AFI Movies of the Year

“Avatar: The Way of Water”
“Elvis”
“Everything Everywhere All at Once”
“The Fabelmans”
“Nope”
“She Said”
“TÁR”
“Top Gun: Maverick”
“The Woman King”
“Women Talking”

AFI Television Programs of the Year

“Abbott Elementary”
“The Bear”
“Better Call Saul”
“Hacks”
“Mo”
“Pachinko”
“Reservation Dogs”
“Severance”
“Somebody Somewhere”
“The White Lotus”

"Special award"

“The Banshees of Inisherin” (Searchlight Pictures)

Last year they went 8/10 for BP nominees and the two that didn't Belfast and Drive My Car don't really fit an American film awards. Though I think in previous years they have been worse.

The Woman King and Nope are looking stronger, though I still think Nope could look strong and then end up a nomination day snub.

I expect Banshees of Inisherin will get in over Nope. What would be likely to get in instead of She Said? Glass Onion? Living?
All Quiet on the Western Front could get in as the international film front runner

I missed originally that Banshees got a special award thing instead of being on the normal list.

This is a good list with many different types of films. The oscars will surely make it more homogenous though by knocking out Nope, Woman King and maybe Avatar for Banshees, Till and some mediocre (at best) Netflix movie.