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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11774
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) 2025 Contenders
We haven't had the 2024 Oscars yet but with Dune 2's imminent release it feels like we have a possible best picture frontrunner. The last film had 6 wins from 10 nominations. The move away from Oppenheimer's year seems incredibly smart in hindsight from an awards perspective as it was "Nolan's" year.
Is Dune unstoppable? Is this going to be the first Q1 Oscar winner for Best picture in 33 years (since Silence of the Lambs)?
Mickey 17 shifting could push it out of contention this year but Joker 2, Horizon, Gladiator 2, etc. still in the running...
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Fri Feb 23, 2024 12:06 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20609 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
It’ll get nominated but way too early to predict a win.
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Fri Feb 23, 2024 12:20 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19146 Location: San Diego
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
I guess it was limited but technically EEAAO came out end of March.
I'm not convinced Dune will win BP unless we have a really weak year. But I guess I have to see it first.
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Fri Feb 23, 2024 12:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38788
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Dune II winning isn't impossible but sequel+genre bias is hard to overcome
Best Actor frontrunner is Chalamet playing Bob Dylan
Blitz (WWII drama) directed by Steve McQueen starring Ronan probably is the frontrunner on paper, especially since they haven't given a black director win yet, but something about McQueen's career outside of 12YAS makes me not totally trust him.
Guadagnino has two movies in Challengers and a gay period piece with Daniel Craig called Queers
I found that Cuaron's next movie is supposed to be about Philip K Dick starring Theron as a his alt timeline newborn sister if she survived. But I assume there's a decent chance of it not being 2024. Otherwise I'd put that #1 since Cuaron like Scorsese and Nolan this year is pretty unlikely to miss quality wise.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Feb 23, 2024 1:23 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11278 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Way too early to tell, but I suppose that is the fun of it all. Is the Critic suppose to release this year?
_________________![Image](http://i.minus.com/iynCsXZR3nUrq.gif)
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Fri Feb 23, 2024 10:51 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6207 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
I don't think Dune II will win if they greenlight the third movie before Oscar season. It will be viewed as a middle chapter and they will probably choose to hold off on BP until the third movie, just like they did with Lord of the Rings despite Two Towers being more acclaimed and bigger than Fellowship.
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Mon Feb 26, 2024 7:12 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24254 Location: Classified
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Dune Messiah isn't exactly a rousing ending to the trilogy and I think it will have mixedish wom similiar to Dune Part One. If they wanna award Dune then its gotta be this year when the film is (mostly) crowd-pleasing and competition will be weak. Villeneuve better at least get a directors nomination this time lol.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Fri Mar 01, 2024 3:45 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6207 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Dune Messiah isn't exactly a rousing ending to the trilogy and I think it will have mixedish wom similiar to Dune Part One. If they wanna award Dune then its gotta be this year when the film is (mostly) crowd-pleasing and competition will be weak. Villeneuve better at least get a directors nomination this time lol. I disagree, the ending with MASSIVE SPOILERS FOR THE BOOK SERIES AND FUTURE MOVIES BEWARE Paul walking off into the desert to die after losing his presience would be iconic
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 4:28 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22862 Location: Melbourne Australia
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
I think Dune 2 is the best shot. Offcourse, a bunch of contenders will emerge late in the year but Dune 2 will be a nominations beast.
_________________
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Wed Mar 06, 2024 6:08 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11774
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
I just read that Colman Domingo is playing MJ's father in the Jackson movie. He earned alot of fans during this campaign season so could see him be a major contender at the 2026 Oscars for supporting male actor.
If The Fall Guy ends up being good maybe Ryan or Blunt can also make a return next year.
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Tue Mar 12, 2024 12:45 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20609 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
That MJ movie is gonna be bad so no Oscar’s for it
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Tue Mar 12, 2024 8:35 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24254 Location: Classified
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
zwackerm wrote: That MJ movie is gonna be bad so no Oscar’s for it That didn't stop Rami Malek.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Tue Mar 12, 2024 2:48 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20609 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Flava'd vs The World wrote: zwackerm wrote: That MJ movie is gonna be bad so no Oscar’s for it That didn't stop Rami Malek. True but the movie is gonna get ripped by critics for making a pedo sympathetic which is way worse than just making an incredibly generic queen biopic.
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Tue Mar 12, 2024 5:55 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6207 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
zwackerm wrote: That MJ movie is gonna be bad so no Oscar’s for it Yeah. They should've picked Barry Jenkins who directed Moonlight, another story about mistreated young boys.
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Tue Mar 26, 2024 7:15 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38788
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Looks good for Challengers.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Apr 12, 2024 4:37 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11774
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Zendaya (185M IG followers) vs Gaga (57M)!
Think Gaga should go for supporting based on the buzz on Zendaya's performance so far.
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Sun Apr 14, 2024 11:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67438
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Oh KJ, Challengers will be nowhere near BP.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed May 29, 2024 11:56 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24254 Location: Classified
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Powell for Hitman? Should get a comedy globe nom at least.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Wed Jul 24, 2024 7:29 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11774
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
Feel like Cage for supporting is going to be compelling, at least for a nomination.
Wouldn't be surprised to see nostalgia play a big role next Oscars with Penn/Robert/Tom Hanks doing a reunion, SNL 50, etc. Let's make a wild prediction now and say Cage or Hanks will win the Oscar.
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Tue Aug 13, 2024 6:57 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24254 Location: Classified
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
For Longlegs? He really isn't in it that much. Would be fun though.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Tue Aug 13, 2024 10:31 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11774
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![Post Post](./styles/serene/imageset/icon_topic_latest.gif) Re: 2025 Contenders
He's just been cast as John Madden for David O'Russell's next film so seems he's going to get back to the Oscars eventually.
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Thu Aug 15, 2024 6:54 pm |
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