Please predict these films opening weekends by Here's first numbers

Here

The Best Christmas Pageant ever
Heretic
Red One
Gladiator II
Wicked
Moana 2 (3-day)
Y2K
Kraven the Hunter
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim
September 5
Mufasa: The Lion King
Sonic the Hedgehog 3
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29)
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29)
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29)
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29)

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list)

Previous winners:

2021



2022



2023



2024

January/February: Keyser Soze
March/April: stuffp
May/June: zwackerm
July/August: O
September/October: Keyser Soze

Here
$5m
The Best Christmas Pageant Ever $10.5m
Heretic $14m
Red One $26m
Gladiator II $46m
Wicked $89m
Moana 2 $67m
Y2K $1.2m
Kraven the Hunter $13m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim $8m
September 5 $500k
Mufasa: The Lion King $75m
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 $45m
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) $6m
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) $750k
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) $1m
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) $7.5m

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 10 million and beat Joker 2? The Brutalist

I'll post my edits in a reply if I change them:

Here
- $5M
Heretic - $3M
Red One - $29M
Gladiator II - $54M
Wicked - $127M
Moana 2 - $71M - I assume we're only prediction 3 day?
Y2K - i dunno what this is, will edit later
Kraven the Hunter - $14M - though it'd be way funnier if it missed double digits
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - $18M
September 5 - dunno what this is
Mufasa: The Lion King - $103M
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - $75M
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - $2.69M
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - $8M
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - what follows me is the whitest lace of light
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - $16M
Horizon: An America Saga Part 2 - $194M

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 10 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) - all of them

Here
: $5.5m
Best Christmas Pageant: $13m
Heretic: $11m
Red One: $23m
Gladiator II: $50m
Wicked: $101m
Moana 2 (3-day): $88m
Y2K: $3m
Kraven the Hunter: $22m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim: $29m
September 5: $3m
Mufasa: The Lion King: $90m
Sonic the Hedgehog 3: $65m
Babygirl: $5m
A Complete Unknown: $9m
The Fire Inside: $3.4m
Nosferatu: $12.2m

Bonus Q: A Complete Unknown.

Here
- 4
Heretic - 2
Red One - 25m
Gladiator II - 65m
Wicked - 150m
Moana 2 - 80m
Y2K - 5m
Kraven the Hunter - 35m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - 10m
September 5 - 10m
Mufasa: The Lion King - 160m
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - 80m
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - 3m
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - 18m
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - 6m
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - 20m
Horizon: An America Saga Part 2 - 15m
Best Christmas Pageant - 6m

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 10 million and beat Joker 2?
LOTR: War of the Rohirrim

Moana is the 3-day weekend right?

Yes

I changed the bonus question to 15

It's unfortunate we aren't predicting The Best Christmas Pageant Ever. That will open higher than Here, Heretic, and possibly even Red One, but I'm not predicting that. I guarantee it will do better than the first two movies though.

Here
- 6
The Best Christmas Pageant Ever - 16
Heretic - 7.5
Red One - 24
Gladiator II - 75
Wicked - 120
Moana 2 (3-day) - 90
Y2K - 3
Kraven the Hunter - 13
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - 8
September 5 - 2
Mufasa: The Lion King - 40
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - 38
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - 3.3
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - 5.4
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - 4
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - 11.9

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) Nosferatu

I'll add it

Thank you

Here
: $6.7m
Best Christmas Pageant: $11.0m
Heretic: $9.9m
Red One: $29.3m
Gladiator II: $81.3m
Wicked: $132.8m
Moana 2 (3-day): $89.4m
Y2K: $4.2m
Kraven the Hunter: $30.7m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim: $23.8m
September 5: $3.8m
Mufasa: The Lion King: $77.3m
Sonic the Hedgehog 3: $72.8m
Babygirl: $6.7m
A Complete Unknown: $13.1m
The Fire Inside: $3.4m
Nosferatu: $12.2m

Bonus: A Complete Unknown

I added Best Christmas Pageant

Here
- $9m
The Best Christmas Pageant ever - $18m
Heretic - $7m
Red One - $30m
Gladiator II - $61m
Wicked - $124m
Moana 2 (3-day) - $80m
Y2K - $5m
Kraven the Hunter - $16m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - $9m
September 5 - $2m
Mufasa: The Lion King - $63m
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - $68m
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - $4m
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - $11m
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - $6m
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - $14m

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) Nosferatu

Here
- 4.5
The Best Christmas Pageant ever - 4
Heretic - 4.5
Red One - 16
Gladiator II - 50
Wicked - 122
Moana 2 (3-day) - 83
Y2K - 2.5
Kraven the Hunter - 14
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - 28
September 5 - 2
Mufasa: The Lion King - 60
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - 65
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - 2.7
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - 5
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - 2
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - 12


BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list)
Nosferatu

Please predict these films opening weekends by Here's first numbers

Here
 8
The Best Christmas Pageant ever 6
Heretic 6
Red One 28
Gladiator II 58
Wicked 125
Moana 2 (3-day) 135
Y2K 5
Kraven the Hunter 17
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim 18
September 5 4
Mufasa: The Lion King 57
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 54
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) 7
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) 13
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) 2
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) 14

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) A Complete Unknown

When is the deadline??

By Here having numbers (probably Friday morning)

Here
- $5M
The Best Christmas Pageant Ever - $2M
Heretic - $4M
Red One - $32M
Gladiator II - $71M
Wicked - $115M
Moana 2 (3-day) - $120M
Y2K - $2M
Kraven the Hunter - $14M
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - $15M
September 5 - $3M
Mufasa: The Lion King - $71M
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - $50M
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - $2M
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - $4M
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - $1M
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - $12M

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? The Brutalist

Here
- $5M
TBCPE - $2M
Heretic - $4M
Red One - $28M
Gladiator II - $60M
Wicked - $127M
Moana 2 - $98M
Y2K - $2M
Kraven the Hunter - $11m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - $18M
September 5 - $1M
Mufasa: The Lion King - $69M
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - $48M
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - $2.69M
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - $8M
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - $4M
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - $16M
Horizon: An America Saga Part 2 - $363M

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 10 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) - Complete Unknown

Here
- 6
The Best Christmas Pageant Ever - 5
Heretic - 8
Red One - 35
Gladiator II - 50
Wicked - 90
Moana 2 (3-day) - 130
Y2K - 13
Kraven the Hunter - 10
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim - 25
September 5 - 4
Mufasa: The Lion King - 60
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 - 50
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) - 8
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) - 15
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) - 7
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) - 12

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 10 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) - Y2K

Here
 8m
The Best Christmas Pageant ever 7m
Heretic 8m
Red One 32m
Gladiator II 62m
Wicked 92m
Moana 2 (3-day) 57m
Y2K 4m
Kraven the Hunter 17m
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim 15m
September 5 5m
Mufasa: The Lion King 85m
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 55m
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) 6m
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) 12m
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) 3m
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) 7.5m

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) A Complete Unknown

The ones I hadn't heard of:

Christmas Pageant looks like a Tyler Perry movie with white people.

Y2K looks like something I'll enjoy but smashing that many genres together never works at the box office.

With S5 I was thinking "didn't we just do this?" but no, Munich was 19 years ago. We are old now lol.

Here $5.8 million
The Best Christmas Pageant ever $6 million
Heretic $8 million
Red One $24.1 million
Gladiator II $52.3 million
Wicked $101.9 million
Moana 2 (3-day) $91.2 million
Y2K $3 million
Kraven the Hunter $14.5 million
The Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim $26.4 million
September 5 $5 million
Mufasa: The Lion King $48.2 million
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 $40.9 million
Babygirl (Dec. 27-29) $5 million
A Complete Unknown (Dec. 27-29) $6.7 million
The Fire Inside (Dec. 27-29) $4 million
Nosferatu (Dec. 27-29) $6.3 million

BONUS QUESTION: Which movie will open under 15 million and beat Joker 2? (does not have to be on the list) I don’t think there is a sleeper hit for 2024 in the same way that Anyone But You was a sleeper hit for 2023

I mean, a movie doesn't have to leg out as much as Anyone But You to beat Joker 2. The holiday helps a lot of movies have really good multipliers.

Surprised that nobody has gone for Nightbitch for the bonus question. It was between that and The Brutalist for me and I eventually opted for the latter due to personal viewing preference. It's all I could use to break the tie in my mind. I reckon Nightbitch has that feminist angle that could really gain traction around awards season. Though it is really quiet right now. I know it's early but it's deathly quiet.