Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Thu Mar 28, 2024 7:48 am



Reply to topic  [ 34 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next
 November 23-27 Predictions 

Will Fabelmans gross 5m?
Yes 100%  100%  [ 4 ]
No 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 4

 November 23-27 Predictions 
Author Message
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20301
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post November 23-27 Predictions
Strange World 27/40
The Fabelmans 5/8
Devotion 15/23
Bones and All 3/5

Black Panther Wakanda Forever -33%

Glass Onion won't report most likely


Last edited by zwackerm on Fri Nov 18, 2022 3:31 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Fri Nov 18, 2022 1:46 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Major flop coming. Disney is about to face a reckoning for their poor decisions re: disney plus over the past two years. Even with bad reviews, I think Disenchanted's 5-day opening would be around where Strange World ends up in total.


Fri Nov 18, 2022 2:07 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18842
Location: San Diego
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Yeah Strange World seems like a huge flop even before pandemic times. Marketing is pretty bad. Really lame what Disney has done with their theatrical animation brand but that's they're fault.


Fri Nov 18, 2022 3:04 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34875
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Why don't you mention Bones and All? :P

I hope Devotion does well. Looks great.


Fri Nov 18, 2022 3:15 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Glass Onion imo had a serious shot to win the Thanksgiving weekend if they gave it a bigger and longer release. The first one opened to $27M ($41.4M 5day) but had a multiplier of 6.2. A fantastic leggy hold despite what could have been an inflated Thanksgiving OW. Glass Onion probably could have pulled $60M+ 5day imo along with inflation which may have been enough to edge past BP2 which is decelerating fast.

Note to Netflix, just give it a big release and wider. Report the box office. ALOT of people are still going to watch it again for Christmas!


Sat Nov 19, 2022 3:36 pm
Profile WWW
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34875
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
O wrote:
Glass Onion imo had a serious shot to win the Thanksgiving weekend if they gave it a bigger and longer release. The first one opened to $27M ($41.4M 5day) but had a multiplier of 6.2. A fantastic leggy hold despite what could have been an inflated Thanksgiving OW. Glass Onion probably could have pulled $60M+ 5day imo along with inflation which may have been enough to edge past BP2 which is decelerating fast.

Note to Netflix, just give it a big release and wider. Report the box office. ALOT of people are still going to watch it again for Christmas!


Yeah Netflix is stupid. They could have recouped way more than the budget back with a traditional release. They should have released it theatrically for a month. Still would have been huge when it hit streaming. I'm annoyed I'll have to drive a couple hours to see it in a theater. There's no reason for it to play in just 600 or so theaters.


Sat Nov 19, 2022 7:47 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Some Monday #'s starting to come in:

Black Adam $590,000 +31% $157,690,309
Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile $340,000 +237% $43,517,876

237% increase from last week for Lyle. If Strange World does better than expected it's purely because families need something other than crocodiles to watch after SEVEN weeks of nothing else. :funny:


Tue Nov 22, 2022 1:04 pm
Profile WWW
The Dark Knight

Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am
Posts: 768
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
WF-$6.8M


Tue Nov 22, 2022 1:31 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Very rough and bad comparison but only one I could find. Justice League had a $7.5M Monday pre-Thanksgiving in 2017. It made $78.1M from Mon - Sun. If BP follows that path it will be a 10.41 Mon - 7 day ratio for $70.78M or a Sunday total of $357.96M.

That was also JL's 2nd not 3rd weekend so BP2 should be able to top that.


Tue Nov 22, 2022 2:01 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18842
Location: San Diego
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Glass Onion seems like not a very wide release, all the theaters near me aren't getting it. Numbers probably won't be reported but would be funny if they're really good that they do.


Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:14 pm
Profile
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20301
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Strange World is the second coming of Treasure Planet.


Tue Nov 22, 2022 3:15 pm
Profile
On autopilot for the summer
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21628
Location: Walking around somewhere
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Glass Onion seems like not a very wide release, all the theaters near me aren't getting it. Numbers probably won't be reported but would be funny if they're really good that they do.


I haven't had any issues finding it. It's at least getting 600 theaters.

_________________
Image

Chippy wrote:
As always, fuck Thegun.


Chippy wrote:
I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!


Tue Nov 22, 2022 5:53 pm
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 66999
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Glass Onion is having a one-week engagement in the UK. It will be at Odeon cinemas, apparently, and they're all over the country. So I would imagine a similarly wide release in the US.

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:02 pm
Profile WWW
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 66999
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Smile should overtake The Lost City before the weekend. :)

And why did Lyle have a 238% WtW increase on Monday? Thanksgiving is Thursday! Anyway, I'm enjoying its holds, and hopefully it has a decent week. It will be above Downton Abbey: A New Era soon, and then it will hunt down Don't Worry Darling and Death on the Nile. It's taking down all the Ds. It's a D Hunter ;)

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Tue Nov 22, 2022 7:16 pm
Profile WWW
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22646
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Strange World 10/15
The Fabelmans 4/7
Devotion 10/14
Bones and All 2/4

Black Panther Wakanda Forever -27%
The Menu -23%

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:28 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
$15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie.


Tue Nov 22, 2022 9:52 pm
Profile WWW
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 37886
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
I want Spielberg to get pissed and make an entertainment-first hit next after his likely second straight flop

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Tue Nov 22, 2022 10:15 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22646
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
O wrote:
$15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie.


I may have gone too low for the 5-day. Perhaps that will be the 3-day. Just seems to be a total flop.

But wait - $180m?? is that budget confirmed??

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:19 am
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
O wrote:
$15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie.


I may have gone too low for the 5-day. Perhaps that will be the 3-day. Just seems to be a total flop.

But wait - $180m?? is that budget confirmed??


Just quickly Googled and it was $135M-180M so usually I go with the top since Hollywood usually gets a bunch of tax credits to bring the "official" budget down.


Wed Nov 23, 2022 1:02 pm
Profile WWW
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22646
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
O wrote:
MadGez wrote:
O wrote:
$15M for 5day for Strange World? Wow that would be so horrendous for a $180M movie.


I may have gone too low for the 5-day. Perhaps that will be the 3-day. Just seems to be a total flop.

But wait - $180m?? is that budget confirmed??


Just quickly Googled and it was $135M-180M so usually I go with the top since Hollywood usually gets a bunch of tax credits to bring the "official" budget down.


That is insane for something so generic in an animated genre (sci-fi) that has failed numerous times.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:12 pm
Profile
Don't Dream It, Be It
User avatar

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Yeah, it's a very hard genre to find success with at the box-office. Is there even a notable success? Can even throw Lightyear into this category too.

Treasure Planet is great though, and Atlantis is pretty good too. If Strange World is comparable, I'd be satisfied.

Maybe Disney should branch out their musical films to include more genres than just (mostly) Disney Princess movies. Could a quality Disney sci-fi-adventure animated musical find success if the songs are good?

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Wed Nov 23, 2022 7:51 pm
Profile WWW
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34875
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Algren wrote:
And why did Lyle have a 238% WtW increase on Monday? Thanksgiving is Thursday! Anyway, I'm enjoying its holds, and hopefully it has a decent week. It will be above Downton Abbey: A New Era soon, and then it will hunt down Don't Worry Darling and Death on the Nile. It's taking down all the Ds. It's a D Hunter ;)

A decent amount of schools were already out on Monday.


Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:19 pm
Profile
Superfreak
User avatar

Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21876
Location: Places
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
RT Scores of major films this weekend:
Black Panther: 84
Fabelmans: 93
Glass Onion: 93
Devotion: 77
Bones and All: 85
White noise: 75
Strange World: 77

Not bad at all.

_________________
Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.


Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:36 pm
Profile
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20301
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Corpse wrote:
Yeah, it's a very hard genre to find success with at the box-office. Is there even a notable success? Can even throw Lightyear into this category too.

Treasure Planet is great though, and Atlantis is pretty good too. If Strange World is comparable, I'd be satisfied.

Maybe Disney should branch out their musical films to include more genres than just (mostly) Disney Princess movies. Could a quality Disney sci-fi-adventure animated musical find success if the songs are good?


It is much worse than those IMO.

I agree that I think its the music that people like about Disney animated films rather than the princess angle. otherwise Lion King wouldn't be their biggest hit adjusted since the 1960s


Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:39 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34875
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: November 23-27 Predictions
Both Bones and All and Strange World received B CinemaScore ratings. Very impressive for Bones and All. I expected a C.


Thu Nov 24, 2022 4:48 am
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 34 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 46 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.