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| 2023 Contenders https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=16&t=89060 |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Dec 07, 2022 3:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Re: Fablemens, I think general audiences are pretty sick of these legacy filmmakers shitting on their Marvel movies whilst continuing to make the same oscar bait over and over again. Oscar voters won't care about that. They basically gave Birdman best picture precisely for shitting on Marvel movies. So I think Spielberg will win direction, but hopefully lose picture to one of the two films that the GA, movie lovers and film snobs agreed on this year- EEAAO or Top Gun: Maverick. They're not my personal favorites, but both are solid 8/10s and since Turning Red and Weird have no chance I'll root for what's best for the movie industry. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Dec 16, 2022 2:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
63 metacritic score for Babylon. That should be the end for it, but getting poor reviews didn't stop Don't Look Up or Nightmare Alley last year. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Fri Dec 16, 2022 10:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Babylon may still be in the race but Margot Robbie seems like she's out. Reviews are brutal about her performance. They call her a movie-killer. I still maintain she's the female Jude Law: good but not great as an actor, too beautiful to be relatable. Barbie will be the last test of whether or not she can be headline a film. If that flops it's off to forever supporting actress land. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sat Dec 17, 2022 7:47 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
It's even 64% on Rotten Tomatoes, a platform that usually inflates a movie or TV programme's true critical sentiment. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sat Dec 17, 2022 11:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Margot still has a chance to get 5th over people like Colman or Davis |
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| Author: | Darth Indiana Bond [ Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Dare I say Everything Everywhere All at Once is winning everything, everywhere, all at once? |
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| Author: | Shack [ Tue Dec 27, 2022 1:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Yeah I'm feeling Everything Everywhere BP win at this point. It will connect with people emotionally. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Dec 27, 2022 3:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
I think EEAAO is winning Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Dec 27, 2022 5:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
We should have all bet on Everything Everywhere a few weeks ago when it was at +600 odds. Now it's basically even with Fablemens at +175. |
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| Author: | Mau [ Wed Dec 28, 2022 12:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Yes i want it to win Everything Everywhere All At Once |
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| Author: | Darth Indiana Bond [ Wed Dec 28, 2022 9:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Critics aren’t the academy. Still, surprised a film from that long ago is still mustering up support. |
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| Author: | O [ Wed Jan 04, 2023 10:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
zwackerm wrote: I think EEAAO is winning Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actor and Original Screenplay It would have been really something if they had a more prominent "lead actor" role here too so EEAAO could have gone for the big 5 which is so rare. The fact that it can do Picture, Director, Actress, Screenplay, supporting actor, possibly supporting actress in a best case could give it 6/7 of those categories. I don't believe a film has ever gone 7/7 only at best 5/5 (last done by Silence of the Lambs). 6/7 though would be pretty extraordinary. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Jan 05, 2023 2:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Early winner predictions Best Picture Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Director The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Actor Colin Farrell The Banshees of Inisherin Best Actress Michelle Yeoh Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Supporting Actor Ke Huy Quan Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Supporting Actress Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin Best Original Screenplay Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Adapted Screenplay Women Talking Best Animated Feature Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Best Cinematography Top Gun Maverick Best Editing Everything Everywhere All At Once Best Foreign Language Film RRR Best Costumes Elvis Best Makeup and Hairstyling Elvis Best Production Design Elvis Best Visual Effects Avatar: The Way of Water Best Original Score Babylon Best Documentary All the Beauty and the Bloodshed Best Sound Top Gun Maverick |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jan 06, 2023 6:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
EEAOO would be a great BP winner. Hopefully they nominate Hsu if they nominate Jamie Lee too... |
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| Author: | letsmaybeLP92 [ Fri Jan 06, 2023 10:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
zwackerm wrote: Early winner predictions Best Foreign Language Film RRR Ummm wasn't RRR already confirmed not submitted and thus not eligible for the win? |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jan 06, 2023 11:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
letsmaybeLP92 wrote: zwackerm wrote: Early winner predictions Best Foreign Language Film RRR Ummm wasn't RRR already confirmed not submitted and thus not eligible for the win? It's already won like a dozen best foreign film awards so that would be quite unfortunate |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Jan 07, 2023 1:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
I've seen RRR tossed around for a possible best picture nom. Weird that it wouldn't make the shortlist for foreign. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Jan 11, 2023 3:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Wonder if the Angela Basset momentum could actually propel Wakanda Forever back into the BP lineup. They need at least one black movie in there, and neither Woman King or Till feel like locks to be the one. They could also just go full populist this year with Everything Everywhere, Top Gun, Avatar, Wakanda Forever, RRR and of course the new frontrunner - The Batman - all being nominated. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Jan 11, 2023 3:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Woman King has a better chance than Black Panther, but Black Panther is ahead of Till |
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| Author: | Algren [ Wed Jan 11, 2023 4:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
They're never going to have three sequels and two comic-book movies in the Best Picture lineup. If they're going to include a sequel, it will be Maverick. If they're going to include a comic-book movie, it will be The Batman. I really do not see a way Wakanda Forever gets it. It didn't do anything spectacular at the box office, it doesn't star Chadwick Boseman, it just hasn't had anywhere near the same impact as the first did, and the first was already nominated. Nominating the sequel won't do anything for the Academy. But The Woman King has a chance. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Jan 11, 2023 5:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
I think these will be the 10 picture nominees Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans The Banshees of Inisherin Avatar: The Way of Water Top Gun Maverick Elvis Tar The Woman King Women Talking Babylon |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Jan 13, 2023 1:30 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
RIP Lisa Marie. Really heartbreaking. A lot of people will be reading about the Presleys and think there's a serious chance here that Austin now will take best actor. It's a way to commemorate the family and celebrate their legacy and following the Golden Globes think best actor is completely up in the air. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Jan 14, 2023 1:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
With all the guilds out, my final predictions are Banshees of Inishirin Black Panther: Wakanda Forever Elvis Everything Everywhere All At Once The Fabelmans Tar Top Gun: Maverick The Whale The Woman King Women Talking Picture - EEAAO Director - Spielberg Actor - Colin Farrell Actress - Cate Blanchett Supp Act - Key Huy Quan Supp Actr - Angela Bassett Orig Screenplay - EEAAO Adapted - Women Talking Editing - EEAAO Cinematography - Top Gun Score - Batman I think voters will be so worried about not having a black that both Wakanda and Woman King will get in. The Whale will ride its support from actors. Avatar will be the big snub. The Menu and Glass Onion will be the movies that in five years people will say "How was that not nominated?" |
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| Author: | O [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 10:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Just realized the Oscars were in mid Mar not late Feb. I understand the olden days of Oscar runs but feel people are so instantaneous everything now that the length from nominations to awards feels so much longer now. Hope TGM can make one more re-release happen if it gets a lot of attention though. Never give up on $1.5B. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2023 Contenders |
Yeah, it's stupid to hold an award show when people are already well into the new year and not wanting to think about the previous year anymore. People are in a nostalgic mood for the first few weeks of January, not March. It's also another reason the Oscars telecast isn't as popular as it used to be, and one that goes untalked about. Throughout the years there is a correlation between viewership and date held. Those held in February have better ratings than those held at the end of March. There are other factors, too, but it seems to be that when all other circumstances are equal, a February date wins the viewers. |
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