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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
If it's good, it will out gross DSIMOM with a 150-160m OW and 2.8ish multiple. If its meh like that film it will gross less than JW:D with a 2.3 multiple.
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Mon Jun 13, 2022 1:21 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6192
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Early predictions
25m previews / 150m OW /410m Domestic/600m OS/1.01B WW.
This is assuming it has good reviews.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Jun 13, 2022 1:23 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21649 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
What day is it opening?
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Mon Jun 13, 2022 5:19 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6192
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Previews start 7/7.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Jun 13, 2022 5:28 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Apparently Gorr is testing well with audiences. Hopefully we can have the second great phase 4 film with this one
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Tue Jun 14, 2022 12:55 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22704 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
I love the look of the film. Love what I'm seeing and hearing about Gorr. Love the fact that it has the GotG in it. Love Jane Foster and Valkyrie.
My only concern is that it becomes too light weight with all the OTT humour. I hope I'm wrong.
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Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:40 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6192
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
FYI Presales are well below DS2 which was marketed as NWH sequel and some crazy cameos. This seems more contained. I just dont see this coming close to DS2 OW. 150m is solid target.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue Jun 14, 2022 11:38 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Social media reactions are fantastic. Hoping it transitions well to critics and audiences.
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Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:39 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Review embargo does not lift until july 5th ugh. so much risk of spoilers by screening it so early
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Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:45 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6192
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
zwackerm wrote: Review embargo does not lift until july 5th ugh. so much risk of spoilers by screening it so early There is nothing shocking about these movies. They operate within a formula. If you want to avoid spoilers avoid social media until you see the movie.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Jun 30, 2022 4:34 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
BOP is prediction $154M. Probably low.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Wed Jul 06, 2022 8:13 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
70% critic reviews on RT.
That's meh but the MCU franchise is practically bulletproof.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Wed Jul 06, 2022 8:14 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21157 Location: Massachusetts
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
This will not have legs.
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Thu Jul 07, 2022 8:55 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
My theater was cracking up through the whole thing. Very funny movie.
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Thu Jul 07, 2022 10:53 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6192
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
last 2 days had phenomenal sales. Now thinking 29m previews and 160m OW. But legs wont be great as WOM is mixed for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 12:26 am |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
This will not have good wom
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 2:26 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32120 Location: the last free city
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: My theater was cracking up through the whole thing. Very funny movie. Same at my theater. and that mid credit scene had the biggest POP!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 7:30 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6192
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Looking back, this is going to be one of the most over predicted movies. I myself thought it had 200/500 potential after the teaser as I assumed with Taika it would get acclaim around similar to Ragnarok. Instead its having among the worst received MCU sequels to acclaimed predecessors.
OW looks like low 140s with previews making up 21% of OW. So 2nd weekend drop wont be pretty even with no competition(DS2 dropped 67% without any openers that weekend). Post that it should do ok and summer weekdays should help. So I am thinking 350m domestic. More than domestic overseas numbers look disappointing as its looking like finishing below Ragnarok even minus China/Russia grosses. So WW just under 750m.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat Jul 09, 2022 10:27 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
Thor Love and Thunder Cost 250m, and will likely top out over/under 750m WW. Isn't that barely breaking even?
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 1:12 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67066
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Re: Thor: Love and Thunder predictions
So it turns out this did pretty good. Domestically it beat Ragnarok, and worldwide it beat The Batman (minus China because Love & Thunder did not open there).
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Oct 09, 2022 6:26 am |
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