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why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first summer
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Author:  O [ Tue Aug 30, 2022 10:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
So sorry for your loss. It's been a difficult few years and hope their family and friends are doing ok.
Author:  lilmac [ Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
MadGez wrote:
On a sad note - a friend of mine who loved the original Top Gun and all things 80s/action/speed was looking forward to the sequel immensely.

Sadly - he took his own life in December 2020. Can't help wish that we got to see TGM together in 2020. :(

The last time I saw him (thanks to Covid lockdowns etc) was when a bunch of us caught up to see Ford v Ferrari in late 2019. A bittersweet memory looking back.


Thanks for sharing that kernel of memory. He sounds like a great friend.
Author:  Rev [ Tue Aug 30, 2022 4:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
MadGez wrote:
On a sad note - a friend of mine who loved the original Top Gun and all things 80s/action/speed was looking forward to the sequel immensely.

Sadly - he took his own life in December 2020. Can't help wish that we got to see TGM together in 2020. :(

The last time I saw him (thanks to Covid lockdowns etc) was when a bunch of us caught up to see Ford v Ferrari in late 2019. A bittersweet memory looking back.


Oh man, I'm so sorry for your loss.
Author:  MadGez [ Tue Aug 30, 2022 6:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Thanks guys. He is missed. Appreciate the kind words.
Author:  Algren [ Tue Aug 30, 2022 8:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Every time I check its grosses, it amazes me. It ALWAYS has the best week-to-week drop among the Top 12. Even when I think something will be better, say Elvis, which is also doing great, Maverick pulls a few percentage points better. It just made $500k on Monday, which was a larger than expected drop of 37%. We've not seen a higher Monday w2w drop for the film since 11th July, but it still went back up to #3, so it was just an overall low-grossing Monday rather than being anything to do with Maverick itself.
Author:  Rev [ Tue Aug 30, 2022 8:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Algren wrote:
Every time I check its grosses, it amazes me. It ALWAYS has the best week-to-week drop among the Top 12. Even when I think something will be better, say Elvis, which is also doing great, Maverick pulls a few percentage points better. It just made $500k on Monday, which was a larger than expected drop of 37%. We've not seen a higher Monday w2w drop for the film since 11th July, but it still went back up to #3, so it was just an overall low-grossing Monday rather than being anything to do with Maverick itself.

I thought it’d top $700 million during rerelease in November for Veterans Day :hahaha: NOT Labor Day this coming weekend!!
Author:  O [ Wed Aug 31, 2022 3:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Tuesday #: TGM $691,915 -23% $692,369,879 96

TGM is only 11.85% off of #1 Bullet Train despite being in its 96th day. If this were pre-streaming days it probably would play till Christmas and maybe until the Oscars.

Will be at $694M by the weekend. Could be at about $699M by Monday though if it gets enough of a Labor Day boost what a nice headline to have it at $700M this long weekend.

It has #5 in the bag and #25 on the all time adjusted list it looks like, just needs to get to $739M to get past The Godfather. BOM finally updated the adjusted list here! https://www.boxofficemojo.com/chart/top ... =bo_cso_ac

Hoping it gets a Veterans Weekend boost for another box office run + awards buzz generating before a Christmas push. It's box office and impact is just so huge though I can't see this miss a best picture nomination and dark horse best actor nomination for Cruise. The Academy will pander for ratings but TGM for it's level of achievement needs a presence at next year's Oscars. After what happened with Smith last year, rewarding Cruise with almost a lifetime achievement best actor Oscar would be a dramatic shift but if any year was the one for him to win or be in serious contention, this is it. Massive box office impact can tilt the conversation like it did for Bullock and The Blind Side but wouldn't be shocked if Cruise gets awards attention here.

Hard to know where this will end up but it's going to be shockingly closer to Avatar than I expected pre-re-release ahead of the sequel.
Author:  Algren [ Wed Aug 31, 2022 9:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
What I expect to happen is Top Gun: Maverick will get ignored at the Oscars, then when Cruise is 75 he'll get a Best Actor nomination when it's too late. I feel this happens a lot with the Academy. They fail to recognise people for the roles they deserve to be recognised for, and instead years later for an obscure film they'll be recognised. Also, the fact that Cruise already has Oscar recognition might hurt his chances this year.
Author:  Algren [ Fri Sep 02, 2022 2:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Paramount is expecting a good weekend. They put it back into 151 more cinemas, and again back over 3,000. Total in its fifteenth week is 3,113, which remarkably is only the sixth widest in release. Fingers crossed it top the weekend, but I feel Spidey will.

It's so close. Maverick is in one less cinema than The Invitation, two less than DC League of Super-Pets, and four less than Bullet Train.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Sep 04, 2022 10:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
15th weekend:
Top Gun: Maverick $5,500,000 +16% 3,113 +151 $1,767 $698,829,744

Only $1,596,822 left until the All-Time Top 5 returns to normalcy :D
Author:  lilmac [ Sun Sep 04, 2022 11:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Please hold at #1. Please hold at #1. Please hold at #1.

#1 in its 15th weekend! :hahaha: :noway:
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Sep 04, 2022 1:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Maybe but it's close. I feel like it won't come out on top as much as I'd like it to. Estimates have Spider-Man at 6 Million and Top Gun at 5.495 Million for the 3-Day. 4-Day is 7.6 vs 7 Million.
Author:  lilmac [ Sun Sep 04, 2022 9:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Ah well. #2 in its 15th weekend is incredible.
Author:  lilmac [ Mon Sep 05, 2022 12:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
#1 for the 4-day weekend!!!

15th weekend. Wow. It’s like ET all over again.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Sep 05, 2022 4:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
It looks like it's #1 for the 3-Day as well. Great news. :D
Author:  Jiffy [ Mon Sep 05, 2022 4:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
This is the first film to be #1 on both Memorial Day and Labor Day weekends since at least 1980.
Author:  O [ Mon Sep 05, 2022 4:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Jiffy wrote:
This is the first film to be #1 on both Memorial Day and Labor Day weekends since at least 1980.


Saw on THR it's the first film ever to do it though can't see earlier weekend tallies.

This film really just has two more milestones left worth tracking at this point since $700M is in the bag. Top 25 all time ($739M) and $1.5B global which looks like it can leg itself to. Avatar at #4 isn't impossible but with a re-release feels too far off.

Given how crazy TGM's run has been, it's even crazier to imagine this is only its THIRD weekend at #1. A 13 week gap between #1 is ridiculous! :noway:

It's shocking how closely this is following TG (1986). 14 weekend gap between #1. 3 total weekends at #1.

51% increase for TG (1986) for the 4day weekend vs the previous 3day weekend. 67.3% for TGM though benefitted from the discount Sat.
Author:  Algren [ Mon Sep 05, 2022 8:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
I think we're done with the milestones now. It's beaten Black Panther, reached $700 million. Everything is too far off.
Author:  lilmac [ Mon Sep 05, 2022 10:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Shout out to Jaws. $2.63M has to be a record for a movie’s 2,464th weekend, no? ;-)
Author:  Algren [ Tue Sep 06, 2022 1:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
I wonder when it'll have its first weekend under $1 million. Maybe Christmas? lol. I kid, but you just never know with this film!
Author:  Algren [ Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Per Deadline:

Quote:
While maintaining a robust theatrical run, Top Gun: Maverick also made its home entertainment debut August 23 and has already broken records as the No. 1 bestselling digital sell-through title ever in the U.S. its first week of release. It is among the 20 bestselling digital releases of all time after only one week.
Author:  Jiffy [ Tue Sep 06, 2022 9:18 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
O wrote:
Jiffy wrote:
This is the first film to be #1 on both Memorial Day and Labor Day weekends since at least 1980.


Saw on THR it's the first film ever to do it though can't see earlier weekend tallies.


Wonder if that is referring to the era in which we have comprehensive weekend data available.

If Variety's Top 50 markets chart is a reliable source to extrapolate to the national level then The Godfather may have been last to do it back in 1972.
Author:  lilmac [ Wed Sep 07, 2022 9:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Another $30M gets it close to Avatar's (for now) $760M. I can see TGM doing well with a re-release as soon as next year. That core audience will come back to theaters I think.

Avatar's $760M becomes say, $780M after this fall. $50M gap.

Could TGM threaten Avatar for #4 if it re-releases in 2023? Yes.
Author:  Rev [ Wed Sep 07, 2022 12:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
lilmac wrote:
Another $30M gets it close to Avatar's (for now) $760M. I can see TGM doing well with a re-release as soon as next year. That core audience will come back to theaters I think.

Avatar's $760M becomes say, $780M after this fall. $50M gap.

Could TGM threaten Avatar for #4 if it re-releases in 2023? Yes.


AVATAR is going to add $50 million domestic to it's total ;) TGM will need a couple re-release to catch it.
Author:  MadGez [ Wed Sep 07, 2022 6:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: why has Top Gun: Maverick seemingly become the first sum
Avatar should be DSQ for all this re-release cheating!!! ;)

Wouldn't be surprised if Top Gun has sold around the same number of tickets or more than Avatar considering Avatar ticket prices were very high thanks to 3D/Imax.

It's fitting that Maverick is back at No.1 to end the summer. Would have hated if a Spidey re-release just beat it.
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