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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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 November 19-21 Predictions You guys know what to do.
Spongebob Squarepants- $48.5 million
National Treasure- $23.2 million
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $21.0 million
Last edited by zingy on Sat Nov 20, 2004 8:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 2:33 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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1. The Spongebob Squarepants Move - $62.3 (I know it can go higher)
2. The Incredibles - $31.2 (-35%)
3. National Treasure - $26.9 (Looks good as well)
4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $16.1 (+89%)
5. The Polar Express - $13.9 (-36%)
6. After the Sunset - $5.6 (-47%) National Treasure competition
7. Ray - $5.4 (-36%)
8. Seed of Chucky - $2.9 (-64%)
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 5:59 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Only the openers for now:
Spongebob Squarepants - $31.5 million
National Treasure - $24.8 million
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $18.8 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:05 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Spongebob Squarepants: $47 million
National Treasure: $20 million
Bridget Jones 2: $19 million
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:31 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5815
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Has Spongebob Nielsen ratings ever surpassed The Rugrats at its peak?
1. The Incredibles - $31.3 million
2. Spongebob Squarepants - $28 million (slightly higher than The Rugrats Movie opening, which didn't even have competition back then)
3. National Treasure - $18 million
4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $13.3 million (big PTA drop is expected)
5. The Polar Express - $12.4 million
6. After the Sunset - $5.7 million
7. Ray - $4.4 million
8. The Grudge - $3.9 million
9. Saw - $3.4 million
10. Seed of Chucky - $2.8 million
**Sideways - $1.9 million
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 9:53 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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The Incredibles: $33.0 million
Spongebob Squarpants: $27 million (I've posted other predictions, but I've also felt this movie wasn't going to open with more than $30 million)
National Treasure: $22 million
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason: $17 million
_________________
See above.
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 10:54 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25322
Location: Classified
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Spongebob - $62M (slightly optimistic, but I think it can do it and possibly more)
Incredibles - $31M
National Treasure - $28M (low for now)
Spongebobs marketing has been great. It's been appealing to kids and adults alike. Think any of it's "target" Nick crowd has any idea who David Hasselhoff is?
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 12:19 am |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
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1. The Spongebob Squarepants Move - $34.3
2. The Incredibles - $33.2
3. National Treasure - $28.0
4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $23.1
5. The Polar Express - $134
6. After the Sunset - $5.6
7. Ray - $5.5
8. Seed of Chucky - $2.7
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 9:41 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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I really think National Treasure is being over-predicted. Hmm.
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 11:53 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5815
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Don't forget people that this is Bridget Jones' second weekend. A lot of these predictions look like an opening weekend prediction (excessively high especially since the movie's biggest fans already saw it this weekend).
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 12:12 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Sponge Bob 28.5 million
National Treasure 19.0 million
Bridget Jones 20.0 million
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 1:19 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Hmmm....Bridget Jones' estimated threatre count was revised to 1800+
My new prediction:
$15.9 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 1:34 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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The Incredibles: $33.8m
Spongebob: $32.3m
Spongebob is popular, but really, it's not THAT popular that it will appeal to anyone except their own audience.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 5:36 pm |
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RB652
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sun Nov 07, 2004 12:23 pm
Posts: 403
Location: New York City
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Spongebob Squarepants- $42.5 million
National Treasure- $21.7 million
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $16.9 million
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| Sun Nov 14, 2004 6:57 pm |
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Futureboy
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:18 pm
Posts: 139
Location: The Emerald City
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Opening -
SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS: $42.2M (What a wild card! This is the best guess...could do under $30M or over $55M!)
BRIDGET JONES 2: $19.6M (If 2000+ screens...high hopes for a significant bump!)
NATIONAL TREASURE: $17.2M (Why would someone pay for this?)
Holdovers -
THE INCREDIBLES: $30.5M (Probably the biggest drop of its leggy run)
POLAR EXPRESS: $16.2M (Needs this small drop for it to do $125M+...which it needs to be considered a mild success)
_________________My dvd collection is getting insane: http://futureboy.dvdaf.com/owned?rc=1
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| Mon Nov 15, 2004 3:14 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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1. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $41.7 million
2. The Incredibles - $30.3 million
3. National Treasure - $19.9 million
4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $16.1 million
5. The Polar Express - $15.8 million
6. After the Sunset - $6.5 million
7. Ray - $5.6 million
8. The Grudge - $4.4 million
9. Saw - $3.9 million
10. Seed of Chucky - $3.8 million
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| Mon Nov 15, 2004 6:48 pm |
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Groucho
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm
Posts: 12096
Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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I think everyone is overpredicting Spongebob and underpredicting National Treasure. But we'll see in a few days... :wink:
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| Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:18 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I think people really underpredict The Polar Express' second weekend. I see it making $17.5+ million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Nov 18, 2004 9:53 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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My predicitons and analysis will be posted on KJ site tomorrow.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:27 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Derby
1. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $64.9 (NEW)
2. The Incredibles - $32.0 (-36.4%)
3. National Treasure - $28.1 (NEW)
4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $16.3 (+88%)
5. The Polar Express - $14.8 (-36.7%)
6. After the Sunset - $5.6 (-50%)
7. Ray - $5.4 (-38%)
8. The Grudge - $3.8 (-46%)
9. Seed of Chucky - $3.5 (-60%)
10. Saw - $3.4 (-47%)
Top 10 Total: $177.6
My total is the only thing that makes me cautious. Could we really have a weekend this big?
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| Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:47 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Final Predictions
1. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $40.2 million (NEW)
2. The Incredibles - $32.7 million (-34.9%)
3. National Treasure - $21.1 million (NEW)
4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $18.4 million (+111.5%)
5. The Polar Express - $15.6 million (-33.1%)
6. After The Sunset - $6.1 million (-45.0%)
7. Ray - $5.7 million (-32.1%)
8. The Grudge - $4.1 million ( -41.4%)
9. Seed of Chucky - $3.8 million (-56.8%)
10. Saw - $3.6 million (-44.0%)
11. Sideways - $1.9 million (+35.7%)
12. Finding Neverland - $.855 million (+388%)
Total Weekend Gross: $152.4 million
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| Thu Nov 18, 2004 11:46 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15540
Location: Everywhere
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Scott Vasquez wrote: My predicitons and analysis will be posted on KJ site tomorrow. Same here.
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| Thu Nov 18, 2004 11:46 pm |
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Ragnarok
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
Posts: 131
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Final Predictions:
1. The Incredibles - $32.1 mil
2. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $25.5 mil
3. National Treasure - $24.3 mil
4. The Polar Express - $17.2 mil
5. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $15.4 mil
6. After the Sunset - $6 mil
7. Ray - $5.3 mil
8. The Grudge - $4 mil
9. Saw - $3.6 mil
10. Seed of Chucky - $3.5 mil
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| Fri Nov 19, 2004 7:30 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15540
Location: Everywhere
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Here is what I went with for Survivor:
The Incredibles $33.42 m
Spongebob Squarepants $32.45 m
National Treasure $32.45 m
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason $19.64 m
The Polar Express $17.12 m
After The Sunset $6.19 m
Ray $5.27 m
The Grudge $3.67 m
Saw - 3.2m (for the derby)
Seed of Chucky $3.17 m
Sideways $1.763 m
Finding Neverland $0.770 m
I was thinking of going much lower for National Treasure, but I have confidence in this movie, so I'll take the risk. BTW, I can't make up my mind about which film will get the number 2 spot. :wink:
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| Fri Nov 19, 2004 7:56 am |
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Anonymous
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Survivor...
The Incredibles $34.1m
Spongebob $30.1m
National Treasure $22.1m
Polar Express $15.1m
Bridget Jones $14.8m
After the sunset $6.2m
Ray $5.3m
Seed of Chucky $3.6m
Sideways $1.8m
Finding Neverland $1.11m
For Derby Saw $3.7m and The Grudge $4.4m iirc.
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| Fri Nov 19, 2004 11:16 am |
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