Why don't you mention Bones and All?
I hope Devotion does well. Looks great.
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| November 23-27 Predictions https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=89638 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Nov 18, 2022 1:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | November 23-27 Predictions |
Strange World 27/40 The Fabelmans 5/8 Devotion 15/23 Bones and All 3/5 Black Panther Wakanda Forever -33% Glass Onion won't report most likely |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Nov 18, 2022 2:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Major flop coming. Disney is about to face a reckoning for their poor decisions re: disney plus over the past two years. Even with bad reviews, I think Disenchanted's 5-day opening would be around where Strange World ends up in total. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Nov 18, 2022 3:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Yeah Strange World seems like a huge flop even before pandemic times. Marketing is pretty bad. Really lame what Disney has done with their theatrical animation brand but that's they're fault. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Fri Nov 18, 2022 3:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Why don't you mention Bones and All? I hope Devotion does well. Looks great. |
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| Author: | O [ Sat Nov 19, 2022 3:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Glass Onion imo had a serious shot to win the Thanksgiving weekend if they gave it a bigger and longer release. The first one opened to $27M ($41.4M 5day) but had a multiplier of 6.2. A fantastic leggy hold despite what could have been an inflated Thanksgiving OW. Glass Onion probably could have pulled $60M+ 5day imo along with inflation which may have been enough to edge past BP2 which is decelerating fast. Note to Netflix, just give it a big release and wider. Report the box office. ALOT of people are still going to watch it again for Christmas! |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Nov 19, 2022 7:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
O wrote: Glass Onion imo had a serious shot to win the Thanksgiving weekend if they gave it a bigger and longer release. The first one opened to $27M ($41.4M 5day) but had a multiplier of 6.2. A fantastic leggy hold despite what could have been an inflated Thanksgiving OW. Glass Onion probably could have pulled $60M+ 5day imo along with inflation which may have been enough to edge past BP2 which is decelerating fast. Note to Netflix, just give it a big release and wider. Report the box office. ALOT of people are still going to watch it again for Christmas! Yeah Netflix is stupid. They could have recouped way more than the budget back with a traditional release. They should have released it theatrically for a month. Still would have been huge when it hit streaming. I'm annoyed I'll have to drive a couple hours to see it in a theater. There's no reason for it to play in just 600 or so theaters. |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 1:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Some Monday #'s starting to come in: Black Adam $590,000 +31% $157,690,309 Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile $340,000 +237% $43,517,876 237% increase from last week for Lyle. If Strange World does better than expected it's purely because families need something other than crocodiles to watch after SEVEN weeks of nothing else. 
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| Author: | pepe pippen [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 1:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
WF-$6.8M |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 2:01 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Very rough and bad comparison but only one I could find. Justice League had a $7.5M Monday pre-Thanksgiving in 2017. It made $78.1M from Mon - Sun. If BP follows that path it will be a 10.41 Mon - 7 day ratio for $70.78M or a Sunday total of $357.96M. That was also JL's 2nd not 3rd weekend so BP2 should be able to top that. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Glass Onion seems like not a very wide release, all the theaters near me aren't getting it. Numbers probably won't be reported but would be funny if they're really good that they do. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Strange World is the second coming of Treasure Planet. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 5:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
publicenemy#1 wrote: Glass Onion seems like not a very wide release, all the theaters near me aren't getting it. Numbers probably won't be reported but would be funny if they're really good that they do. I haven't had any issues finding it. It's at least getting 600 theaters. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Glass Onion is having a one-week engagement in the UK. It will be at Odeon cinemas, apparently, and they're all over the country. So I would imagine a similarly wide release in the US. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Smile should overtake The Lost City before the weekend.  And why did Lyle have a 238% WtW increase on Monday? Thanksgiving is Thursday! Anyway, I'm enjoying its holds, and hopefully it has a decent week. It will be above Downton Abbey: A New Era soon, and then it will hunt down Don't Worry Darling and Death on the Nile. It's taking down all the Ds. It's a D Hunter 
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Strange World 10/15 The Fabelmans 4/7 Devotion 10/14 Bones and All 2/4 Black Panther Wakanda Forever -27% The Menu -23% |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
$15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Tue Nov 22, 2022 10:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
I want Spielberg to get pissed and make an entertainment-first hit next after his likely second straight flop |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
O wrote: $15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie. I may have gone too low for the 5-day. Perhaps that will be the 3-day. Just seems to be a total flop. But wait - $180m?? is that budget confirmed?? |
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| Author: | O [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 1:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
MadGez wrote: O wrote: $15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie. I may have gone too low for the 5-day. Perhaps that will be the 3-day. Just seems to be a total flop. But wait - $180m?? is that budget confirmed?? Just quickly Googled and it was $135M-180M so usually I go with the top since Hollywood usually gets a bunch of tax credits to bring the "official" budget down. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
O wrote: MadGez wrote: O wrote: $15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie. I may have gone too low for the 5-day. Perhaps that will be the 3-day. Just seems to be a total flop. But wait - $180m?? is that budget confirmed?? Just quickly Googled and it was $135M-180M so usually I go with the top since Hollywood usually gets a bunch of tax credits to bring the "official" budget down. That is insane for something so generic in an animated genre (sci-fi) that has failed numerous times. |
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| Author: | Corpse [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 7:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Yeah, it's a very hard genre to find success with at the box-office. Is there even a notable success? Can even throw Lightyear into this category too. Treasure Planet is great though, and Atlantis is pretty good too. If Strange World is comparable, I'd be satisfied. Maybe Disney should branch out their musical films to include more genres than just (mostly) Disney Princess movies. Could a quality Disney sci-fi-adventure animated musical find success if the songs are good? |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Algren wrote: And why did Lyle have a 238% WtW increase on Monday? Thanksgiving is Thursday! Anyway, I'm enjoying its holds, and hopefully it has a decent week. It will be above Downton Abbey: A New Era soon, and then it will hunt down Don't Worry Darling and Death on the Nile. It's taking down all the Ds. It's a D Hunter A decent amount of schools were already out on Monday. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
RT Scores of major films this weekend: Black Panther: 84 Fabelmans: 93 Glass Onion: 93 Devotion: 77 Bones and All: 85 White noise: 75 Strange World: 77 Not bad at all. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Corpse wrote: Yeah, it's a very hard genre to find success with at the box-office. Is there even a notable success? Can even throw Lightyear into this category too. Treasure Planet is great though, and Atlantis is pretty good too. If Strange World is comparable, I'd be satisfied. Maybe Disney should branch out their musical films to include more genres than just (mostly) Disney Princess movies. Could a quality Disney sci-fi-adventure animated musical find success if the songs are good? It is much worse than those IMO. I agree that I think its the music that people like about Disney animated films rather than the princess angle. otherwise Lion King wouldn't be their biggest hit adjusted since the 1960s |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Thu Nov 24, 2022 4:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: November 23-27 Predictions |
Both Bones and All and Strange World received B CinemaScore ratings. Very impressive for Bones and All. I expected a C. |
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