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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20347
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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 August 4-6 Predictions Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem- 35m
The Meg 2- 27m
Barbie -35%
Oppenheimer-30%
Haunted Mansion -40%
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 8:22 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32104
Location: the last free city
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions Barbie 60m
Oppenheimer 50m
TMNT: Mutant Mayhem 30m
The Meg 2 20m
Haunted Mansion -55%
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 9:21 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21890
Location: Places
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions This weekend could be another success if Meg and TMNT combine for $70m+
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 10:31 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11517
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions Sharks still seem popular it seems! Maybe a good omen for The Meg 2. https://variety.com/2023/tv/news/shark- ... 235682452/
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 3:08 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions I went for The Meg 2. The Turtles movie feels very been-there-done-that, whereas The Meg 2 is more of what made the first popular; balls to the wall fun, and twin it with Barbie and you've got a day of fun.
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 3:23 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1796
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions somehow I feel like Meg 2 could top Barbie with $60m+
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 3:42 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32104
Location: the last free city
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions should've opened it this weekend
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| Fri Jul 28, 2023 4:19 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions A 45% drop this weekend for Dead Reckoning shows that it's starting to stablize, but just as that happens and just when next weekend should give it a 30-39 percent drop ... The Meg 2 opens. It can't catch a break. It's going to be tough for it to reach $160m at this point. I'm dreading its theatre cut this Thursday.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2023 5:22 am |
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JustLurking
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Sep 30, 2020 1:44 pm
Posts: 876
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions Meg's not beating turtles, it's not even beating oppenheimer domestic, the tracking numbers for this thing look so pathetic that it just doesn't have it even with presumed good walkups
tmnt looks fine but it's a 5-day opening which will deflate the 3-day weekend
barbie>oppenheimer>tmnt>meg imo
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| Mon Jul 31, 2023 11:12 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22680
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions I think Trench could hit $30m OW whereas TMNT should be similar over the 3 days (diluted as it is a 5 day opener)
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| Mon Jul 31, 2023 8:01 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23786
Location: Classified
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions Can we reignite the memes to help Meg? Like how about a Sharkenheimer double feature or "This Barbie is a Prehistoric Killing Machine"...
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| Wed Aug 02, 2023 9:58 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20347
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions I remember how shocking the Meg’s performance was in 2018.
This one looks like it will have the run we thought the original would.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2023 10:28 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions I am hearing Meg 2 is a stinker. So will collapse fairly quickly.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2023 4:57 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3130
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions The 2nd derivative of Barbie vs TDK predicted "mid 90s" for Barbie last week, so far it's tracking toward a 3rd weekend drop significantly lower than TDK's 43%. Let's say 35% (maybe less). Going with $60.4M for now.
This movie could get to $600M domestic (still not guaranteed even with summer weekdays).
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| Wed Aug 02, 2023 11:44 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3130
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions If Empire's $12.7M is accurate then I might have to downgrade my prediction to low to mid 50s
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| Wed Aug 02, 2023 11:55 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions lilmac wrote: If Empire's $12.7M is accurate then I might have to downgrade my prediction to low to mid 50s Worth keeping in mind though that TMNT opening yesterday might throw off the daily pattern quite a bit. Just look at how everything performed day-to-day when Dead Reckoninig opened on a Wednesday a few weeks ago.
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| Thu Aug 03, 2023 8:10 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18879
Location: San Diego
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions Meg 2 starts with 0% on RT. We got a winner!
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| Thu Aug 03, 2023 11:36 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: August 4-6 Predictions Nothing too notable on the theatre counts this weekend:
Dead Reckoning loses a generous 769 for a total now of 2,422, which is better than it could have hoped for really, considering its lacklustre performance.
Disney movies have lost the most. Indy loses about half of its theatres, as does Elemental, strangely, and now they both have 1,100 ish.
The Red Door unfairly loses a lot, though, and now only in its fifth week it's down to just 824 theatres.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2023 3:14 am |
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