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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Elvis Predictions
This could've been a bigger hit with a star in the lead role. As it is, I expect a similar performance to Rocketman rather than Bohemian Rhapsody. Maybe 30m OW and 100m total.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 1:18 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: Elvis Predictions
I guess Baz Luhrmann is the star...
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 1:55 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: Elvis Predictions
This may get a lot of older audiences back in the theater maybe. Idk how I feel about the trailer but hopefully it's good.
If reviews are at least ok I can see an opening in low 20s and then if it's well received decent legs.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 2:08 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Hopefully Downtown Abbey gets older moviegoers back a month earlier. The trailer is being shown with every screening of Death on the Nile.
I think older moviegoers will return gradually, there's no reason to panic yet IMO.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 2:26 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Trailer is really good, I watched it several times. If there's any interest in an Elvis biopic, this will maximize that potential.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 3:21 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11518
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Calling it here now, Tom Hanks will win his first Oscar (supporting) since Forrest Gump here (he got Covid during filming this too).
Looks very good and will do very good on coasts and heartland. Could see $150M+ here.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 7:45 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Elvis Predictions
$50M OW. Old people will risk covid for this.
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:07 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38018
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Re: Elvis Predictions
I would have spent some of the Hanks money on Elvis and Priscilla actors but I'm definitely interested as I love Baz
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:12 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Shack wrote: I would have spent some of the Hanks money on Elvis and Priscilla actors but I'm definitely interested as I love Baz These biopics seem to go for rising stars as opposed to big household names in the main roles, probably because they don't want the audience thinking about the famous actor and its easier to picture them as the titular music star when the actor isn't so well known.
_________________ .
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Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:17 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Reviews start out solidly at 83% 7.1/10. Too bad this film has a 45 day window as it will probably have legs.
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Thu May 26, 2022 8:41 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Feeling cautiously optimistic about this, thinking a $70-90 million total. Elvis is still an icon, reviews are good enough, marketing has been pretty intense, and this is probably WB's main push for the summer (I don't know how hard they're pushing Superpets?).
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Thu May 26, 2022 4:16 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Thinking $30m+ opening. 2 hours and 39 minutes is pretty long but hopefully it's well liked enough.
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Thu May 26, 2022 4:40 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22681 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Elvis Predictions
I think $30m OW is a good call. It should have decent legs and get to ~$100m.
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Thu May 26, 2022 6:46 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38018
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Re: Elvis Predictions
50 million+ opening weekend. A lot of people love the King.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri May 27, 2022 1:00 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Elvis Predictions
I feel like it has to do significantly better than Rocketman, which had no hype, did nothing but ride the coattails of Bohemian Rhapsody, and still almost grossed 100m.
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Fri May 27, 2022 8:22 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Shack wrote: 50 million+ opening weekend. A lot of people love the King. Yeah the good reviews seal the deal.
_________________ .
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Fri May 27, 2022 11:46 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Elvis Predictions
tracking is minimum 35m. Thinking the Luhrmann name is a draw as well as the topic and Hanks, and reviews.
Hoping for a Gatsby sized performance
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Fri May 27, 2022 11:53 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21890 Location: Places
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Shack wrote: 50 million+ opening weekend. A lot of people love the King. Yeah I am thinking this is going to do quite well, though a Christmas release would have been much better.
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Fri May 27, 2022 11:55 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6167
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Re: Elvis Predictions
I am also feeling this is gonna break out. let us see how presales go for this. Its starting 1st week of June.
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Fri May 27, 2022 6:17 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Elvis Predictions
This will have an 81 day window apparently and will not be available at home until 9/13
Edit, that's the blu ray release date. PVOD is available tomorrow
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Mon Aug 08, 2022 1:28 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Elvis Predictions
Not a bad run.
$250M+ WW
3rd to Straight Outta Compton & Bohemian Rhapsody among this century's real-life musical act movies.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
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Mon Aug 08, 2022 2:55 pm |
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