Author |
Message |
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Re: Fablemens, I think general audiences are pretty sick of these legacy filmmakers shitting on their Marvel movies whilst continuing to make the same oscar bait over and over again.
Oscar voters won't care about that. They basically gave Birdman best picture precisely for shitting on Marvel movies. So I think Spielberg will win direction, but hopefully lose picture to one of the two films that the GA, movie lovers and film snobs agreed on this year- EEAAO or Top Gun: Maverick. They're not my personal favorites, but both are solid 8/10s and since Turning Red and Weird have no chance I'll root for what's best for the movie industry.
|
Wed Dec 07, 2022 3:28 pm |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
63 metacritic score for Babylon. That should be the end for it, but getting poor reviews didn't stop Don't Look Up or Nightmare Alley last year.
|
Fri Dec 16, 2022 2:42 pm |
|
|
Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6148 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Babylon may still be in the race but Margot Robbie seems like she's out. Reviews are brutal about her performance. They call her a movie-killer. I still maintain she's the female Jude Law: good but not great as an actor, too beautiful to be relatable. Barbie will be the last test of whether or not she can be headline a film. If that flops it's off to forever supporting actress land.
_________________ .
|
Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:11 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67066
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
It's even 64% on Rotten Tomatoes, a platform that usually inflates a movie or TV programme's true critical sentiment.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:47 am |
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38150
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Margot still has a chance to get 5th over people like Colman or Davis
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Sat Dec 17, 2022 11:46 am |
|
|
Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11022 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Dare I say Everything Everywhere All at Once is winning everything, everywhere, all at once?
_________________
|
Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:25 pm |
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38150
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Yeah I'm feeling Everything Everywhere BP win at this point. It will connect with people emotionally.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:40 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
I think EEAAO is winning Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay
|
Tue Dec 27, 2022 3:51 pm |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
We should have all bet on Everything Everywhere a few weeks ago when it was at +600 odds. Now it's basically even with Fablemens at +175.
|
Tue Dec 27, 2022 5:38 pm |
|
|
Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Yes i want it to win Everything Everywhere All At Once
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
|
Wed Dec 28, 2022 12:22 am |
|
|
Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11022 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Critics aren’t the academy. Still, surprised a film from that long ago is still mustering up support.
_________________
|
Wed Dec 28, 2022 9:11 am |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11567
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
zwackerm wrote: I think EEAAO is winning Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay It would have been really something if they had a more prominent "lead actor" role here too so EEAAO could have gone for the big 5 which is so rare. The fact that it can do Picture, Director, Actress, Screenplay, supporting actor, possibly supporting actress in a best case could give it 6/7 of those categories. I don't believe a film has ever gone 7/7 only at best 5/5 (last done by Silence of the Lambs). 6/7 though would be pretty extraordinary.
|
Wed Jan 04, 2023 10:45 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Early winner predictions
Best Picture Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Director The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Actor Colin Farrell The Banshees of Inisherin Best Actress Michelle Yeoh Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Supporting Actor Ke Huy Quan Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Supporting Actress Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin Best Original Screenplay Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Adapted Screenplay Women Talking Best Animated Feature Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Best Cinematography Top Gun Maverick Best Editing Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Foreign Language Film RRR Best Costumes Elvis Best Makeup and Hairstyling Elvis Best Production Design Elvis Best Visual Effects Avatar: The Way of Water Best Original Score Babylon Best Documentary All the Beauty and the Bloodshed Best Sound Top Gun Maverick
|
Thu Jan 05, 2023 2:58 pm |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18906 Location: San Diego
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
EEAOO would be a great BP winner. Hopefully they nominate Hsu if they nominate Jamie Lee too...
|
Fri Jan 06, 2023 6:31 pm |
|
|
letsmaybeLP92
Angels & Demons
Joined: Sat Apr 03, 2021 8:40 pm Posts: 201
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
zwackerm wrote: Early winner predictions Best Foreign Language Film RRR
Ummm wasn't RRR already confirmed not submitted and thus not eligible for the win?
|
Fri Jan 06, 2023 10:33 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
letsmaybeLP92 wrote: zwackerm wrote: Early winner predictions Best Foreign Language Film RRR
Ummm wasn't RRR already confirmed not submitted and thus not eligible for the win? It's already won like a dozen best foreign film awards so that would be quite unfortunate
|
Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:25 pm |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
I've seen RRR tossed around for a possible best picture nom. Weird that it wouldn't make the shortlist for foreign.
|
Sat Jan 07, 2023 1:04 am |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Wonder if the Angela Basset momentum could actually propel Wakanda Forever back into the BP lineup. They need at least one black movie in there, and neither Woman King or Till feel like locks to be the one. They could also just go full populist this year with Everything Everywhere, Top Gun, Avatar, Wakanda Forever, RRR and of course the new frontrunner - The Batman - all being nominated.
|
Wed Jan 11, 2023 3:07 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Woman King has a better chance than Black Panther, but Black Panther is ahead of Till
|
Wed Jan 11, 2023 3:16 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67066
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
They're never going to have three sequels and two comic-book movies in the Best Picture lineup. If they're going to include a sequel, it will be Maverick. If they're going to include a comic-book movie, it will be The Batman. I really do not see a way Wakanda Forever gets it. It didn't do anything spectacular at the box office, it doesn't star Chadwick Boseman, it just hasn't had anywhere near the same impact as the first did, and the first was already nominated. Nominating the sequel won't do anything for the Academy. But The Woman King has a chance.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Wed Jan 11, 2023 4:11 pm |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
I think these will be the 10 picture nominees
Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans The Banshees of Inisherin Avatar: The Way of Water Top Gun Maverick Elvis Tar The Woman King Women Talking Babylon
|
Wed Jan 11, 2023 5:19 pm |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11567
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
RIP Lisa Marie. Really heartbreaking.
A lot of people will be reading about the Presleys and think there's a serious chance here that Austin now will take best actor. It's a way to commemorate the family and celebrate their legacy and following the Golden Globes think best actor is completely up in the air.
|
Fri Jan 13, 2023 1:30 am |
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
With all the guilds out, my final predictions are
Banshees of Inishirin Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Elvis Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans Tar Top Gun: Maverick The Whale The Woman King Women Talking
Picture - EEAAO Director - Spielberg Actor - Colin Farrell Actress - Cate Blanchett Supp Act - Key Huy Quan Supp Actr - Angela Bassett Orig Screenplay - EEAAO Adapted - Women Talking Editing - EEAAO Cinematography - Top Gun Score - Batman
I think voters will be so worried about not having a black that both Wakanda and Woman King will get in. The Whale will ride its support from actors. Avatar will be the big snub. The Menu and Glass Onion will be the movies that in five years people will say "How was that not nominated?"
|
Sat Jan 14, 2023 1:49 pm |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11567
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Just realized the Oscars were in mid Mar not late Feb.
I understand the olden days of Oscar runs but feel people are so instantaneous everything now that the length from nominations to awards feels so much longer now.
Hope TGM can make one more re-release happen if it gets a lot of attention though. Never give up on $1.5B.
|
Mon Jan 23, 2023 10:03 pm |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67066
|
Re: 2023 Contenders
Yeah, it's stupid to hold an award show when people are already well into the new year and not wanting to think about the previous year anymore. People are in a nostalgic mood for the first few weeks of January, not March. It's also another reason the Oscars telecast isn't as popular as it used to be, and one that goes untalked about. Throughout the years there is a correlation between viewership and date held. Those held in February have better ratings than those held at the end of March. There are other factors, too, but it seems to be that when all other circumstances are equal, a February date wins the viewers.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:29 am |
|
|