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2024 Contenders
https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=89899
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Author:  Darth Indiana Bond [ Wed Aug 09, 2023 5:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

I think Barbie gets a BP nom as a consolation prize

Author:  Barrabás [ Thu Aug 17, 2023 2:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Unless someone big dies, I don't see how Cillian Murphy loses. He is well-respected and the film is huge.

Author:  Shack [ Thu Aug 17, 2023 2:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

If Killers or Holdovers wins Best Picture over Oppenheimer they could carry their lead over him

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Thu Aug 17, 2023 2:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Just checked and last time the Best Actor won best Best Picture was ... The King's Speech. Wow, would've thought it happened more frequently than that. Supporting actor seems to lead to BP more often. Good news for DeNiro.

Author:  zwackerm [ Thu Aug 17, 2023 8:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Will the nose controversy make Maestro DOA for awards?

Author:  O [ Sun Aug 20, 2023 4:02 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Actor - Murphy
Supporting actor - DeNiro
Actress - Greta Lee
Supporting actress - Lily Gladstone
Director - Greta Gerwig
Best picture - KOTFM
Animated - Spider-verse
Original screenplay - Barbie
Adapted screenplay - KOTFM

The only certainty I feel is that DeNiro is going to be the biggest lock of the season if the performance lives up to expectations. Feels very much like Streep for The Iron Lady with the win 29 years after her last one and also to celebrate her career. Would be 43 years since his last win for Raging Bull. Only had 1 nomination in the last 32 years but had 4 nominations in a 6 year window from 1975 - 1981 with 2 wins. Him in a villain role with Leo and Martin and Apple will give this huge buzz.

Author:  zwackerm [ Sun Aug 20, 2023 8:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Im skeptical Past Lives gets major awards.

Author:  O [ Sun Aug 20, 2023 12:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Probably not but I was on the fence on actress. Robbie has a great chance.

Author:  Barrabás [ Wed Aug 23, 2023 8:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

zwackerm wrote:
Will the nose controversy make Maestro DOA for awards?


I don't think so, most people seem to agree it's ridiculous and the family came out and supported the movie and Bradley.

Author:  O [ Thu Aug 24, 2023 7:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Dune shifting to 2024 I think really helps Oppenheimer especially and Barbie too awards contention wise though I wonder if March 2024 is too early for it to stay in the attention of the Academy for 2025's Oscars in major categories.

Author:  Steve [ Thu Aug 24, 2023 8:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

O wrote:
Dune shifting to 2024 I think really helps Oppenheimer especially and Barbie too awards contention wise though I wonder if March 2024 is too early for it to stay in the attention of the Academy for 2025's Oscars in major categories.

I don’t know if the same “fall / winter release” rules still apply. Everything Everywhere was a March release and basically swept, and Barbie and Oppenheimer are both July blockbusters, which haven’t had much Oscar success since the 90’s.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Aug 27, 2023 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Put my money where my mouth is while in Jersey. $20 on Killers of the Flower Moon at +300 (3-1). They're not taking bets on any other categories yet though. :roll: :P

Author:  Shack [ Fri Sep 01, 2023 3:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Poor Things has 93 on metacritic, Stone may be leader now for Best Actress

Ferrari has 74

Author:  Shack [ Mon Sep 04, 2023 11:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Holdovers has 78 on metacritic however that could enough to be a feel good, mom friendly BP winner like Green Book and CODA

This year’s Pablo Lorrain movie is directed by Sofia Coppola (Priscilla) which has 84 on MC. Jacob Elordi plays Elvis - excel will be so happy!

Author:  Shack [ Sun Sep 10, 2023 11:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Maestro - 93% RT, 81 MC

Good enough for its actors to compete for win

Author:  Shack [ Sun Sep 17, 2023 4:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

The TIFF People’s Choice went to the Jeffrey Wright film American Fiction.

Quote:
Monk (Jeffrey Wright) is a frustrated novelist who’s fed up with the establishment profiting from “Black” entertainment that relies on tired and offensive tropes. To prove his point, Monk uses a pen name to write an outlandish “Black” book of his own, a book that propels him to the heart of hypocrisy and the madness he claims to disdain.

Author:  O [ Mon Sep 18, 2023 11:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Promising. TIFF has had a pretty good record of finding major Oscar contenders and winners.

Author:  Shack [ Tue Sep 19, 2023 11:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Lily Gladstone is apparently campaigning in lead

Author:  Shack [ Mon Oct 09, 2023 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Killers has worse reviews than the Irishman despite how critics would feel guilty about giving a movie about Native American plight a bad review. I think it will be good but not a masterpiece and won’t win BP.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Oct 09, 2023 2:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Didn't it have like 97 on meta after Cannes?

If Killers isn't that strong this is gonna be smooth sailing for Oppenheimer.

Author:  Barrabás [ Thu Oct 12, 2023 12:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

97% on Rotten Tomatoes after 70+ reviews and the consensus reads "Enormous in runtime, theme, and achievement, Killers of the Flower Moon is a sobering appraisal of America's relationship with Indigenous peoples and yet another artistic zenith for Martin Scorsese and his collaborators."

Bad reviews where?

Author:  Shack [ Thu Oct 12, 2023 1:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Barrabás wrote:
97% on Rotten Tomatoes after 70+ reviews and the consensus reads "Enormous in runtime, theme, and achievement, Killers of the Flower Moon is a sobering appraisal of America's relationship with Indigenous peoples and yet another artistic zenith for Martin Scorsese and his collaborators."

Bad reviews where?


It has 89 on MC compared to 94 for the Irishman. I mean 89 is nothing to sniff at and maybe the Irishman’s is a little high, but I also think the native subject matter bought them a few points.

Author:  Shack [ Wed Oct 18, 2023 11:13 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Best Actor is pretty easy: DiCaprio, Murphy, Cooper, Giamatti, and Wright will get in for American Fiction cause he screams respected/well liked veteran actor.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Thu Oct 19, 2023 10:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Return of the King, Titanic and Ben Hur had 11 wins.

Oppenheimer would need: Picture, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Sound, Costumes, Production Design and Score.

All seem achievable but that would only be a tie. Would need makeup or fx to break the record. Possible with RDJs makeup and the bomb scene...

Author:  Shack [ Fri Oct 20, 2023 12:18 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2024 Contenders

Would probably lose costume

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