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| April 5-9 Predictions https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=89917 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Mar 31, 2023 9:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | April 5-9 Predictions |
The Super Mario Brothers Movie 88/140 Air 17/26 Dungeons and Dragons -40% John Wick -45% |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Mar 31, 2023 10:23 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
I will be surprised if 3 day misses 100m. Dont forget it has good friday. I expect other way around with wed/thu lower and friday over 100m. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Mar 31, 2023 11:12 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Keyser Söze wrote: I will be surprised if 3 day misses 100m. Dont forget it has good friday. I expect other way around with wed/thu lower and friday over 100m. Is Easter Sunday not deflated? |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Mar 31, 2023 11:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
I expect Paint will do well. Seems to have buzz. I know I want to see it. I wonder how wide it will go. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Fri Mar 31, 2023 7:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: I will be surprised if 3 day misses 100m. Dont forget it has good friday. I expect other way around with wed/thu lower and friday over 100m. Is Easter Sunday not deflated? Sunday is probably the worst day for movies tied with Halloween on a weekend and Super Bowl Sunday. It’ll need probably a 45 million Friday to just past 100 million |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sat Apr 01, 2023 12:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: I will be surprised if 3 day misses 100m. Dont forget it has good friday. I expect other way around with wed/thu lower and friday over 100m. Is Easter Sunday not deflated? it will. Still its presales are at levels that I cannot see it missing 100m. Its going to increase on saturday despite GF as well. Not everyone have GF off. its not a holiday at most companies. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Apr 01, 2023 10:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: I expect Paint will do well. Seems to have buzz. I know I want to see it. I wonder how wide it will go. My friend saw it when it was the Regal mystery movie and they said it's hysterical and so far it's their favorite movie of the year. I didn't think it looked funny or all that interesting from the trailer. But with their endorsement I'll definitely check it out. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Apr 02, 2023 10:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Box office.com still only has Air barely breaking double digits. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Sun Apr 02, 2023 11:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Presales are very anemic. Looks like barely doing double digits at this point. Its more of WOM hit than big OW. |
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| Author: | Libs [ Mon Apr 03, 2023 5:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Keyser Söze wrote: Presales are very anemic. Looks like barely doing double digits at this point. Its more of WOM hit than big OW. Anemic where? From what I’ve seen the pre sales look pretty decent so far and the sneak previews over the weekend were very well attended. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Mon Apr 03, 2023 6:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Libs wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Presales are very anemic. Looks like barely doing double digits at this point. Its more of WOM hit than big OW. Anemic where? From what I’ve seen the pre sales look pretty decent so far and the sneak previews over the weekend were very well attended. I track entire chain and sales are anemic. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Mon Apr 03, 2023 11:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Box office.com still only has Air barely breaking double digits. It's not surprising. It seems pretty unappealing but I'll see it because of the reviews. It's supposed to be a huge crowd-pleaser so the legs should be excellent. Hopefully it gets off to a decent enough start so that can happen. It's harder when a movie starts low. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Apr 03, 2023 11:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
It seems like buzz is higher than for any drama anytime recently. Maybe it’s just the bubble I reside in. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Apr 03, 2023 11:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Air opening the week after March Mandess ends and the week before NBA playoffs begin couldn't be better timing. Hopefully it pays off. With Mario I think the 3 day will be very high after a mild first two days. Shrek 2 style. |
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| Author: | Libs [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 12:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Keyser Söze wrote: Libs wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Presales are very anemic. Looks like barely doing double digits at this point. Its more of WOM hit than big OW. Anemic where? From what I’ve seen the pre sales look pretty decent so far and the sneak previews over the weekend were very well attended. I track entire chain and sales are anemic. I'm sure it's not selling as well in middle America as the coasts but ultimately I think it's going to do well. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 3:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Air opening the week after March Mandess ends and the week before NBA playoffs begin couldn't be better timing. Hopefully it pays off. With Mario I think the 3 day will be very high after a mild first two days. Shrek 2 style. Agree on both. I'm hoping for at least a low $20's 5-day for Air. I think legs can carry it from there on. Mario will start slow and then explode over the 3 days |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 3:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Air opening the week after March Mandess ends and the week before NBA playoffs begin couldn't be better timing. Hopefully it pays off. With Mario I think the 3 day will be very high after a mild first two days. Shrek 2 style. Agree on both. I'm hoping for at least a low $20's 5-day for Air. I think legs can carry it from there on. Mario will start slow and then explode over the 3 days |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 8:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Embargo drops at 3p EST. Hopefully it’s a decent film. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 12:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: With Mario I think the 3 day will be very high after a mild first two days. Shrek 2 style. Mario OD will be 30m+. Presales are off the charts and growing at a furious pace. its behaving like a fan driven movie than a family CGI flick. That said presales for fri/sat are great as well. Reactions from RT reviewers seem really bad and so I am expecting this to be rotten. Not that it has any impact on BO this week. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 2:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
The Super Mario Brothers Movie 150/200 Air 20/30 Dungeons and Dragons -60% John Wick -60% |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 3:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
No way either of those drops 60% |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 4:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
48% on RT for Super Mario. Eh as long as the movie is fun doesn't mean much. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 5:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
Reviews won’t affect the opening but I expect a 60% drop weekend 2 following by leveling out after that, since it will still be the only option for kids till the Little Mermaid |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 6:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
It should avoid 60% as its second Sunday will be higher than its first |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Apr 04, 2023 7:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: April 5-9 Predictions |
It’s Friday drop will be enormous |
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