8 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.1 million


Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:23 am
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
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1. The Grudge - $26.8 million
2. Shark Tale - $15.6 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $11.2 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $8.4 million
5. Team America: World Police - $9.0 million
6. Shall We Dance? - $7.0 million
8. I <3 Huckabees - $5.9 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.5 million
9. Taxi - $3.8 million
10. The Forgotten - $2.1 million (Grudge will cause a big drop)


Tue Oct 19, 2004 1:32 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Coasterman2002 wrote:
The Grudge.... ir eally havent seen any ads for this yet so i'm going to give it at 15.7 because look at the ring. It only made 18 million its first weekend and if you guys are saying that it has a ring type movie then it will perform like the ring but with shorter legs.


The Ring was released in only 1981 theaters, while The Grudge is in over 3000 theaters. I'm going to look closely to the screen counts per theater, but a PTA of $6000 should be easy.


Tue Oct 19, 2004 1:39 pm
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The Grudge $24.4m
Surviving Christmas $5.5m
I Heart Huckabees $4.4m


Tue Oct 19, 2004 4:21 pm
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 9:09 pm
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The Grudge-$23.4 million
Surviving Christmas-$13.2 million (I've been seeing a lot of ads for this)
I Heart Huckabees-$5.5 millino


Tue Oct 19, 2004 5:46 pm
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Nebs wrote:
Surviving Christmas $5.5m


Kind of low...

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Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:49 pm
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I'm just a hater, don't mind me. ;)


Seriously, it will be higher that prediction of mine at the end most likely.


Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:22 pm
Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
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I think that Shark Tale will drop like 30% but I wouldn't be suprised to see a lower drop.


Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:32 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10968
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1.The Grudge:21.5
2.Shark Tale:14.9
3.Surviving Christmas:8.8
4.Friday night lights:7.6
5.Team America:7.4
6.Shall we Dance?:7.4
7.Ladder 49:5.2
8.Taxie:4.2
9.The Forgotten:3.9
10.I Heart Huckabees:3.3


Wed Oct 20, 2004 1:55 pm
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