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 Closer Predictions Thread - $7,700,000 
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Well it looks like its at 59% currently at RT and it seems like its about 72% at cream of the crop. I predict it will end up around 63% fresh and about 73% at cream of the crop. Not bad but not great either especially for a oscar contender


Thu Dec 02, 2004 9:37 pm
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I have to change my predictions from $7.7m to 5.5m and the total will be about $42m...


Fri Dec 03, 2004 8:29 am
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It now stands at 64% Fresh/67% Cream of the Crop. Average rating is 6.7/10.

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Fri Dec 03, 2004 10:05 am
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RT Rating: 64% (Average Rating: 6.3/10)
Metascore: 64%


Metascore and RT match each other which pretty much suggests that that is where the movie will end up. I see it remaining around the same at MetaCritic and getting to around 69% at RT. That is, as Roid Rage said, not bad, but it's not excellent either. Nonetheless, I think that people and normal moviegoers get the impression of this movie being mostly well-liked and praised by critics, therefore, I predict a high PTA in its opening weekend and a healthy run.

Final predictions:

Opening weekend - $5.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

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Fri Dec 03, 2004 10:33 am
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/reviews/?id=closer.htm

BOM's Review of Closer: F


Fri Dec 03, 2004 10:38 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/reviews/?id=closer.htm

BOM's Review of Closer: F


Worse than Alexander and Kranks? Yea...


Fri Dec 03, 2004 10:46 pm
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Chris wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/reviews/?id=closer.htm

BOM's Review of Closer: F


Worse than Alexander and Kranks? Yea...


BOM's taste is a little odd, IMO. At least it seems to be on the opposite side of mine in many instances. :P

I have read a lot of reviews and gone to different forums, and the general consensus is that the actings are good, but the characters are just impossible to like. It's cold, very cold.


Fri Dec 03, 2004 10:50 pm
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In this whole year, these are the only movies to get F's from BOM:

Welcome to Mooseport
Scooby Doo 2: Monster's Unleashed
Envy
Soul Plane
White Chicks
Fahrenheit 9/11
Suspect Zero
Friday Night Lights
Closer


Wow. To say that Closer is to the level of Scooby Doo 2 and Envy is really saying something.


Fri Dec 03, 2004 10:54 pm
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Well, at least Friday Night Lights is on there. I thought that was a good movie. And F 9/11 seems like a well put together movie, so...I still can't believe Kranks got a D+. :roll:


Sat Dec 04, 2004 7:30 am
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My final predictions are $5.6m/$59m

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Sat Dec 04, 2004 11:40 am
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RT Rating: 68% (Average Rating: 6.6/10)
Metascore: 63%

I believe that in the end Closer will finish with around 70% at RT. Not bad, but not astounding either.

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Sat Dec 04, 2004 1:24 pm
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Predictions:


Opening weekend:

DP07 - $2.9 million
Scott Vasquez - $4.2 million
RogueCommander - $4.3 million
Animosity Reigns - $4.5 million
Zingaling - $4.5 million
Nebs - $4.6 million
roidrage - $4.8 million
micasey300 - $5.1 million
Samweis Gamdschie - $5.5 million
BigMoviePimp - $5.6 million
Dr. Lecter - $5.9 million
newfoundglorysp - $6.2 million
Archie Gates - $7 million
Algren - $7 million
greasedlightning - $7.2 million
jmart007 - $8.2 million
BJ - $8.6 million


Total gross:

DP07 - $24 million
RogueCommander - $27.4 million
Scott Vasquez - $34.1 million
micasey300 - $41 million
Archie Gates - $42 million
Samweis Gamdschie - $42 million
roidrage - $43 million
Nebs - $44 million
newfoundglorysp - $45.7 million
jmart007 - $56.5 million
BigMoviePimp - $59 million
Zingaling - $62 million
greasedlightning - $63.5 million
Algren - $64 million
Dr. Lecter - $74 million
Animosity Reigns - $75 million
BJ - $92 million

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sat Dec 04, 2004 1:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 04, 2004 1:48 pm
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You missed me. Am I that disgusting?

;)


Sat Dec 04, 2004 1:55 pm
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Nebs wrote:
You missed me. Am I that disgusting?

;)


No, but I think I start getting Alzheimer when it comes to Croatians. You were supposed to be included that Tribute that I have written, I even wrote down your name on the list, but in the end forgot to include you in the actual post. :lol:

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Sat Dec 04, 2004 2:01 pm
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This should be between jmart007 and BJ. Good job, guys! :)

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Sat Dec 04, 2004 4:52 pm
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If Samweis Gamdschie stuck with his original $7.7 million prediction, he'd have nailed it. ;)

As for now, it's right between greasedlightning ($7.2 million) and jmart007 ($8.2 million). The actuals will tell.

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Sun Dec 05, 2004 2:27 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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*hides in shame over low Closer prediction*


Sun Dec 05, 2004 2:46 pm
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roidrage wrote:
*hides in shame over low Closer prediction*


Hey, yours by far wasn't the lowest one. But as I said, a $10,000 PTA was a given ;)

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Sun Dec 05, 2004 3:11 pm
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So, what movies do you think shall I track Closer against?

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Sun Dec 05, 2004 3:29 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
So, what movies do you think shall I track Closer against?


Hard to find one. Normally a film like this doesn't do 476 theaters right away. It's either very limited or over 1000 theaters the first week. Bridget Jones 2 obviously first comes to mind, but that's a sequal and not an oscar contender. I was thinking about The Hours, but that was in very limited release for 3 weeks before expanded to 402 theaters in January, so the daily gross will be quite different.


Tue Dec 07, 2004 2:44 am
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Wow at the F at Box Office Mojo.
I had the pleasure of seeing it 2 days ago and it is a fantastic film, don't listen to the reviews. :wink:


Tue Dec 07, 2004 6:47 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
So, what movies do you think shall I track Closer against?

BJ:Edge of Reason. Both anglophilic romance oriented movies that had mixed reviews and mixed reactions.


Tue Dec 07, 2004 6:51 pm
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Archie Gates wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
So, what movies do you think shall I track Closer against?

BJ:Edge of Reason. Both anglophilic romance oriented movies that had mixed reviews and mixed reactions.


I don't think they match. Closer also isn't expanding to more than 2000 theaters immediately as The Edge of Reason did. The Edge of Reason is also a sequal, while the anticipation for Closer is more from its award buzz and cast. Love Actually may be a better comparison.


Tue Dec 07, 2004 7:02 pm
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You could be right, but I think Love Actually was more liked by its audience. I used BJ:EOR as a guide to my predicting the first weekend which is why I mentioned it is all.


Wed Dec 08, 2004 1:59 pm
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