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 March 17-19 Predictions 

Will Shazam make 40m?
Yes 63%  63%  [ 5 ]
No 38%  38%  [ 3 ]
Total votes : 8

 March 17-19 Predictions 
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Post March 17-19 Predictions
Shazam Fury of the Gods 42m
Inside 4m
Moving On 2m


Fri Mar 10, 2023 9:55 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I'll go with $40.2 million.

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Fri Mar 10, 2023 11:05 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I am thinking 30m for Shazam. Looks really dire.

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Sun Mar 12, 2023 2:23 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Shazam seems even more doa than Morbius. I hope it performs decently just so we can keep this hot box office run going a few weeks longer. Maybe the kids who love the first movie are just being quiet.


Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:22 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I think good reviews will bump it up to over 40m


Sun Mar 12, 2023 4:33 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Bad release dates for the first and this one. I think this being sandwiched in between all these other releases will hurt this. Expecting like a 38m weekend.


Sun Mar 12, 2023 5:37 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I want to see Shazam 2, I really enjoy the first one, but interest seems pretty dead for the sequel. Everything released before/after it has been receiving more buzz. Probably doesn't help that, I presume, the film doesn't matter regarding the future of the DCEU? So it's lost that appeal of bringing in those invested in the DCEU, perhaps.

And no reviews yet is concerning. Strong reviews would be the only thing that could help it now, I think, so maybe this will struggle to $100 million if it doesn't post a ~90% score like its predecessor.

-Bad release date.
-Place in the DCEU gone / questionable?
-(Likely) bad reviews.
-Potential Zachary Levi backlash.

Lots went (or is going) wrong here.

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Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:28 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Reviews not being out is weird. Would be strange if this one gets bad reviews.


Tue Mar 14, 2023 12:51 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I am thinking sub 25m is likely. Its trending below Suicide Squad at this point :-(

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Tue Mar 14, 2023 1:58 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Jesus.


Tue Mar 14, 2023 2:18 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
It won't do that badly because I'm hoping it bombs, and the U.S. box office is never that kind to me.

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Tue Mar 14, 2023 5:12 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Week to week drops on Monday were very small across the board. Spring break effect?


Tue Mar 14, 2023 9:26 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Super hero movies aren't usually my thing, but I really enjoyed the first Shazam and wanted a sequel. The trailer has done nothing for me though. I think it looks pretty bad. I'm probably going to bow out of this series after the first one. Plus I don't care for Zachary Levi anymore which is making this even less appealing to me. I thought people really liked the first, but it doesn't seem like anyone really cares about this one. Back when the first came out I thought a sequel would probably increase at the box office. That's definitely not going to be the case anymore.


Tue Mar 14, 2023 10:07 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Super hero movies aren't usually my thing, but I really enjoyed the first Shazam and wanted a sequel. The trailer has done nothing for me though. I think it looks pretty bad. I'm probably going to bow out of this series after the first one. Plus I don't care for Zachary Levi anymore which is making this even less appealing to me. I thought people really liked the first, but it doesn't seem like anyone really cares about this one. Back when the first came out I thought a sequel would probably increase at the box office. That's definitely not going to be the case anymore.

For some reason your post called to mind for me the decrease from Kick Ass to Kick Ass 2. Which at this point might be best case scenario for ShaZam 2 (think it’d be like $35m OW $83m).

I never saw Shazam and wasn’t interested, but the trailer for this just oozes ‘generic CGI superhero fest’ and I’m so down to pass on it / kinda hope it bombs.

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 1:21 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Another issue for me here was DC was aiming for an MCU type universe and I enjoyed Wonderwoman (1) and Aquaman so kept watching them. There's no real need to keep watching the DC movies for the sake of it (which was kind of the thing you had to do with the MCU movies).

Superman is out for now, Black Adam doesn't look like it's going much anywhere, Wonderwoman is done for now in its current iteration, while the better movies are outside the universe like Joker and The Batman.

There's zero incentive for me or many average moviegoers to see each DC movie now since they are all disjointed and also because they lost credibility with the Cavill appearance (and disappearance), Batgirl, etc. so none of the current slate of remaining DC universe movies feels worth watching since so many don't follow through on their promises (or none of the story really matters). I had no real pent up interest to see Batgirl but just feels like if that was disposable why not Shazam as well? So why is it worth me seeing? They've so devalued their own brand it makes it easier for me to skip it!


Wed Mar 15, 2023 1:57 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
The superhero version of Big was a hook for the first movie, especially with the other kid helping him. This one it just looks like the plot is an excuse for big CGI fight scenes.

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 3:23 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
I feel this film in particular also isn't aware of the current landscape for superhero movies. There is a line in the trailer which goes something like "wow, I just threw a truck at a bad guy" or words to that effect. And it feels like that kind of feat isn't impressive in the slightest anymore, so to comment on it undervalues the entire film, for me at least. I roll my eyes whenever I'm unlucky enough to see the trailer for this. It feels like anything that happens in Fury of the Gods will only wow audiences if we all suddenly time traveled to 2008. The last 15 years has done so much and gone so far in terms of pushing all the boundaries of VFX that putting out bog standard CG action as your only real sell is a shortsighted business plan.

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:36 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
That line was cut from the film due to poor trailer reaction lol


Wed Mar 15, 2023 11:44 am
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
That line was cut from the film due to poor trailer reaction lol


Oh, well that's good news at least.

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 12:05 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
The spring break dailies are awesome to see. Almost like summer weekdays. Tuesday #'s below.

1 Scream VI $4,403,075 $52,510,502
2 Creed III $3,254,718 -37% $107,469,632
3 65 $1,410,000 $14,790,291
4 Ant-Man and the Wasp $1,137,262 -12% $200,102,730
5 Cocaine Bear $857,175 -34% $53,274,280
6 Champions $840,840 $6,507,420
7 Jesus Revolution $837,716 -37% $40,862,465
8 Avatar: The Way of Water $456,526 +18% $675,466,500
9 Puss in Boots: The Last Wish $401,425 +57% $180,426,475
10 Operation Fortune: Ruse d… $205,153 -53% $5,897,476

65 could very well get not too far from its $45M budget. It's somehow not going to be an outright flop.

Creed is looking like it could pull $160M which is an amazing spike from its predecessors.

Ant Man passes $200M! Puss and Avatar are still making decent dough.


Wed Mar 15, 2023 4:53 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Yeah, I noticed Creed III's number. It's doing so well. It's almost out-grossed the previous two and it's still making $2-3 million per day!

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:36 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Ant Man's total gross is not a disaster but it got there in a more frontloaded way

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:38 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
With how it opened struggling to AMATW's domestic gross is a disaster.


Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:49 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Yeah, I'm siding more with it being a disaster. When it opened I expected a lot more than reaching just $200 million two days shy of 4 weeks in release.

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 5:57 pm
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Post Re: March 17-19 Predictions
Shazam starts at 83% on rT.

Ant Man will lose a similar amount of money to Captain America 1 and Shang Chi and less than Black Widow, Eternals and The Incredible Hulk. So it’s not their biggest disaster, but it’s up there. Needed 550m WW to avoid being a disaster and to match the second film to avoid being a disappointment.


Wed Mar 15, 2023 6:30 pm
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