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Mothers Day Weekend numbers
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Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 12, 2023 11:17 am ]
Post subject:  Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Book Club 500k preview

Seems like maybe high single digits.

Crazy the original made almost 70m. This will be lucky to make 25m

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 12, 2023 12:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 12, 2023 1:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Algren wrote:
The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.


I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day.

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 12, 2023 1:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.


I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day.


Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres.

The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 12, 2023 1:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Algren wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.


I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day.


Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres.

The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man.


It’s a wide release in 3000+ theaters. It’s not just arthouses playing it.

By June it’s PTA will be pitiful.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri May 12, 2023 3:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Am I the only one who doesn't remember the first Book Club at all? I'm convinced it doesn't exist. This is an accounting conspiracy. And it goes all the way to the top!

Author:  Rev [ Fri May 12, 2023 3:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

The first Book Club opened to 13.5m and finished with 68.5m domestic. A 5.0 multiplier :noway:
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6 ... =bo_se_r_1

it opened on 5/17/2018 competing against summer movies Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo, Incredibles 2, JW:Fallen Kingdom...

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 12, 2023 3:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.


I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day.


Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres.

The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man.


It’s a wide release in 3000+ theaters. It’s not just arthouses playing it.

By June it’s PTA will be pitiful.


You've given nothing yet to prove your theory.

It opens in more-or-less the same as the first. Why is this going to deviate from the first's performance?

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 12, 2023 3:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Algren wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Algren wrote:
The first had pretty good legs. These films appeal to older moviegoers, and they don't rush out opening weekend. The first only opened to $13.5 million. If this does high single digits, it could finish with $40 million if it has the same legs as the first.


I don’t really see how it has great legs as it will lose butt tons of theaters after Memorial Day.


Why will it? The first didn't - it gained theatres.

The sort of cinema that has this type of film isn't the sort of cinema that would care about The Little Mermaid or Spider-Man.


It’s a wide release in 3000+ theaters. It’s not just arthouses playing it.

By June it’s PTA will be pitiful.


You've given nothing yet to prove your theory.

It opens in more-or-less the same as the first. Why is this going to deviate from the first's performance?

Because it will open to barely half of the first film. So it will probably do like 4-5m next week and barely be doing anything by Memorial Day. It’s not gonna have a much bigger total than AYTG?IM,M

Just because the first is leggy doesn’t mean this one will be. 80 For Brady barely got a 3x multiple

Author:  Thegun [ Fri May 12, 2023 3:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

You said hi single digits in the first post, that's 9 million. similar legs would put it at 45 million. It should play well for older audiences, the first isn't the only extremely old skewing movie to do well. 80 for Brady somehow managed a 3+ multiplier despite being a one weekend only type of movie. The first did 625k. Similar roll out would be around 10-11 million for the weekend.

Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Fri May 12, 2023 4:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Copied Algrens record list (sorry :unsure: ) - new entry incoming...

CONSECUTIVE DAYS OVER $1 MILLION:

101 Titanic

80 Avatar
80 E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial

75 Top Gun: Maverick

61 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace

59 Finding Nemo
54 Back to the Future
54 Ghostbusters
54 Jurassic Park
54 Shrek 2
52 Aladdin (2019)
52 Avatar: The Way of Water
52 The Avengers
52 Black Panther
52 The Hangover
52 Incredibles 2
52 Shrek
52 Toy Story 4

48 The Passion of the Christ
47 Coco
47 Frozen
47 Moana
47 Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
46 Batman
45 Avengers: Infinity War
45 The Blind Side
45 Bridesmaids
45 Cars
45 Frozen II
45 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
45 Inside Out
45 Jurassic World
45 The Sixth Sense
45 Spider-Man
45 Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens
45 Toy Story 3
45 Up
45 Wonder Woman
43 Independence Day
41 Despicable Me
41 Finding Dory
41 The Secret Life of Pets
41 Spider-Man: Far from Home
41 Terminator 2: Judgment Day
40 The Dark Knight
40 Despicable Me 2
40 Despicable Me 3
40 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle
40 The Jungle Book (2016)
40 Minions: The Rise of Gru
40 Spider-Man 2

39 A Star Is Born (2018)
39 Iron Man
39 Joker
38 American Sniper
38 Apollo 13
38 Avengers: Endgame
38 Beauty and the Beast (2017)
38 Bruce Almighty
38 The Dark Knight Rises
38 Deadpool
38 Elvis
38 Inception
38 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
38 Knocked Up
38 Kung Fu Panda
38 The Lion King (2019)
38 Maleficent
38 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
38 The Proposal
38 Ratatouille
38 Saving Private Ryan
38 Shrek the Third
38 Spider-Man: Homecoming
38 Spider-Man: No Way Home
38 Wedding Crashers
38 Zootopia

37 The Super Mario Bros. Movie (heading for 40 days)

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 12, 2023 4:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Haha. I'm on it, Samweis. Was waiting for it to hit 38

Author:  Skyblade [ Fri May 12, 2023 6:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Sequels to movies for older audiences are probably a tougher sell because they're more skeptical about franchises and they died in the meantime. I also think 80 For Brady scratched that itch.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 12, 2023 8:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Early

GoTG 3 15/55
Mario 2.9/13.3
Book Club 2.1/7
Evil Dead 1/3.6
Margaret 515k/2.3
Hypnotic 800k/2.3

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri May 12, 2023 11:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

If it can hold onto theaters, GOTG has a chance to match the original unadjusted

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri May 12, 2023 11:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

zwackerm wrote:
If it can hold onto theaters, GOTG has a chance to match the original unadjusted


Theaters is not the issue. next week its losing Imax/PLF and so will take a big hit and following that every week there is a wide big opener. So screens/showtimes will be challenging. Especially into June. Even Mario took a big hit last week bcos Guardians took all Imax/PLF screens.

Author:  Brian [ Sat May 13, 2023 12:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Who’s going to the movies this weekend??? most people will be playing ZELDA TEARS OF THE KINGDOM :wub2:

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat May 13, 2023 2:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

The sequel to Book Club is not going to have the same kind of legs as the first. It's been so long since the first and I don't think many felt a sequel was necessary. It's easier for an original movie to leg out. That doesn't happen as often with sequels.

That being said I'm hoping to catch it while it's playing. I saw the first in theaters with my mom and a few other family members. We all enjoyed it.

Author:  Shack [ Sat May 13, 2023 3:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Streaming era hits this hard since the first one. Old people are just gonna watch this at home.

Author:  Algren [ Sat May 13, 2023 4:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Skyblade wrote:
Sequels to movies for older audiences are probably a tougher sell because they're more skeptical about franchises and they died in the meantime. I also think 80 For Brady scratched that itch.


Magic Mike wrote:
The sequel to Book Club is not going to have the same kind of legs as the first. It's been so long since the first and I don't think many felt a sequel was necessary. It's easier for an original movie to leg out. That doesn't happen as often with sequels.


These arguments make sense.

Author:  zwackerm [ Sat May 13, 2023 10:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Guardians official estimate 15.7m

Looks like 57-58m and a 51-52% drop. Which will be the 6th or 7th best hold on the MCU for a second weekend, over or under Far From Home and beating Thor Ragnarok

Author:  Rev [ Sat May 13, 2023 11:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

zwackerm wrote:
Guardians official estimate 15.7m

Looks like 57-58m and a 51-52% drop. Which will be the 6th or 7th best hold on the MCU for a second weekend, over or under Far From Home and beating Thor Ragnarok


THANK DA MCU GODS! :D

I was worried it'd be another 60% + drop

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sat May 13, 2023 12:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Excellent drop for Guardians.

Evil Dead Rise is gonna pass Shazam tomorrow... yeesh

Author:  Rev [ Sat May 13, 2023 12:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

publicenemy#1 wrote:
Evil Dead Rise is gonna pass Shazam tomorrow... yeesh


EMBARRASING :disgust:

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Sat May 13, 2023 12:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Mothers Day Weekend numbers

Yeah Shazam was waaaay better off against Avatar. Even with a low opening the holidays could've had it hit like 80m+... still bad but lol

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