Just to be clear, I don't consider the game "real" predictions at least on my part. So $130M isn't a disappointment for Spider-verse in a rational sense (also considering it has a $100M budget).
It's hard to score well in the middle or in range so going on the outliers give a greater chance to maybe get ahead points wise.
For instance, I don't realistically think both Transformers $23M and Elemental $21M will go that low but I have a higher chance of points than if I stay in the range of others predictions.
Just my personal strategy. If there was no contest, I'd realistically probably had done $150-155M but a bunch of people were predicting in that range.
Realize this is easy to say after the fact but I think based on my past predictions in other months its clear I tend to go overall on a pattern side either too high or too low (and in some cases 1 movie costs me the win from being so far off).
Sort of like the stock market. The real impact is from the outliers that not everyone else is in. But it can also lead to another last place finish which I know all too well.
