Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Thu Oct 31, 2024 7:27 pm



Reply to topic  [ 2683 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 104, 105, 106, 107, 108  Next
 HK 8/22 WKD: Alien: Romulus repeats 
Author Message
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 4/29 SAT: Movies skyrocket on Cinema Day; Gotg 3 to f
Monday adm.(so far)May 1
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Super Mario Bros. Movie--9,270--+16.3%
2Marry My Dead Body--5,457---18.5%
3Mad Fate--3,937---18.0%
4Over My Dead Body--3,082--+14.2%
5The Pope's Exorcist--852---15.6%
6A Light Never Goes Out--702--+17.0%
7Lost Love--678--+38.4%
8A City of Sadness--638--+6.2%
9Suzume--452---26.0%
10Twelve Days--425----
Holiday Monday brought some more coin in pre-sales for Mario while both Marry My Dead Body and Mad Fate declined 18% from Sunday.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Mon May 01, 2023 4:08 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 4/29 SAT: Movies skyrocket on Cinema Day; Gotg 3 to f
Part 2 of Guardians of the Galaxy 3 pre-sales

Palace APM
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3(all v.)
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
May 310:30 AM6028620.98%
10:45 AM3486.25%
11:30 AM1816710.78%
1:20 PM172865.94%
1:30 PM1482.08%
2:15 PM71674.19%
3:20 PM41143.51%
4:10 PM202866.99%
4:15 PM84816.67%
5:00 PM91675.39%
7:00 PM7028624.48%
7:05 PM304862.50%
7:45 PM1916711.38%
9:10 PM8988.16%
9:50 PM142864.90%
9:55 PM94818.75%
Total297255011.65%
GOTG 3 moved less than 100 admissions since last check 2 days ago. One day before it opens and it is only above 11% for the entire day. At this point, it looks like Guardians of the Galaxy 3 will begin with 8,500-9,500 admissions on Wednesday.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Tue May 02, 2023 2:28 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 4/29 SAT: Movies skyrocket on Cinema Day; Gotg 3 to f
Part 3 of Guardians of the Galaxy 3 pre-sales

Palace APM
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3(all v.)
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
May 310:30 AM9428632.87%
10:45 AM4488.33%
11:30 AM2416714.37%
1:20 PM172865.94%
1:30 PM4488.33%
2:15 PM91675.39%
3:20 PM61145.26%
4:10 PM212867.34%
4:15 PM144829.17%
5:00 PM71674.19%
7:00 PM7328625.52%
7:05 PM304862.50%
7:45 PM4016723.95%
9:10 PM189818.37%
9:50 PM162865.59%
9:55 PM134827.08%
Total390255015.29%
Compared to its performance yesterday from 2 days ago, it did have a somewhat noticeable jump. Going up almost 3.5% with total admissions the day before release should see it have a satisfactory walk-in rate.

Wednesday adm.(so far)May 3
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3--14,351----
2Marry My Dead Body--1,883----
3Mad Fate--689----
4The Super Mario Bros. Movie--598----
5Over My Dead Body--391----
6To Catch A Killer--205----
7A City of Sadness--204----
8Twelve Days--164----
9A Light Never Goes Out--118----
10The Pope's Exorcist--109----
While it begins -26.7% below Ant-Man 3's OD number, it does have a $15-30 extra charge in regular theaters. In IMAX, prices are around $175-$180 on average for an adult ticket.

In an attempt to bolster ticket sales, Golden Harvest is promoting cheap Wednesdays with all regular and IMAX showings of every film including Guardians of the Galaxy 3 discounted. Prices of regular showings for GOTG 3 vary depending on the theater with Wednesday showings reduced by $35-$65. The sole IMAX at GH has also slashed its prices by $50 for the entire day. Admissions at GH are heavily skewed towards Wednesday as Thursday sales have been quite slow at most locations. We may see a drop of 50-60% tomorrow in pre-sales due to this development.

Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong)
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame*$221,895,530$28,441,141
2Avatar**$178,248,295$22,846,719
3Avengers: Infinity War***$153,301,337$19,649,179
4Avatar: The Way of Water*$144,296,203$18,382,659
5Avengers: Age of Ultron****$133,061,397$17,054,953
6A Guilty Conscience*$121,567,056$15,487,073
7Spider-Man: No Way Home$121,002,669$15,509,343
8Titanic*****$115,306,690$14,779,269
9Captain America: Civil War******$112,654,686$14,439,353
10Top Gun: Maverick$107,702,455$13,722,109
11Iron Man 3$106,389,801$13,636,360
12Transformers: Age of Extinction$98,196,851$12,586,240
13The Avengers$96,705,670$12,395,110
14Jurassic World$96,295,976$12,342,598
15Toy Story 3$89,364,118$11,454,117
16Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom$88,649,003$11,362,459
17Toy Story 4$88,537,419$11,348,156
18Spider-Man: Far From Home$84,788,927$10,867,699
19Transformers: Dark of the Moon$84,703,797$10,856,787
20Warriors of Future$81,888,311$10,495,917
21Star Wars: The Force Awakens$81,701,193$10,410,906
22The Dark Knight Rises$80,269,966$10,288,488
23Minions$78,404,191$10,049,345
24Table for Six$77,745,064$9,904,357
25Monsters University$77,407,664$9,906,164
26Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2$76,785,999$9,841,935
27Captain Marvel$76,043,088$9,746,714
28Aquaman$75,625,663$9,693,211
29Incredibles 2$71,205,663$9,126,684
30Train to Busan$68,004,629$8,716,396
31Beauty and the Beast$67,232,357$8,617,411
32Cold War 2$66,244,171$8,490,751
33Inside Out$66,016,979$8,461,631
34Spider-Man: Homecoming$65,760,306$8,428,733
35Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness$65,484,607$8,343,235
36Black Panther$63,312,121$8,114,940
37Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings$63,079,202$8,085,086
38Anita$62,519,889$8,013,397
39Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$62,286,926$7,983,537
40The Amazing Spider-Man$61,983,852$7,944,691
41Jurassic Park$61,898,795$7,933,789
42You Are the Apple of My Eye$61,862,731$7,929,167
43Joker$61,497,005$7,882,290
44Kung Fu Hustle$61,278,697$7,854,309
45Shaolin Soccer$60,739,847$7,785,243
46Mission Impossible: Fallout$60,449,812$7,748,068
47Ip Man 3$60,261,407$7,723,919
48Doctor Strange$59,793,472$7,663,942
49Aladdin$59,754,798$7,658,985
50Furious 7$59,634,515$7,643,568
* - without re-release (Re-release included: $223,089,935 HK)
** - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK)
*** - without re-release (Re-release included: $154,700,588 HK)
**** - without re-release (Re-release included: $133,072,933 HK)
***** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK)
****** - without re-release (Re-release included: $113,470,676 HK)
* - still in release

Updated through May 1.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Tue May 02, 2023 8:38 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/3 WED: Guardians of the Galaxy 3 decent opening day
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)Apr 24-30
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
11The Super Mario Bros. Movie$6,003,372$4,954,65426-17.5%$44,907,751$764,883$631,179$5,720,855
--2Marry My Dead Body--$3,587,8914--$4,541,510--$457,066$578,548
33Mad Fate$2,962,028$3,494,87611+18.0%$6,456,904$377,388$445,216$822,553
24Over My Dead Body$3,628,479$2,196,09727-39.5%$20,302,545$462,300$279,763$2,586,367
45The Pope's Exorcist$1,410,827$1,188,67511-15.7%$2,599,502$179,752$151,426$331,153
56John Wick: Chapter 4$1,323,499$739,92939-44.1%$34,110,162$168,625$94,260$4,345,337
--7Twelve Days--$597,5394--$616,494--$76,121$78,535
68A Light Never Goes Out$693,865$489,62018-29.4%$2,260,559$88,404$62,373$287,975
89Lost Love$550,059$476,24560-13.4%$6,635,601$70,082$60,669$845,317
--10To Catch A Killer--$427,1164--$427,116--$54,410$54,410
It looks like Saturday was not inflated and they used the $30 average ticket price around the city for the day's gross. A lot of holdovers saw beneficial results with very good week-to-week holds.

Super Mario will get close to 6m this weekend or might even pass it on Sunday while Marry My Dead Body and Mad Fate will pass 1m sometime this weekend.

Wednesday Estimates

1. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 - $313,944 (opening day estimate)
2. Marry My Dead Body - $56,448/$765,000
3. Mad Fate - $23,902/$905,000
4. The Super Mario Bros. Movie - $16,135/$5,776,000
5. Over My Dead Body - $9,441/$2,618,000

That is a decent opening day for Guardians of the Galaxy 3. It is looking at an opening weekend around 1.8m which would be on par with Guardians of the Galaxy 2.

It has good word of mouth to start with a 4.1/5 rating and an 8.9/10 rating from users.

Thursday adm.(so far)May 4
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3--7,589---47.1%
2Marry My Dead Body3,6771,375-62.6%-27.0%
3Mad Fate1,568735-53.1%+6.7%
4The Super Mario Bros. Movie1,315477-63.7%-20.2%
5Born to Fly--421----
6Over My Dead Body882415-52.9%+6.1%
7Ran--163----
8The Pope's Exorcist371162-56.3%+48.6%
9A City of Sadness472155-67.2%-5.5%
10To Catch A Killer336142-57.7%-30.7%
Not quite a 50% drop in pre-sales on Thursday but still a significant decline for Guardians of the Galaxy 3. With Cinema Day finished and Guardians of the Galaxy 3 opening, all holdovers saw at least a 50% drop week-to-week.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Thu May 04, 2023 12:36 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/3 WED: Guardians of the Galaxy 3 decent opening day
Friday adm.(so far)May 5
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3--11,113--+46.4%
2Marry My Dead Body3,1272,119-32.2%+54.1%
3Mad Fate2,795980-64.9%+33.3%
4The Super Mario Bros. Movie2,088881-57.8%+84.7%
5Over My Dead Body1,255512-59.2%+23.4%
6Born to Fly--429--+1.9%
7A City of Sadness449234-47.9%+51.0%
8The Pope's Exorcist487218-55.2%+34.6%
9A Light Never Goes Out261210-19.5%--
10To Catch A Killer360153-57.5%+7.7%
Good increase for Guardians of the Galaxy 3. It has been cutting down on Ant-Man 3's pre-sales lead from 5,000+ on Wednesday to just 3,100 today. This day-to-day increase bodes well for a sizable weekend jump.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri May 05, 2023 12:55 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/3 WED: Guardians of the Galaxy 3 decent opening day
Saturday adm.(so far)May 6
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3--22,056--+98.5%
2Marry My Dead Body40,8536,472-84.2%+205.4%
3The Super Mario Bros. Movie57,4432,051-96.4%+132.8%
4Mad Fate25,2841,555-93.8%+58.7%
5Over My Dead Body20,225772-96.2%+50.8%
6Born to Fly--649--+51.3%
7A City of Sadness--314--+34.2%
8A Light Never Goes Out4,778296-93.8%+41.0%
9The Pope's Exorcist6,938215-96.9%-1.4%
10Aftersun--179----
Strong increase for Guardians of the Galaxy 3. Ant-Man 3's lead in pre-sales over GOTG 3 continues to shrink. No Cinema Day meant extreme drops for all holdovers. The only holdover to escape an 85% decline from last Saturday was Marry My Dead Body.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri May 05, 2023 11:53 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/3 PRO: GOTG 3 biggest opening of franchise
Sunday adm.(so far)May 7
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3--22,932--+4.0%
2Marry My Dead Body6,6985,860-12.5%-9.5%
3The Super Mario Bros. Movie7,9702,807-64.8%+36.9%
4Mad Fate4,8021,568-67.3%+0.8%
5Over My Dead Body2,698856-68.3%+10.9%
6Born to Fly--845--+30.2%
7A City of Sadness601307-48.9%-2.2%
8The Pope's Exorcist1,009294-70.9%+36.7%
9A Light Never Goes Out600224-62.7%-24.3%
10Aftersun--177---1.1%
Good for Guardians of the Galaxy 3. Excellent hold for Marry My Dead Body.

Weekend ProjectionsMay 7
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3$2,110,000$2,110,000
That would be the biggest OW of the Guardians of the Galaxy franchise and also its first 2m OW in the series. It also would come out ahead of Ant-Man 3's OW. After tracking in the 1-1.5m OW range for quite a while, GOTG 3 really came back starting with one day to go and beyond. From what I could tell, GOTG 3 eclipsed 55,000 admissions on both Saturday and Sunday.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun May 07, 2023 5:00 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/3 EST: GOTG 3 biggest comic book opening of the yea
Weekend EstimatesMay 7
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3$2,110,000$2,110,000
2Marry My Dead Body$330,000-27.8%$1,095,000
3The Super Mario Bros. Movie$160,000-69.8%$5,936,000
4Mad Fate$155,000-46.6%$1,060,000
5Over My Dead Body$57,500-65.2%$2,675,500
No adjustment for Guardians with estimates. Marry My Dead Body had a great hold despite Cinema Day inflating last weekend's grosses. Conversely, Mario took a large tumble after it benefited greatly from the increase in showtimes on Cinema Day. Both Marry My Dead Body and Mad Fate passed 1m this weekend while it will take a little bit longer for Mario to reach 6m. It will definitely happen by next weekend. Over My Dead Body also saw a steep drop after Cinema Day weekend.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Mon May 08, 2023 2:05 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/3 EST: GOTG 3 biggest comic book opening of the yea
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)May 1-7
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
--1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3--$17,959,4875--$17,959,487--$2,281,161$2,281,161
22Marry My Dead Body$3,587,891$4,629,90811+29.0%$9,171,418$457,066$588,077$1,164,926
13The Super Mario Bros. Movie$4,954,654$3,468,61833-30.0%$48,376,369$631,179$440,573$6,144,625
34Mad Fate$3,494,876$2,306,88818-34.0%$8,763,792$445,216$293,014$1,113,151
45Over My Dead Body$2,196,097$1,321,42134-39.8%$21,623,966$279,763$167,843$2,746,613
56The Pope's Exorcist$1,188,675$675,20918-43.2%$3,274,711$151,426$85,763$415,944
RE7A City of Sadness--$510,70521--$850,469--$64,868$108,024
68John Wick: Chapter 4$739,929$470,45646-36.4%$34,580,618$94,260$59,755$4,392,329
79Twelve Days$597,539$458,98711-23.2%$1,075,481$76,121$58,299$136,604
--10Born to Fly--$319,3664--$319,366--$40,564$40,564
Everything was severely underestimated but Guardians of the Galaxy 3 scores the franchise's biggest opening weekend ever and the first to record a 2m opening weekend.

Thursday adm.(so far)May 11
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 37,5893,713-51.1%--
2Marry My Dead Body1,3751,001-27.2%--
3Hypnotic--780----
4Evil Dead Rise--734----
5The Super Mario Bros. Movie477407-14.7%--
6Flashover--405----
7Mad Fate735330-55.1%--
8Aftersun--286----
9Social Distancing--219----
10Fragments of the Last Will--217----
Decent hold for Guardians of the Galaxy 3.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Thu May 11, 2023 5:27 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week
Friday adm.(so far)May 12
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 311,1136,676-39.9%+79.8%
2Marry My Dead Body2,1191,763-16.8%+76.1%
3Hypnotic--860--+10.3%
4Evil Dead Rise--663---9.7%
5The Super Mario Bros. Movie881642-27.1%+58.5%
6Mad Fate980451-54.0%+36.7%
7Flashover--419--+3.5%
8Aftersun--283---1.0%
9Born to Fly429278-35.2%--
10Fragments of the Last Will--250--+15.2%
Good recovery for Guardians of the Galaxy 3. It is potentially looking at a sub 40% drop this weekend.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri May 12, 2023 3:26 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67688
Post Re: HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week
:funny: at Born to Fly

Is it a wide release or only playing in a handful of cinemas?

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Sun May 14, 2023 12:59 pm
Profile WWW
The Dark Knight

Joined: Sat Sep 25, 2021 2:14 am
Posts: 760
Location: Japan
Post Re: HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week
Algren wrote:
:funny: at Born to Fly

Is it a wide release or only playing in a handful of cinemas?


Born To Fly

WKend - HK$199,371 / HK$727,449

Breakdown -
HK$53,745 - 19 TC/29 SC/38 shows | Friday
HK$87,318 - 20 TC/33 SC/38 shows | Saturday
HK$58,308 - 20 TC/30 SC/35 shows | Sunday

_________________
甘露寺 蜜璃


Mon May 15, 2023 12:40 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67688
Post Re: HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week
Thanks. But I've forgotten how many cinemas are in Hong Kong, lol. Is 20 cinemas a lot? I want to say that Hong Kong has about 50 cinemas in total. Is that way off?

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Mon May 15, 2023 2:55 pm
Profile WWW
The Dark Knight

Joined: Sat Sep 25, 2021 2:14 am
Posts: 760
Location: Japan
Post Re: HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week
Algren wrote:
Thanks. But I've forgotten how many cinemas are in Hong Kong, lol. Is 20 cinemas a lot? I want to say that Hong Kong has about 50 cinemas in total. Is that way off?


More than 70 I guess. John Wick 4 got 62, Shazam 61... Screen Count may be 230+ or so

_________________
甘露寺 蜜璃


Tue May 16, 2023 4:30 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67688
Post Re: HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week
Ok, thanks.

So a count of 20 is a limited release. Born to Fly's numbers still feel quite pathetic - and even the fact it was given such a small release is funny. Either nervy officials worried that it would be embarrassed, or the fact that Hong Kongers just don't care about the Top Gun knock-off. Either way it's a fail for CCP propaganda.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Tue May 16, 2023 7:54 am
Profile WWW
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 7/11 THU: Inside Out 2 cruises to 5m opening day
Some of you may be wondering why Inside Out 2 increased from last Thursday overseas. This is the reason why.

In Hong Kong, Inside Out 2 officially opened on Thursday but it had sneak previews beginning on June 29, going up against Despicable Me 4's official opening day. It has had 12 days of sneak previews, beaten Despicable Me 4 every single day and has widened the gap over it as well.

Some numbers: During the 3 day holiday period from June 29-July 1, Inside Out 2 grossed around 1.85-1.9m. With today's official opening day total coming in over 5m, this will amass 6.5m for its official opening weekend (including previews).

There's no doubt in my mind that this will pass 10m and it should beat Toy Story 3 ($89,364,118 HK, 11.3m US) for the highest grossing animation film of all time. I see about 95m HK ($12.0m US) for Inside Out 2 on the low end and up to around 120m HK ($15.2m US) on the high end depending on its performance against Twisters next weekend and how theaters schedule Deadpool & Wolverine. If Deadpool & Wolverine gets 5-6 screens everywhere, then it is game over for Inside Out 2 and I expect around 12m, however, if it can sustain itself against Twisters and do well, I think theaters will have to give 5-6 showtimes to Inside Out 2 at theaters with 5-6 screens in 2 weeks.
____________________________
Despicable Me 4's performance has been disappointing. It has only made about 2.7m so far. Considering the franchise came out on top in the past against Inside Out and Pixar, to not even make half of Minions' total (78.4m HK) would be shocking. It can only hope that Deadpool & Wolverine underperforms in 2 weeks because at the pace it is going, 5m is not happening.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri Jul 12, 2024 2:31 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 7/11 WKD: Inside Out 2 smashes 6.5m OW; Deadpool & W
Quote:
The weekend saw Inside Out 2 open at #1 in Hong Kong, grossing an estimated $1.9 million for the weekend ($7.0 million including previews), setting a record for the highest sneak previews of all time.
https://collider.com/inside-out-2-global-box-office-1-3-billion/
7m is a little high. I have it at 6.5m but it's still an excellent opening.
_______________________
Deadpool & Wolverine is opening on July 24. It is looking a bit shaky in pre-sales so far. IMAX showings are very strong but regular showings are lagging well behind. Opening Wednesday's 7 PM showtime is about 5-40% filled. After that, its Friday 7 PM showtime is about 10% filled at maximum at most locations. It still has time to turn it around with more than a week left of pre-selling but it's had almost 2 weeks of pre-selling. At this pre-sales pace though, theaters may only give it 3-4 screens which would benefit the main holdovers the most.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Jul 14, 2024 8:38 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 7/11 WKD: Inside Out 2 smashes 6.5m OW; Deadpool & W
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)July 11-14
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
11Inside Out 2$23,085,466$18,701,5374-19.0%$51,566,704$2,933,284$2,376,253$6,552,166
22Despicable Me 4$12,287,531$6,611,59516-46.2%$25,181,234$1,561,278$840,082$3,199,577
Now confirmed with actuals.

Inside Out 2 dominates with a 6.5m opening weekend including previews. It should be able to gross more than 8m by next Sunday. Despicable Me 4 is declining quite fast. It will have one last chance to get its act together this week as Twisters does not seem like a formidable foe to anyone.

Theaters are very cautiously monitoring Deadpool & Wolverine's pre-sales. Some theaters have released their 2nd biggest screens already on Wednesday-Friday with D&W gaining most of it. Inside Out 2 has managed to snag a couple of showings on all 3 days on the 2nd biggest screen at multiple theaters. It seems that theaters are leaning toward 3-4 screens right now for D&W but that could change if it sees a massive spike in pre-sales this weekend.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Wed Jul 17, 2024 9:45 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 7/18 THU: Inside Out 2 leads; D&W flopping except in
Inside Out 2 is #1 again on Thursday. It has already passed 7m total and is currently aiming for about a 1.25m weekend (-34% from last weekend, -81% from last Sunday's total gross including previews). This would be an OK hold but it needs to have a -25% weekend hold from last weekend to get good screens and showtimes for next week. Total gross would increase to 8.4m after 11 days.
_____________________________________
Deadpool & Wolverine is still quite lopsided in favor of opening day with regular theaters. Some Friday night 7 PM showings remain less than 5% full. Some regular theaters have hidden Deadpool & Wolverine's weekend or Thursday-Sunday screenings. What that means is anybody's guess. It continues to be a beast in IMAX though. Some showings are already 75% sold out. Interesting to note that at iSquare IMAX, some special screenings are 1/3 more expensive coming in at $270 HK ($34.31 US) per ticket over the regular priced showings of $180 HK ($22.87) and they are either sold out or close to selling out.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Fri Jul 19, 2024 2:43 am
Profile
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6444
Post Re: HK 7/18 THU: Inside Out 2 leads; D&W flopping except in
Any comps for Deadpool with Thor or last Dr Strange movie?

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Fri Jul 19, 2024 2:26 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 7/24 WED: Deadpool & Wolverine breaks R-rated OD
Keyser Söze wrote:
Any comps for Deadpool with Thor or last Dr Strange movie?


Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness - HK$30,043,010 (US$3,817,323) opening weekend/HK$65,484,607 total (US$8,320,602)
Thor: Love and Thunder - HK$24,670,446 (US$3,134,675) opening weekend/HK$48,568,367 (US$6,171,191)
Deadpool - HK$28,930,446 (US$3,675,958) opening weekend/HK$58,000,805 total (US$7,369,695)
Deadpool 2 - HK$26,116,168 (US$3,318,371) opening weekend/HK$54,597,460 total (US$6,937,259), 668,740 admissions

Deadpool & Wolverine broke the R-rated opening day record in Hong Kong set by Deadpool back in 2016. It made above $600,000 on Wednesday (around $630,000). It is aiming for about a 3.2m OW, which would be above Thor: Love and Thunder's opening weekend but below everything else.

Breakdown:
Wednesday - $630,000
Thursday - $375,000
Friday - $490,000
Saturday - $860,000
Sunday - $845,000
5-day opening weekend total - $3,200,000

In gross, that is decent. It has a shot to make 7m total, however, the Deadpool franchise is known to be very frontloaded. I think 6m is a lock though.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Thu Jul 25, 2024 2:28 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 7/24 WKD PROJ: Deadpool & Wolverine falls apart
Deadpool & Wolverine opening weekend estimate - $2,950,000 (5-day)

For Deadpool & Wolverine to make 3m OW, it needs to mimic some animated films and increase big from Saturday which was around $750,000. This is a major disappointment for Marvel and the theater operators who were really hoping this movie would be a breakout hit. Judging how some theater chains gave this 4-5 screens, the admissions didn't merit that level of commitment from them.

Inside Out 2, meanwhile, passed 9m this weekend and should be close to or at 9.3m by Sunday. 10m will happen in about 10 days or less.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Jul 28, 2024 12:45 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 8/1 THU: Doraemon overtakes Deadpool & Wolverine for
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)July 22-28
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
--1Deadpool & Wolverine--$22,640,9705--$22,640,970--$2,876,805$2,876,805
12Inside Out 2$18,701,537$7,575,36618-59.5%$73,107,252$2,376,253$962,540$9,289,150
23Twisters$5,265,313$3,331,82212-36.7%$8,597,135$669,020$423,347$1,092,368
34Despicable Me 4$6,611,595$2,212,57830-66.5%$31,694,646$840,082$281,134$4,027,183
Ok start for Deadpool & Wolverine. It performed around my expectations. I'm sure many people expected more. Inside Out 2 fell quite hard with Deadpool opening. There were signs last week of demand easing when Twisters opened. Twisters is performing quite well. It might get to 1.5m. Despicable Me 4 had another iffy hold. 5m is not happening.
_____________________________________________
Doraemon: Nobita's Earth Symphony was #1 on Thursday. Including sneak previews, it made around $243,196. For the weekend, it is looking at about $740,000. Deadpool & Wolverine fell to #2 on Thursday, however, it should easily climb back to #1 this weekend with about $1,090,000 (-62%) for a running total of about 4.55m. Inside Out 2 passed 9.5m and it will gross 10m next week.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Last edited by Bluebomb on Wed Aug 14, 2024 10:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Aug 02, 2024 3:12 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 8/1 WKD: Deadpool & Wolverine shushes Doraemon
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)Jul 29-Aug 4
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
11Deadpool & Wolverine$22,640,970$13,044,77812-42.4%$35,685,748$2,876,805$1,657,494$4,534,300
22Inside Out 2$7,575,366$4,347,78325-42.6%$77,457,517$962,540$552,437$9,841,903
--3Doraemon: Nobita's Earth Symphony$928,531$4,271,1074--$5,199,638$117,980$542,695$660,676
34Twisters$3,331,822$1,909,89719-42.7%$10,507,032$423,347$242,675$1,335,044
45Despicable Me 4$2,212,578$1,504,61037-32.0%$33,199,256$281,134$191,178$4,218,362
Deadpool & Wolverine had quite a big drop from opening weekend. With only a -42% hold, it means that it took Deadpool 7 days just to make 58% of Deadpool & Wolverine's 5-day opening weekend. 5m will be passed this week. Inside Out 2 continues its journey toward 10m. It has slowed considerably though. 11m is likely out of reach now unless if it has terrific holds the next few weeks. 10m is still happening this week. Very good opening for Doraemon: Nobita's Earth Symphony. I think it might be the biggest opening for the Doraemon films released in late July/early August every year. It also excludes the Stand By Me Doraemon films. Twisters had an OK hold. 1.5m might still happen. Despicable Me 4 had a good hold but it may only get to 4.5m.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Wed Aug 07, 2024 2:38 am
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3020
Post Re: HK 8/15 THU: Alien Romulus strangles Deadpool
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)Aug 5-11
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
11Deadpool & Wolverine$13,044,778$6,284,11619-51.8%$41,969,864$1,657,494$798,472$5,332,772
32Doraemon: Nobita's Earth Symphony$4,271,107$3,986,56811-6.7%$9,186,206$542,695$506,541$1,167,217
23Inside Out 2$4,347,783$2,667,93132-38.6%$80,125,448$552,437$338,992$10,180,895
Not great for Deadpool & Wolverine. Even without much competition, it held less than half of its 2nd week audience. 6m is still likely to happen. Doraemon's hold looks deceiving. Usually, single digit drops in its 2nd week translates to about a -40% drop from last weekend. It should make it to 1.5m total. Inside Out 2 had a somewhat better hold but it is $9m HK behind Toy Story 3. $85m HK ($10.8m US) looks to be its final stop.
_______________________________
Alien: Romulus opens today and will be the #1 film this weekend. It has taken away all of Deadpool's IMAX screens and is looking at about a 1-1.2m opening weekend. Pre-sales look great in IMAX but quite slow in regular theaters. I think people are waiting to see the reviews before making a decision to see it. Meanwhile, Deadpool & Wolverine is aiming for about a -60% hold from last weekend.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Wed Aug 14, 2024 10:29 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 2683 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 104, 105, 106, 107, 108  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 45 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.