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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
King Mickey in Kingdom Hearts is the perfect representation of him. Maybe the Super Mario Bros credits stinger teasing the Super Smash Initiative will get Disney to make their own video game crossover franchise first.
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Sat Oct 15, 2022 12:48 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38095
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I guess CGI Donald and Goofy are safer places to start
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Sat Oct 15, 2022 12:50 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11549
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
New Mario trailer came out introducing Princess Peach and DK and one other surprise at the end... Every piece of footage I see of this makes me smile. Marketing is incredible so far. This is going to be so big and it's my favourite to win the year 2023. $400M+, $1B+ worldwide and likely much, much more. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohJrpHUoZ10
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Tue Nov 29, 2022 10:15 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38095
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
They are set up great for sequels if this hits, there is a lot of iconic stuff they didn't have to use. Like if they put Yoshi in the second movie's trailer people would lose their shit. Wario gives you a non Bowser villain, Goombas, Boos, flying Mario or fireball Mario etc.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Nov 29, 2022 10:38 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21647 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I’ve never been so turned off by a trailer. It’s a tough call, but they are certainly to make it more the Peanuts, then a 400+ film. I think Lego movie is the goal. It’s like how everyone loves micke but it doesn’t mean success when he’s so readily available
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Tue Nov 29, 2022 11:16 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23831 Location: Classified
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I was thinking around 300 million after the first trailer. Now I'd be surprised if it fell under 400 million. The rainbow road shot was so money.
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Tue Nov 29, 2022 11:36 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6147 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
This looks horrible. It will be massive.
_________________ .
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Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:15 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18897 Location: San Diego
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Yeah this is gonna make $$$.
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Wed Nov 30, 2022 3:58 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32115 Location: the last free city
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Yeah this is gonna make $$$. ALL THE MONEY!!! I can’t believe how everything looks soo good.
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed Nov 30, 2022 5:31 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20369 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
This is going to be bad lol it looks like a ripoff of The Lego Movie but I bet it will do well. If Illumination can get Sing to 270m dom, they should have no problem getting Mario to that level or higher
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Wed Nov 30, 2022 11:35 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
This has Lego Movie novelty so it will definitely break out. At the moment thinking $275-$325m.
_________________
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http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed Nov 30, 2022 6:44 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I'm with Flava'd, $400m. But then I haven't seen the latest trailer.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Nov 30, 2022 6:59 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11549
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Feel the floor on this is $250M+ unless it's really bad.
If The Simpsons Movie had come out sooner (by Season 4-6) not 2007 (Season 17/18), pretty sure it could have doubled it's admissions. The 2007 version still adjusts today to $249,415,345 so just imagine how much higher than could have been in the 90s.
The Flintstones movie came out in 1994 and made $130,531,208. The last original episode came out in 1966 so 28 years later. That adjusts in 2022 to $292,602,612 domestic.
The fact that Mario has stayed relevant throughout the 80s, 90s, 00s, 10s and 20s and is playing into the family crowds is giving me the feel this will be a zeitgeist type movie. Every generation post 1955 will have nostalgia attached to it which plays in its favor.
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Thu Dec 01, 2022 12:50 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
The movie looks to be very fan servicey but I don’t care. Take my money now!
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Thu Dec 01, 2022 1:06 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11013 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Less sold on the second trailer, but I’m sure people will eat this up and will win 2023
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Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:54 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
It does have a good shot at winning the year. Will be interesting to watch it’s performance.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:10 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21647 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
This is the biggest wildcard in a while, I want it to be big, but we’ve seen so much IP just do ok or really big
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:04 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger?
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Fri Dec 02, 2022 7:05 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6147 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
MadGez wrote: I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? I think Pikachu had its gross limited by coming out the week after Endgame; the bizarre talking Pikachu/detective angle they went with; and attractiveness and charisma vacuum, would-be A-lister (now relegated to increasingly irrelevant supporting characters), industry plant'd they-shipped-it-but-it-got-shipped-back Justice Smith as the lead. If they had made a live action Pokemon starring Ash, Misti and Brook and it had come out in early April 2019 instead, it would've done waaaay better.
_________________ .
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Tue Dec 06, 2022 11:10 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Barrabás wrote: MadGez wrote: I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? I think Pikachu had its gross limited by coming out the week after Endgame; the bizarre talking Pikachu/detective angle they went with; and attractiveness and charisma vacuum, would-be A-lister (now relegated to increasingly irrelevant supporting characters), industry plant'd they-shipped-it-but-it-got-shipped-back Justice Smith as the lead. If they had made a live action Pokemon starring Ash, Misti and Brook and it had come out in early April 2019 instead, it would've done waaaay better. I think you are right. It had far too many things going against it that it’s eventual gross was perhaps fitting. A missed opportunity.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed Dec 07, 2022 6:35 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22691 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Barrabás wrote: MadGez wrote: I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? I think Pikachu had its gross limited by coming out the week after Endgame; the bizarre talking Pikachu/detective angle they went with; and attractiveness and charisma vacuum, would-be A-lister (now relegated to increasingly irrelevant supporting characters), industry plant'd they-shipped-it-but-it-got-shipped-back Justice Smith as the lead. If they had made a live action Pokemon starring Ash, Misti and Brook and it had come out in early April 2019 instead, it would've done waaaay better. I think you are right. It had far too many things going against it that it’s eventual gross was perhaps fitting. A missed opportunity.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed Dec 07, 2022 6:35 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11549
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Mario has locked down IMAX and PLF screens for 4 weeks until GOTG3! Everyone knows how big this is going to be. Looking like it could do some massive box office with that type of hold!
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Thu Mar 09, 2023 4:35 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67059
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I already had it down to win the year. This just cements it.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Mar 09, 2023 5:03 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6177
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
Presales started and its looking meh so far. it does not look like a blockbuster so far. As a kids movie we have to wait until release week to hone in on its OW but Sonic 2 should be a good target. I dont see it winning the year or anything crazy at this point.
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Thu Mar 09, 2023 6:14 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11549
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Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions
I'm not seeing a record breaking OW here or anything. Think it's going to be a longer run type play throughout much of the early summer and its more of an opening week vs OW film too. Wed opening day, Friday holiday and with many having Monday as a holiday as part of Easter for a 6 day opening tally. There isn't a central day to rush and see it. I definitely think its going to play well though longterm.
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Thu Mar 09, 2023 6:18 pm |
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