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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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May 10-12 Predictions
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 59m
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Fri May 03, 2024 8:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38156
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
This seems like a candidate to be kind of a Godzilla vs Kong or Transformers One where it's uncool with internet audiences but ends up bigger than you expect. Not sure if being built around a female human this time would turn off the masculine bro type viewers though.
I was surprised to see it's been 7 years since the last one, I just assumed they made one every 2 or 3 years.
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Fri May 03, 2024 9:48 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Apes feels like Transformets last summer to me where it’s a franchise people think is dead but we haven’t had one in a while and it has its fans so since it’s not a superhero movie it overperforms.
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Sat May 04, 2024 12:04 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11571
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Ape OW's by year this century (adjusted OW's in brackets):
01: $69M ($136M) 11: $55M ($77M) 14: $73M ($100M) 17: $56M ($70M)
I lowballed in the contest but if this disappoints next weekend I'd say that's more troubling than Fall Guy. It's been such a reliable franchise.
Lots of apes this past month though with Monkey Man, GvsK and the new apes movie. Maybe the whole AMC apes association will help it out but we should have a better weekend next week.
All 4 of the last POTA movies now adjust to $70M+ so a surprise on the upside past GvsK wouldn't be outside of precedent.
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Sat May 04, 2024 1:21 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Unfortunately its not looking like a breakout for now. Let us see how the final week goes. For now seeing OW close to 40m than a big breakout.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat May 04, 2024 1:32 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23868 Location: Classified
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Was thinking 35-45 million opening after seeing trailer, but this year has been kind to non-superhero IP so far and maybe thats another to push it over $50M.
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Sat May 04, 2024 1:51 pm |
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flip1
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 68
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Apes: 57m (should get a boost from reviews) Fall Guy: 14m
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Sat May 04, 2024 4:23 pm |
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flip1
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 68
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Apes: 57m (should get a boost from reviews) Fall Guy: 14m
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Sat May 04, 2024 4:26 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
$44m
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun May 05, 2024 4:18 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22705 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Cant see this going below $50m. Expecting $60m+
_________________
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Sun May 05, 2024 9:45 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21649 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
I was always shocked when War underperformed. It could be in again for 60+, but people maybe tired after Kong
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sun May 05, 2024 10:42 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20385 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Reviews are good but weaker than the Reeves trilogy.
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Wed May 08, 2024 12:11 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
Thinking around 6m ish previews including early shows and around 4.5m ish for just thursday. Should have a good multi and so I am expecting around 45m OW. Walkups today were solid for early shows.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu May 09, 2024 12:55 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11571
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Re: May 10-12 Predictions
DHD has $6.5M previews. Charlie has $7M / $55M weekend.
Thursday night money began at 3PM and $1.6M from Wednesday fan shows that began at 7PM.
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Fri May 10, 2024 1:55 am |
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