-45% drop
this movie YOU HAVE TO SEE IT TWICE!!!
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| June 9-11 Predictions https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90027 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 8:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | June 9-11 Predictions |
Finally a week with no small films being dumped with no marketing, at least as far as I can tell. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts- 39m Spider Verse -45% Little Mermaid -40% |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 8:30 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
55-59% heavy frontloading |
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| Author: | Rev [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 8:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
-45% drop this movie YOU HAVE TO SEE IT TWICE!!!
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 10:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Finally a week with no small films being dumped with no marketing, at least as far as I can tell. What small film was dumped with no marketing this weekend? |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 11:16 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: Finally a week with no small films being dumped with no marketing, at least as far as I can tell. What small film was dumped with no marketing this weekend? Simulant 
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 11:24 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: Finally a week with no small films being dumped with no marketing, at least as far as I can tell. What small film was dumped with no marketing this weekend? The machine, Kandahar, you hurt my feelings, knights of the zodiac, hypnotic, rallyroad racers, to name a few |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 12:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: Finally a week with no small films being dumped with no marketing, at least as far as I can tell. What small film was dumped with no marketing this weekend? The machine, Kandahar, you hurt my feelings, knights of the zodiac, hypnotic, rallyroad racers, to name a few He means THIS weekend, June 2-4. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 2:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Really wish this Transformers would have moved or better yet never existed at all. No way this isn't a Terminator Genisys/Men In Black International type right? It's going to be dead on arrival yet also prevent Spiderverse from having a mother of god level drop (though it should still be very good in the 48-52% range.) Asteroid City and The Blackening being the biggest new releases would have helped those two as well. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 2:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Truly a terrible date for Transformers. Should've released with less competition. July 7 would've been a decent date for it. Right now could see it opening anywhere from 20-35. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 2:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Boogeyman probably should have opened this weekend instead of the current weekend. Would have had a much easier time building counter-programming buzz against Rise of the Beasts instead of Spider-Verse, and it would still have four weekends to itself before Insidious |
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| Author: | Algren [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 2:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: No way this isn't a Terminator Genisys/Men In Black International type right? It's going to be dead on arrival It does have such an air about it, yes. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Jun 02, 2023 6:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
publicenemy#1 wrote: Truly a terrible date for Transformers. Should've released with less competition. July 7 would've been a decent date for it. Right now could see it opening anywhere from 20-35. Presales does not say its that low. I think its opening > 40m. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Jun 03, 2023 1:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Algren wrote: zwackerm wrote: Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: Finally a week with no small films being dumped with no marketing, at least as far as I can tell. What small film was dumped with no marketing this weekend? The machine, Kandahar, you hurt my feelings, knights of the zodiac, hypnotic, rallyroad racers, to name a few He means THIS weekend, June 2-4. Bingo. The only wide releases were Spider-Man and Boogeyman. Boogeyman had plenty of marketing. So this weekend didn't have one either.. Except for all of the small movies that get dumped into limited release every week. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sat Jun 03, 2023 3:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Yeah, even I saw marketing for The Boogeyman everywhere. I probably saw more for it than for Across the Spider-Verse |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Sun Jun 04, 2023 7:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
I am convinced the Transformers franchise, just like the Fast & Furious franchise, is money laundering at this point |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Jun 07, 2023 6:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Looks like 40-45m is safe with a chance at 50m Should manage 100m domestic with more and more schools out. Though it will debut behind the second week of spider-Man |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu Jun 08, 2023 1:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Looks like 1.5m through early fan shows. Probably another 6-7m through thursday shows. Friday presales also look ok. I think it can hit 50m unless walkups suck big time. I also just came out of early screening of The Flash. I think it will play well with audience. My audience did take it very well though CGI had issues. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Jun 08, 2023 11:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Transformers is being helped I think by the gap in movies. Less fatigue now for sure than 2017-2018 when Transformers 5 and Bumblebee did sub 150m total |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Jun 09, 2023 12:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Insane final day for Transformers. Amazing walkups. Now I am thinking 8.5+ previews including early shows and 55-60m OW. Great walkups over the weekend will get it there. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Fri Jun 09, 2023 8:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
This outdoing Fast X's preview numbers (or coming close without the Wednesday previews) is pretty shocking. And it sounds like Spider-Verse stayed above $10M yesterday, so we're definitely good to have two $50M grossers this weekend...or could they both go above $60M?! |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Jun 09, 2023 11:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Deadline #'s: Transformers $8.8M Spider-verse $10.1M Very impressive for Transformers given how The Last Knight Did. Bumblebee certainly helped the franchise as did time. |
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| Author: | Corpse [ Fri Jun 09, 2023 12:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: June 9-11 Predictions |
Good for Transformers. Definitely could have fell off a cliff given past precedent. If it's not too frontloaded, maybe it can do a $60m/$150m sort of run. Overseas numbers are still coming in relatively low across the board though, and this one is no exception from what I see, so $500 million will be difficult and outgrossing The Last Knight isn't happening. Beating Bumblebee might be tough too. And with a $200m budget, breaking even becomes a question for yet another film. But I don't really blame the budgets so much as OS numbers being lackluster lately. Spider-Man staying above $10 million all week and earning $49.3 million over the weekdays is pretty amazing. Its dailies beat JW: Dominion by over $3 million despite opening to $24 million less. |
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