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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20637 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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April 5-7 Predictions
Monkey Man 21m The First Omen 19m
Godzilla -58%
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Sat Mar 30, 2024 10:34 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24319 Location: Classified
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Monkey Man looks great and there's clearly an audience for this type of film. $20M+
Hoping for a breakout from a non-IP film every weekend this month. Civil War, Abigail and Challengers all have big potential too.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Sun Mar 31, 2024 2:22 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67514
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
I don't see it. Monkey Man $5m
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Mar 31, 2024 6:12 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11794
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
I thought it had potential but way too close to GXK.
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Mon Apr 01, 2024 1:29 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32331 Location: the last free city
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
The First Omen 18m Monkey Man 14m
Godzilla -60%
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon Apr 01, 2024 9:55 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3170
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Make your predictions in the Derby!
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue Apr 02, 2024 12:32 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11794
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Monday #'s
1 GvsK $7,751,327 $87,757,888 2 Ghostbusters: $2,026,894 -29% $75,305,771 3 KFP4 $1,981,940 +18% $153,781,205 4 Dune 2 $1,483,781 -19% $254,126,488
-Bob Marley: One Love $58,695 -45% $96,329,302
Though many people were off on Monday, that's still a great # for GvsK. At least $150M+. Ghostbusters is probably having it's last good day for a while. Will probably just skirt by $100M.
KFP4 continues to benefit from it's great release date. Looks like it should pass Puss In Boots 2 at $180M+. Dune is holding well and looks good for $280M+. Marley was oh so close to $100M and its PTA is up from last week significantly. Losing half of its theaters over the last two weekends has slowed it down but maybe it can leg it out to $100M but could probably wrap up at $98M.
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Tue Apr 02, 2024 8:37 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38886
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Great Monday for KFP
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Apr 02, 2024 9:37 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11794
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Tuesday #'s
1 GvsK $6,825,000 $94,582,888 2 Ghostbusters $1,800,000 -11% -58% $77,105,771 3 KFP4 $1,600,000 (est) - 41% $155,381,205 4 Dune 2 $1,255,000 -44% $255,381,488 5 Immaculate $474,567 -36% $12,067,434
Godzilla is holding really well. Likely to reach $100M in 6 days. A lot depends on the second weekend hold. Godzilla (2014) had a May 20th Tuesday of $6,944,417 from a $93.2M OW. GvsK (2024) is pulling $6.825M from an $80M weekend post Easter. Godzilla 2014 had a 2nd weekend cushion with the May long weekend but more competition while April is lighter so may even out leg wise. If GvsK follows those legs it could finish at $176M.
KFP4 continuing it's solid dailies. It just passed Sing 2 for post Covid animated films and is now #6. Should get past Puss 2 to reach #5.
Ghostbusters is doing poorly with others holding better. Will go into its 3rd weekend with $80M but not looking like it's doing much past $100M. Maybe $105M?
Dune's holding decently considering last week was a break. Still looking good for $280M+.
Immaculate is quietly having a solid run with a $9M budget and perhaps $20M total.
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Wed Apr 03, 2024 1:35 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20637 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Godzilla x kong will easily clear 200m. WOM is WAY BETTER than Godzilla 2014 lol.
GvK got a 3x multiplier despite being on HBO at the same time.
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Wed Apr 03, 2024 5:24 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11794
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
These dailies are a pretty positive sign for the year's box office. 4 big sequels in 5 weeks with 3/4 surpassing expectations.
Even Ghostbusters OW wasn't bad. If it was actually good it probably could have legged out as a comedy for counterprogramming. So the room was there for us to see 4 for 4. A 65.4% drop on a holiday weekend when everything else dropped in the 30s in the top 5 last weekend. Ghostbusters probably would have dropped 70% if not for Easter.
KFP ($180M+), Godzilla ($170M+), and Dune 2 ($280M+) all getting fantastic runs.
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Wed Apr 03, 2024 5:47 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11794
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
Thursday #'s
GvK $4,100,000 $103,305,986 Ghostbusters $1,305,000 -51% $79,863,062 KFP4 $1,300,000 (Est) Dune 2 $1,075,000 -44% $257,653,969
Dune looks like it will finally dip below $1M on Monday.
Not an exact science but GvsK 2021's 1st Thursday / 2nd weekend ratio was 8.66. If this film follows that, it would get to $35.5M (-55.6%). That would be a great hold if it happens for $138.8M total.
Last edited by O on Fri Apr 05, 2024 2:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Apr 05, 2024 10:48 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38886
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Re: April 5-7 Predictions
lilmac wrote: Make your predictions in the Derby! I was going to play this week but I forgot
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Apr 05, 2024 1:05 pm |
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