publicenemy#1 wrote:
Yeah this is gonna make $$$.
ALL THE MONEY!!!
I can’t believe how everything looks soo good.
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Oct 15, 2022 12:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
King Mickey in Kingdom Hearts is the perfect representation of him. Maybe the Super Mario Bros credits stinger teasing the Super Smash Initiative will get Disney to make their own video game crossover franchise first. |
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| Author: | Shack [ Sat Oct 15, 2022 12:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I guess CGI Donald and Goofy are safer places to start |
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| Author: | O [ Tue Nov 29, 2022 10:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
New Mario trailer came out introducing Princess Peach and DK and one other surprise at the end... Every piece of footage I see of this makes me smile. Marketing is incredible so far. This is going to be so big and it's my favourite to win the year 2023. $400M+, $1B+ worldwide and likely much, much more. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohJrpHUoZ10 |
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| Author: | Shack [ Tue Nov 29, 2022 10:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
They are set up great for sequels if this hits, there is a lot of iconic stuff they didn't have to use. Like if they put Yoshi in the second movie's trailer people would lose their shit. Wario gives you a non Bowser villain, Goombas, Boos, flying Mario or fireball Mario etc. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Tue Nov 29, 2022 11:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I’ve never been so turned off by a trailer. It’s a tough call, but they are certainly to make it more the Peanuts, then a 400+ film. I think Lego movie is the goal. It’s like how everyone loves micke but it doesn’t mean success when he’s so readily available |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Nov 29, 2022 11:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I was thinking around 300 million after the first trailer. Now I'd be surprised if it fell under 400 million. The rainbow road shot was so money. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
This looks horrible. It will be massive. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Wed Nov 30, 2022 3:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Yeah this is gonna make $$$. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Wed Nov 30, 2022 5:31 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
publicenemy#1 wrote: Yeah this is gonna make $$$. ALL THE MONEY!!! I can’t believe how everything looks soo good.
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Nov 30, 2022 11:35 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
This is going to be bad lol it looks like a ripoff of The Lego Movie but I bet it will do well. If Illumination can get Sing to 270m dom, they should have no problem getting Mario to that level or higher |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Nov 30, 2022 6:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
This has Lego Movie novelty so it will definitely break out. At the moment thinking $275-$325m. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Wed Nov 30, 2022 6:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I'm with Flava'd, $400m. But then I haven't seen the latest trailer. |
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| Author: | O [ Thu Dec 01, 2022 12:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Feel the floor on this is $250M+ unless it's really bad. If The Simpsons Movie had come out sooner (by Season 4-6) not 2007 (Season 17/18), pretty sure it could have doubled it's admissions. The 2007 version still adjusts today to $249,415,345 so just imagine how much higher than could have been in the 90s. The Flintstones movie came out in 1994 and made $130,531,208. The last original episode came out in 1966 so 28 years later. That adjusts in 2022 to $292,602,612 domestic. The fact that Mario has stayed relevant throughout the 80s, 90s, 00s, 10s and 20s and is playing into the family crowds is giving me the feel this will be a zeitgeist type movie. Every generation post 1955 will have nostalgia attached to it which plays in its favor. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Thu Dec 01, 2022 1:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
The movie looks to be very fan servicey but I don’t care. Take my money now! |
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| Author: | Darth Indiana Bond [ Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:54 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Less sold on the second trailer, but I’m sure people will eat this up and will win 2023 |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Thu Dec 01, 2022 10:10 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
It does have a good shot at winning the year. Will be interesting to watch it’s performance. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Thu Dec 01, 2022 9:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
This is the biggest wildcard in a while, I want it to be big, but we’ve seen so much IP just do ok or really big |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Fri Dec 02, 2022 7:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Tue Dec 06, 2022 11:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
MadGez wrote: I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? I think Pikachu had its gross limited by coming out the week after Endgame; the bizarre talking Pikachu/detective angle they went with; and attractiveness and charisma vacuum, would-be A-lister (now relegated to increasingly irrelevant supporting characters), industry plant'd they-shipped-it-but-it-got-shipped-back Justice Smith as the lead. If they had made a live action Pokemon starring Ash, Misti and Brook and it had come out in early April 2019 instead, it would've done waaaay better. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Dec 07, 2022 6:35 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Barrabás wrote: MadGez wrote: I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? I think Pikachu had its gross limited by coming out the week after Endgame; the bizarre talking Pikachu/detective angle they went with; and attractiveness and charisma vacuum, would-be A-lister (now relegated to increasingly irrelevant supporting characters), industry plant'd they-shipped-it-but-it-got-shipped-back Justice Smith as the lead. If they had made a live action Pokemon starring Ash, Misti and Brook and it had come out in early April 2019 instead, it would've done waaaay better. I think you are right. It had far too many things going against it that it’s eventual gross was perhaps fitting. A missed opportunity. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Dec 07, 2022 6:35 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Barrabás wrote: MadGez wrote: I thought Detective Pikachu would do $300m+ so im now generally more cautious. That said - this has more appeal and getting to $300m is likely. Just how much bigger? I think Pikachu had its gross limited by coming out the week after Endgame; the bizarre talking Pikachu/detective angle they went with; and attractiveness and charisma vacuum, would-be A-lister (now relegated to increasingly irrelevant supporting characters), industry plant'd they-shipped-it-but-it-got-shipped-back Justice Smith as the lead. If they had made a live action Pokemon starring Ash, Misti and Brook and it had come out in early April 2019 instead, it would've done waaaay better. I think you are right. It had far too many things going against it that it’s eventual gross was perhaps fitting. A missed opportunity. |
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| Author: | O [ Thu Mar 09, 2023 4:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Mario has locked down IMAX and PLF screens for 4 weeks until GOTG3!  Everyone knows how big this is going to be. Looking like it could do some massive box office with that type of hold! |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Mar 09, 2023 5:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I already had it down to win the year. This just cements it. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu Mar 09, 2023 6:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
Presales started and its looking meh so far. it does not look like a blockbuster so far. As a kids movie we have to wait until release week to hone in on its OW but Sonic 2 should be a good target. I dont see it winning the year or anything crazy at this point. |
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| Author: | O [ Thu Mar 09, 2023 6:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Super Mario Bros. predictions |
I'm not seeing a record breaking OW here or anything. Think it's going to be a longer run type play throughout much of the early summer and its more of an opening week vs OW film too. Wed opening day, Friday holiday and with many having Monday as a holiday as part of Easter for a 6 day opening tally. There isn't a central day to rush and see it. I definitely think its going to play well though longterm. |
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