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July 21-23 Predictions

Author	Message
zwackerm Hold the door! Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin	July 21-23 Predictions Barbie 145m Oppenheimer 68m Mission Impossible -45%
Fri Jul 14, 2023 7:41 am

Rev Romosexual! Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Barbie 105m Oppenheimer 60m Mission Impossible -55% _________________ Is it 2024 yet?
Fri Jul 14, 2023 8:10 am

O Extraordinary Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11518	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Going to be a huge weekend (possibly biggest of the year?) and Sound of Freedom's holds will help expand it even further. Unfortunately MI doesn't look like it has smooth waters ahead.
Fri Jul 14, 2023 9:39 am

publicenemy#1 Extraordinary Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Should be an epic weekend. Leaning toward Barbie going for $150m+. The presales and hype are there. 60m+ for Oppenheimer seems like too much; if it does do that I think the whole Barbenheimer and double feature thing will do it. I'm gonna go with $52m. I think with MI opening on Wednesday the drop will probably be like 54%.
Fri Jul 14, 2023 10:49 am

Keyser Söze Quality is a great business plan Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166	Re: July 21-23 Predictions B - 150 O - 70 M - 20 :-( _________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter I used to be shawman.
Fri Jul 14, 2023 11:04 am

publicenemy#1 Extraordinary Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Keyser Söze wrote: B - 150 O - 70 M - 20 :-( 70!? If it hits that that would be crazy
Fri Jul 14, 2023 11:38 am

Keyser Söze Quality is a great business plan Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166	Re: July 21-23 Predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: B - 150 O - 70 M - 20 :-( 70!? If it hits that that would be crazy I will confirm on Sunday where things are. Pre-sales are ahead of Indy and MI7. Not jus for previews but for weekend as well. _________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter I used to be shawman.
Fri Jul 14, 2023 11:56 am

JustLurking Wall-E Joined: Wed Sep 30, 2020 1:44 pm Posts: 876	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Barbie 165 Oppenheimer 70
Fri Jul 14, 2023 12:28 pm

Algren now we know Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043	Re: July 21-23 Predictions I'm also not thinking big for Oppenheimer. I reckon it will have a $42m opening. Barbie, not sure. Anything over $100m just seems absurd to me, and even if all tracking says it will do it I can't bring myself to predict that high. I'll go with $71m. _________________ STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
Fri Jul 14, 2023 5:28 pm

stuffp Keeping it Light Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11207 Location: Bright Falls	Re: July 21-23 Predictions I predicted 93/52 for B and O in the monthly game, and I was way too high on MI, in hindsight I should have reversed hypes, and while I think going over 130m is still too crazy for Barbie I believe it will do better than Spider-verse, and regardless of the Barbie opening, Oppenheimer should be good for at least half of it. And it could end up being very close, but at the max I can't see the combined opening be over 200m.
Fri Jul 14, 2023 6:39 pm

MadGez Dont Mess with the Gez Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Barbie - $133m Oppenheimer - $52m Barbie could go higher but will leave it at that. Edit: went up from $108m to $133m _________________ What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @ http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
Fri Jul 14, 2023 7:01 pm

Barrabás llegó a la casa vía marítima Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Barbie: $115M Oppenheimer: $58M _________________ .
Fri Jul 14, 2023 10:59 pm

Magic Mike Wallflower Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Empire City said on Twitter that he wouldn't be shocked if Barbie opens to 170+. That would be absolutely insane and I very much doubt that. I don't even know how there are so many people excited for it but I swear everyone has been talking about it. It's definitely opening above 100. That's a given. I would even say 120 Million is a very safe bet. I hope it's huge for WB so they have some money to release Salem's Lot sometime . I'm dying for that one. I really want them to get some kind of trailer out to attach to The Nun 2.
Sat Jul 15, 2023 2:03 pm

zwackerm Hold the door! Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin	Re: July 21-23 Predictions What would Oppenheimer have to do for the second biggest non number 1 debut? I know number one is Inside Out. Is number 2 still The Day After Tomorrow?
Sat Jul 15, 2023 3:17 pm

Shack Devil's Advocate Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38017	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Barbie seems set for a number that's going to make my brain break. I posted a few months ago that there could be a pretty long period of time between 150 million openers with Mario missing due to its Wednesday open and a relatively soft upcoming holiday schedule, but I guess you can't hold down the 150 mil+ blockbuster opening for too long before something weird happens. _________________ Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
Sat Jul 15, 2023 3:22 pm

zwackerm Hold the door! Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin	Re: July 21-23 Predictions At every theater near me, Oppenheimer is only playing on one standard screen and one imax screen. Weird. Barbie has like 3x as many shows
Sat Jul 15, 2023 9:22 pm

Keyser Söze Quality is a great business plan Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166	Re: July 21-23 Predictions MI7 wont drop as bad as I feared. OW at least will be close to 55m and even with Barbenheimer it should do 25m 2nd weekend. Presales for Barbie is just Crazy at the moment. not just for previews as well. Oppenheimer is also crushing all recent openers like Flash, Indy and MI7. its friday sales is 30% higher than previews and growing faster as well. So it will have a good internal multi due to spillovers. _________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter I used to be shawman.
Sun Jul 16, 2023 2:50 am

Excel Superfreak Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21890 Location: Places	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Theater owners, start your popcorn machines! The release of both Barbie and Oppenheimer on the same weekend has definitely helped build buzz for both films. Barbie has a likely floor of $150m with room to really explode while Oppenheimer is looking at $50m+ and possibly even $70m. This is a similar mid-July pop culture explosion similar to what we saw in 2008 with THE DARK KNIGHT. We'll see where it ends up but Barbie is bordering on outright pop culture phenom status which could lead to truly mind-blowing business. Barbie 2 needs to be a premiere Christmas film and release in 2025. Whatever else is there will move to avoid it no doubt. Optimistic prediction: Barbie - $185m Oppenheimer - $70m MI7: $30m Everything else ( aside from SOF) R.I.P. _________________ Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Sun Jul 16, 2023 11:11 am

zwackerm Hold the door! Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Sound of Freedom will keep doing well as well.
Sun Jul 16, 2023 3:10 pm

Jonathan Begging Naked Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Barbie - $150 million Oppenheimer - $57 million Dead Reckoning -53% Sound of Freedom -25%? Everything else save maybe Elemental -50% and over Epic weekend incoming
Sun Jul 16, 2023 8:36 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Are any chains running a double-feature special this weekend? _________________ Japan Box Office *“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”* *“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”* *“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”* *“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”* *"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."*
Mon Jul 17, 2023 9:13 pm

zwackerm Hold the door! Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin	Re: July 21-23 Predictions I compiled a list of the top non #1 debuts. Oppenheimer has a good chance to be number 2. Spoiler: show Inside Out $90,440,272 The Day After Tomorrow $68,743,584 World War Z $66,411,834 Sherlock Holmes $62,304,277 Pokémon: Detective Pikachu $54,365,242 Prometheus $51,050,101 Wanted $50,927,085 Lightyear $50,577,961 The Great Gatsby (2013) $50,085,185 How to Train Your Dragon 2 $49,451,322 Alvin and the Chipmunks The Squeakquel $48,875,415 Tangled $48,767,052 Kung Fu Panda 2 $47,656,302 The Longest Yard (2005) $47,606,480 Interstellar $47,510,360 Madagascar $47,224,594 Fifty Shades Darker $46,607,250 Trolls $46,581,142 Ghostbusters (2016) $46,018,755 Mad Max: Fury Road $45,428,128 Alvin and the Chipmunks $44,307,417 The Peanuts Movie $44,213,073 A Star is Born $42,908,051 Terminator: Salvation $42,558,390 Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs $41,690,382 The Hangover Part 3 $41,671,198 Grown Ups 2 $41,508,572 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood $41,082,018 Independence Day: Resurgence $41,039,944 Casino Royals $40,833,156 The Last Airbender $40,325,019 Grown Ups $40,506,562 Power Rangers $40,300,288 The Mummy: The Tomb of the Dragon Emperor $40,457,770 Safe House $40,172,720 Rio 2 $39,327,869 The Good Dinosaur $39,155,217 Magic Mike $39,127,170 The Heat $39,115,043 Daddy’s Home $38,740,203 You Don’t Mess With the Zohan $38,531,374 The Legend of Tarzan $38,527,856 Over the Hedge $38,457,003 Bee Movie $38,021,044 Pacific Rim $37,285,325 Annabelle $37,134,255 Kingsman: The Secret Service $36,206,331 Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $36,169,328 Robin Hood (2010) $36,063,385 Salt $36,011,243 The Smurfs $35,611,637 Creed 2 $35,574,710 Central Intelligence $35,535,250 Lilo and Stitch $35,260,212 Sing $35,258,145 Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again $34,952,180 Sausage Party $34,263,534 The Blind Side $34,119,372 Get Hard $33,803,253 Epic $33,531,068 Ted 2 $33,507,870 Wrath of the Titans $33,457,18 Live Free or Die Hard $33,369,559 Hustlers $33,181,361 A Wrinkle in Time $33,123,609 X-Men: Dark Phoenix $32,828,348 The Book of Eli $32,789,494 Due Date $32,689,406 Mr. Peabody and Sherman $32,207,057 Wedding Crashers $32,200,000 Elf $32,100,000 The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie $32,018,216 The Mummy (2017) $31,688,375 Bad Teacher $31,603,106 The Purge: Election Year $31,515,110 The Wolfman $31,479,235 Percy Jackson and the Olympians The Lightning Thief $31,236,067 Girls Trip $31,201,920 Into the Woods $31,051,923 Sex and the City 2 $31,001,870 Step Brothers $30,940,732 Knocked Up $30,690,990 Unbroken $30,621,445 The Happening $30,517,109 John Wick: Chapter 2 $30,436,123 M3gan $30,429,860 Olympus Has Fallen $30,373,794 Unbreakable $30,330,771 The Addams Family $30,300,007 John Carter $30,180,188 Django Unchained $30,122,888 The Best Man Holiday $30,107,55 Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time $30,095,259 Sleepy Hollow $30,060,467 Saw V $30,053,954 Catch Me if You Can $30,053,627 The Purge: Anarchy $29,816,675 Hercules (2014) $29,800,263 Constantine $29,769,098 Dark Shadows $29,685,274 Daddy’s Home 2 $29,651,193 Elemental $29,602,429 Insidious: The Last Key $29,581,355 Justin Bieber: Never Say Never $29,514,05 Now You See Me $29,350,389 The Muppets $29,239,026 The Lone Ranger $29,210,849 The Divergent Series: Allegiant $29,027,348 Edge of Tomorrow $28,760,246 Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy $28,416,365 Nacho Libre $28,309,599 Horrible Bosses $28,302,165 Starsky & Hutch $28,103,367 Hairspray (2007) $27,800,000 Mamma Mia! $27,751,240 Jarhead $27,726,210 Haunted Mansion (2003) $27,623,580 The Ugly Truth $27,605,576 Cheaper By the Dozen (2004) $27,557,647 Wonder $27,547,866 The Devil Wears Prada $27,537,244 After Earth $27,520,040 Bedtime Stories $27,450,296 Journey 2: The Mysterious Island $27,335,363 Les Miserables (2012) $27,281,735 The Bourne Identity $27,118,640 A Madea Family Funeral $27,062,332 Terminator Genisys $27,018,486 Alice Through the Looking Glass $26,858,726 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button $26,853,816 Knives Out $26,769,548 The Campaign $26,588,460 All Eyez on Me $26,435,354 We’re the Millers $26,419,396 Why Did I Get Married Too? $29,289,537 Bridesmaids $26,247,410 Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues $26,232,425 Bolt $26,223,128 The Help $26,044,590 Rocketman $25,725,722 Captain Phillips $25,718,314 Fantastic Four (2015) $25,685,737 The A Team $25,669,455 Big Momma’s House $25,661,041 About Last Night $25,649,011 Son of God $25,601,865 Total Recall (2013) $25,577,758 Battleship $25,534,825 The Penguins of Madagascar $25,447,444 The Visit $25,427,560 Gnomeo and Juliet $25,356,909 Public Enemies $25,271,675 Date Night $25,207,599 Tomorrow Never Dies $25,143,007 Meet the Robinsons $25,123,781 Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World $25,105,990 Madea’s Big Happy Family $25,068,677 Doctor Dolittle 2 $25,037,03 Peter Rabbit $25,010,928 Jack and Jill $25,003,575 Last edited by zwackerm on Mon Jul 17, 2023 11:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Mon Jul 17, 2023 11:37 pm

Rev Romosexual! Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Will Barbie double Oppenheimer’s opening? O_o _________________ Is it 2024 yet?
Mon Jul 17, 2023 11:45 pm

Keyser Söze Quality is a great business plan Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Rev wrote: Will Barbie double Oppenheimer’s opening? O_o I think so. Release also will be twice as big. That said Oppy is also will be so full that it will see insane spillover business. For presales Friday Oppy is like 3/4 of Barbie but Sunday is like 95% and all days are extremely strong. I feel Barbie will do better with walk ups due to bigger release but I could see Oppy crossing 80m OW if it adds more prime time shows. i am updating B - 175m O - 80m. Go big or Go Home. _________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter I used to be shawman.
Tue Jul 18, 2023 12:14 am

publicenemy#1 Extraordinary Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego	Re: July 21-23 Predictions Yowza. I'm really not expecting Oppenheimer to go over 70m but that'd be incredible.
Tue Jul 18, 2023 12:37 am
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July 21-23 Predictions

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