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 Barbie predictions 
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
Shoutout to Barrabás though with maybe the most correct prediction in this thread:

Barrabás wrote:
I think this will pulverize Oppenheimer. Maybe even 2x as big an opening.


Sat Aug 05, 2023 10:46 am
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
Jonathan wrote:
Shoutout to Barrabás though with maybe the most correct prediction in this thread:

Barrabás wrote:
I think this will pulverize Oppenheimer. Maybe even 2x as big an opening.


:notworthy: :notworthy: :notworthy: :notworthy:

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Sat Aug 05, 2023 12:00 pm
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
Number is very accurate but it certainly did not Pulverize it for sure :-)

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Sat Aug 05, 2023 7:51 pm
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
Jonathan wrote:
Shoutout to Barrabás though with maybe the most correct prediction in this thread:

Barrabás wrote:
I think this will pulverize Oppenheimer. Maybe even 2x as big an opening.


Lol I had the ratio right but not the size. I expected 80M for Barbie and 40M for Opp at the time

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Sun Aug 06, 2023 2:11 am
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
Barbie's looking at $500M in 22 days which would be 8th fastest ever.

6 sequels and 1 universe (Black Panther) movie ahead of it. For an original film to do this pace is astonishing!


Wed Aug 09, 2023 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
The first couple pages lol


Tue Jun 18, 2024 2:59 pm
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
The first couple pages lol
It's an interesting evolution of thought! Nobody really knew what this movie was going to be. Girl power blockbuster wasn't on anyones radar until the marketing kicked in.


Tue Jun 18, 2024 4:07 pm
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
The 2020s pandemic recovery zeitgeist movies have been interesting.

2021 - No Way Home - A multi-verse of Spider-mans across decades with huge nostalgia and the first real big must see mega blockbuster during the Covid rebound. On the tail end before a huge downturn in comic book films soon in 2023 on average.

2022 - TGM - Global events raising a 36 year old sequel to another level of cultural relevance.

2023 - Barbie - I just realized Barbie's promos started going into overdrive at about the same time the Eras tour was starting. The Barbie Movie I feel in hindsight definitely benefitted from a halo effect the Eras tour seemed to build toward a larger female empowerment movement. Barbenheimer of course was also unpredecented.

2024 - Inside Out 2 - A generation that had to go to school during Covid, proliferation of social media, having a chord struck with their love of Inside Out 1 9 years later. The adolescent age and intro of emotions like anxiety feel unfortunately very relevant for young people today. It feels like this movie has taken another level of prominence now post 2020.

2025 - TBD but I feel we're do for a massive zeitgeist box office smash comedy soon.


Sat Jun 22, 2024 3:08 am
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
The mega runs ranked in terms of weirdness for me

1. Top Gun Maverick
2. Barbie
3. No Way Home
4. Inside Out 2
5/6. Mario Bros/Avatar 2 (not weird at all)

TGM is hard to beat, the genre is not really that popular anymore outside of the 175-200 million of middle aged people who see Mission Impossible movies, how'd it make 700? This one will go down in history as a how'd that happen.

Barbie I think it will look cooler as time goes on that an "original" film was so successful.

No Way Home is underrated one for me, I just can't believe it made that much, probably could've challenged Endgame if it wasn't during covid. If Inside Out 2 makes 700 it can pass it.

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Sat Jun 22, 2024 10:41 am
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Post Re: Barbie predictions
TGM and No Way Home are forever linked though due to Covid.

NWH was the first big mega blockbuster movie young people rushed out to post Covid openings and then eventually older people saw it in later weeks.

TGM was oddly the first big mega blockbuster driven by older people during Covid and then the demographics got younger and younger. It was so strange to see older audiences rush out to a movie young people had little interest in but then the zeitgeist factor of it pulled them in.

Barbie will probably be #1 though just because Margot having 2 of the biggest flops of 2022 and then the biggest film of 2023 was just such a turnaround. Even with TGM, the floor probably was set for $150M like a MI movie. For Barbie, the floor felt like at one time it could have been $50M if it ended up bad.


Mon Jun 24, 2024 1:08 am
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