Author |
Message |
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18907 Location: San Diego
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
It being at $290m+ already... fucking crazy
|
Sun Jun 05, 2022 2:58 pm |
|
|
Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am Posts: 874
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
O wrote: From the top 400 domestic list, I'd say other high value candidates (though not likely probable) include Home Alone, Elf, Gladiator, Grease, The Exorcist, Jaws and ET.
Actors returning to iconic roles could also be mega blockbuster runs. Julia Roberts in Pretty Woman 2, Will Smith in a legit ID4 sequel once he's back in the public's good graces, Sigourney in Alien, Matthew Broadrick in Ferris Bueller 2, Lindsay Lohan and team in Mean Girls 2, Uma in Kill Bill 3, Sound of Music 2 (still #3 on the adjusted list).
I personally think the charm of a Ferris Bueller sequel would resonate big time as Bueller's kid takes the day off of school or something. Weaver in Aliens wouldn't have that impact, we've returned to the franchise many times, and Weaver's been in three of them. It'd be much more of a Terminator Dark Fate situation. I think the Exorcist brand is a bit diluted. (Blair even did her own spoof!) A Gladiator prequel might be big, but at this point there's no way to make any cast members look younger. (A Master and Commander sequel would be more feasible, and the toast of Film Twitter, but like Blade Runner, less commercial.)
|
Sun Jun 05, 2022 3:04 pm |
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32120 Location: the last free city
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
publicenemy#1 wrote: Stunning hold. Wow. Magic Mike wrote: Absolutely a mother of God hold. publicenemy#1 wrote: It being at $290m+ already... fucking crazy Agree on all the above The Cruise Man is having a great summer
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
|
Sun Jun 05, 2022 3:37 pm |
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Charlie is saying 28-29m range for sunday and so its not going to hit 90m. high end will barely miss 90m and low end will be tad below 89m. Considering all early projections have been below actuals there is still little bit of hope. But 89m is nothing to sneeze at for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
Sun Jun 05, 2022 11:20 pm |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
mark66 wrote: A brief history of my TGM total predicitions on my website:
$250m Yearly forecast $320m May forecast $600m Opening forecast
Feeling more and more comfortable that I wasn't that crazy with the $600m total...
BTW, my opening weekend forecast was $160m and my 2nd weekend forecast $85m... Awesome prediction. You should participate in this wknd’s Derby
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Sun Jun 05, 2022 11:58 pm |
|
|
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
lilmac wrote: Awesome prediction. You should participate in this wknd’s Derby Thing is, I just don't have the time... Running a website is very time consuming...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:49 am |
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
EmpireCity is saying 29.25m sunday. Unless Fri/Sat drops, it can go above 90m.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 9:58 am |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11571
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
The weekend went up $4M to $90M for a -29% hold. It's 3rd weekend will be the most interesting and insightful on where it ends up. Will it get hit harder by Jurassic Park or manage an under 35% hold? It's crazy that this only needs a 5.493 multiplier from a $90M weekend to reach $700M and top 5 all time. A 29% hold off of Memorial Weekend?
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 12:03 pm |
|
|
SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
O wrote: The weekend went up $4M to $90M for a -29% hold. It's 3rd weekend will be the most interesting and insightful on where it ends up. Will it get hit harder by Jurassic Park or manage an under 35% hold? It's crazy that this only needs a 5.493 multiplier from a $90M weekend to reach $700M and top 5 all time. A 29% hold off of Memorial Weekend? It's crazy it dropped just 29% coming off such a big, preview and holiday inflated, opening. That said, it had no new competition this weekend and next weekend it will lose most of it's IMAX and PLF screens to Jurassic World. It would be an amazing hold against Jurassic World to drop under 40%. Under 50% would be a good hold.
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 1:51 pm |
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status ... 2188219393OS actuals up big as well. Overall up 8.6m from estimates !!!
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:08 pm |
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18907 Location: San Diego
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Lol yeah this will go past a billion for sure. Meanwhile MoM will barely miss it. Wow.
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:21 pm |
|
|
Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Thats a mother of god level hold.
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:42 pm |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11571
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
It's breaking so many rules I can't keep track anymore. A Sixth Sense type hold for a $125M+ opener following an inflated Memorial Weekend appealing to older audiences who have barely showed up for the last few years with a sequel to a franchise 36 years old with 5 release date changes, starring an actor who's never had a movie make more than $234M or $1B turning 60 in less than a month, relying less on CGI, opening the same month as a Marvel movie, 2 years in a pandemic with some markets still limited, on its way to top 10 and possibly top 5 domestic of all time?!
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:10 pm |
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38157
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:32 pm |
|
|
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11571
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
To Spidy's credit, omicron lockdowns came in its second weekend. No one in the biggest provinces in Canada for instance could see it for a month! Still doesn't takeaway from how outstanding TG's hold is.
|
Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:36 pm |
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
EmpireCity is saying 12.1m Monday. That is absolute nuts again.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
Tue Jun 07, 2022 12:58 am |
|
|
Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
So, Tom Cruise finally made Boomers go back to the movies
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
|
Tue Jun 07, 2022 4:17 am |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Keyser Söze wrote: EmpireCity is saying 12.1m Monday. That is absolute nuts again. Just HOW? This is so exciting.
|
Tue Jun 07, 2022 5:12 am |
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20386 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
This will have to ding Jurassic World.
|
Tue Jun 07, 2022 7:18 am |
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32120 Location: the last free city
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Magic Mike wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: EmpireCity is saying 12.1m Monday. That is absolute nuts again. Just HOW? This is so exciting. WOW! $600 million is possible
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
|
Tue Jun 07, 2022 7:33 am |
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6193
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
As usual he updated to 12.3m. I think the numbers will be bonkers till wednesday and this will cool down on thu/fri due to JWD. After that it will do great again rest of the summer. 600m+ for sure.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
Tue Jun 07, 2022 10:02 am |
|
|
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Looks like $13.75m Tuesday...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
|
Wed Jun 08, 2022 7:12 am |
|
|
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67067
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
That would be a 13% week-to-week drop.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
|
Wed Jun 08, 2022 7:45 am |
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Goodness gracious great balls of fire . Well-deserved. Excellent movie. I'm going to go again. Should definitely be seen on the big screen. I wish Jurassic World weren't opening already and it could have another week mostly to itself.
|
Wed Jun 08, 2022 12:31 pm |
|
|
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
|
Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
mark66 wrote: A brief history of my TGM total predicitions on my website:
$250m Yearly forecast $320m May forecast $600m Opening forecast
Feeling more and more comfortable that I wasn't that crazy with the $600m total...
BTW, my opening weekend forecast was $160m and my 2nd weekend forecast $85m... Coming back to this....what an amazing prediction.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
|
Tue Aug 16, 2022 9:35 am |
|
|