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 Predict the Top 10 Summer Films 

What will be the highest grossing film of Summer 2023?
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Fast X 8%  8%  [ 1 ]
The Little Mermaid 15%  15%  [ 2 ]
Spider Man: Across the Spider-Verse 23%  23%  [ 3 ]
Transformers Rise of the Beasts 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Elemental 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
The Flash 15%  15%  [ 2 ]
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 23%  23%  [ 3 ]
Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 15%  15%  [ 2 ]
Barbie 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Oppenheimer 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Haunted Mansion 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
The Meg 2: The Trench 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Blue Beetle 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Book Club 2: The Next Chapter 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Strays 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
No Hard Feelings 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Harold and The Purple Crayon 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Insidious Fear the Dark 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 13

 Predict the Top 10 Summer Films 
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think
1) Spiderverse ~ 400m


:sideroll:

Will be lucky to make $200 million!


I think the first is one of the most overrated films ever but this does look to at least make $250m. $300m is a chance but yes I cant see $400m at all.

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Thu May 25, 2023 10:55 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
O wrote:
I'm feeling Barbie has a dark horse chance to sneak into the top 5 now (also for many of the tentpoles of June looking like they'll underperform). The audience and buzz growth for Mermaid close to the release makes me think Barbie can do the same. I also expect better legs if people hear its good and those who see Opp first then Barbie another weekend.


I think the Barbie OW will be insane. Not sold on the legs yet though.

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Thu May 25, 2023 10:56 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think
1) Spiderverse ~ 400m


:sideroll:

Will be lucky to make $200 million!


At this point my confidence level is high. We are in final week into its release and presales data is absolute truth. :shades:

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Fri May 26, 2023 12:35 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Keyser Söze wrote:
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think
1) Spiderverse ~ 400m


:sideroll:

Will be lucky to make $200 million!


At this point my confidence level is high. We are in final week into its release and presales data is absolute truth. :shades:


This film feels like the type to have good presales from a dedicated niche of passionate fans, then walkups don't continue the hype.

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Fri May 26, 2023 2:15 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Its not niche man. I track 50% of the market. You will see next week for sure.

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Fri May 26, 2023 2:19 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Looks like the rough order so far

1. Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3
3. The Little Mermaid
4. Transformers Rise of the Beasts
5. Fast X
6/7. Flash/Elemental


Tue Jun 20, 2023 10:19 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
It’s funny we always say there are few 100-200 million films. This looks to be the sweet zone this year.

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Tue Jun 20, 2023 11:52 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
If MI had premium screens and more room from B+O I'd say it'd be a serious challenge for #1 but it's going to need to make a lot in week 1. The early word coming from the premiere is very strong. If the TGM halo effect is a real thing (which to a slight extent I think it will be), anything is possible. Would be something to see a star in the #1 movie of the year two years in a row. Tom Hanks pulled it off with TS1 and Forrest Gump in 1994/95 and Ford did it in 1980/81 with SW5 and IJ1

Chris Pratt and Will Smith were close in 2014/2015 with GOTG/Jurassic World and ID4/MIB respectably.


Wed Jun 21, 2023 12:01 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Well if we’re counting Toy Story pratt can do it guardians and Mario. I still think most impressive ever was Stallone in 85. Both sequels increased and one almost 200%, oh wait were talking two years. That is a tough stat as most actors aren’t working that fast.

Also I think RDJ did it with avengers and Iron Man 3

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Wed Jun 21, 2023 1:44 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Thegun wrote:
Well if we’re counting Toy Story pratt can do it guardians and Mario. I still think most impressive ever was Stallone in 85. Both sequels increased and one almost 200%, oh wait were talking two years. That is a tough stat as most actors aren’t working that fast.

Also I think RDJ did it with avengers and Iron Man 3


Scratch that Hunger Games passed Iron Man 3. Though Carrie Fischer does have TFA, Rogue One, and the last Jedi

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Wed Jun 21, 2023 1:52 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Rev wrote:
1-The Little Mermaid
2- Indy 5
3- Guardians 3
4- Spiderverse
5- Mission Impossible 7
6- The Flash
7- Fast X
8- Barbie
9- TMNT:MM
10- Blue Beetle
.
.
11- Elemental


Scoreboard so far:

1- Guardians 3 $352m
2- Spiderverse $323m
3- The Little Mermaid $273m
4- Fast X $144m
5- Transformers:ROTB $126m
6- The Flash $91m
7- Elemental $72m

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Thu Jun 29, 2023 7:25 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
publicenemy#1 wrote:
I'm gonna go with

1. Indy
2. The Little Mermaid
3. Spiderverse
4. The Flash
5. Guardians
6. Mission Impossible
7. Barbie
8. Fast 10
9. Elemental
10. Oppenheimer



Lolol fail

Probably gonna be

1. Spiderverse
2. Barbie
3. Guardians
4. The Little Mermaid
5. Mission Impossible
6. Oppenheimer
7. Indiana Jones
8. Transformers (!)
9. Fast 10
10. Elemental


Thu Jun 29, 2023 2:02 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Looks like the rough order so far

1. Spider-Man: Across the Spider Verse
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3
3. The Little Mermaid
4. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
5. Transformers Rise of the Beasts
6. Fast X
7. Elemental
8. The Flash


Sat Jul 01, 2023 12:27 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Projected Final totals

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse- 380m
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3- 359m
The Little Mermaid- 300m
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny- 175m
Transformers Rise of the Beasts- 160m
Fast X-146m
Elemental 140m
The Flash 110m
Insidious: The Red Door 75m
Sound of Freedom- 65m
No Hard Feelings- 50m
The Boogeyman 45m
Asteroid City- 26m
The Blackening 18m
Joy Ride 17m
Book Club The Next Chapter-17m
Ruby Gillman Teenage Kraken- 15m
About My Father- 12m
The Machine 10m
Love Again 6m
Kandahar 5m
You Hurt My Feelings 5m


Sat Jul 08, 2023 5:47 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Rev wrote:
1-The Little Mermaid
2- Indy 5
3- Guardians 3
4- Spiderverse
5- Mission Impossible 7
6- The Flash
7- Fast X
8- Barbie
9- TMNT:MM
10- Blue Beetle
.
.
11- Elemental


*updated* Scoreboard so far:

1- Guardians 3 $356m
2- Spiderverse $351m
3- The Little Mermaid $286m
4- Fast X $145m
5- Transformers:ROTB $143m
6- The Flash $103.5m
7- Elemental $102.4m
8- Indy 5 $102.3m

next up: M:I 7

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Sat Jul 08, 2023 9:04 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
If SOF goes up this weekend, it could make this list! :shock:


Wed Jul 12, 2023 6:02 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
1. Barbie
2. Spiderverse
3. Guardians
4. The Little Mermaid
5. MissIon Impossible
6. Indiana Jones
7. Oppenheimer
8. Transformers
9. Elemental
10. Sound of Freedom (Taken made $145m in 2009)
11. Fast X


Thu Jul 13, 2023 1:44 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Let me get this straight; people are donating to a fund so that the distributor can buy tickets en masse and give them away for free for passers-by or church groups to see Sound of Freedom? Potentially auditoriums could be empty but it's #1 at the box office?

This sounds very sketchy, almost an underhand Chinese grey zone tactic.

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Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:22 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
The auditoriums I don’t think are empty, at least they weren’t, since there was a 24hr turnaround for the free tickets a few days ago


Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:30 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think
1) Spiderverse ~ 400m


:sideroll:

Will be lucky to make $200 million!


At this point my confidence level is high. We are in final week into its release and presales data is absolute truth. :shades:


This film feels like the type to have good presales from a dedicated niche of passionate fans, then walkups don't continue the hype.


:funny:

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Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:46 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Mi looks like it will do max 225m, and that may be very generous


Thu Jul 13, 2023 7:57 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Rev wrote:
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think
1) Spiderverse ~ 400m


:sideroll:

Will be lucky to make $200 million!


At this point my confidence level is high. We are in final week into its release and presales data is absolute truth. :shades:


This film feels like the type to have good presales from a dedicated niche of passionate fans, then walkups don't continue the hype.


:funny:


Yeah, this was a real blindspot of mine. Probably the same for Barbie, though I can see how that could be popular and fresh. I STILL don't get Spider-Verse 2's jump.

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Thu Jul 13, 2023 4:37 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Spider-verse had the 3rd best legs ever for a Superhero movie behind Batman Begins and original Batman. It became a WOM hit that also got lots of attention once it hit streaming to expand its audience.


Thu Jul 13, 2023 9:17 pm
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
I just didn't feel it, I guess is what I mean.

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Fri Jul 14, 2023 3:01 am
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Post Re: Predict the Top 10 Summer Films
Algren wrote:
I just didn't feel it, I guess is what I mean.


the box office said FUCK YOUR FEELING, Algren! :P

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Fri Jul 14, 2023 8:12 am
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