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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
Black Panther will obviously be huge with probably at least 450m.
Looking ahead to 2023, Ant-Man 3 should increase from 2 with the hyped up appearance of Kang and MODOK, but probably still won't do 300m. GOTG Vol 3 probably can at least match the second film if not increase to over 400m. The Marvels will probably be the big loser, as no one really likes the first Captain Marvel. Probably will still do 300m but WAY down from the first.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 8:49 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
Black Panther did $700m domestic. I see Black Panther: Wakanda Forever doing minimum $450m
The first Ant-Man did $180m, the second did $216m. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania will definitely top them all. I see it doing minimum $250m domestic.
Guardians 1 did $333m, Guardians 2 did $389m. Thinking Guardians 3 will top $400m minimum.
Captain Marvel did $426m domestic. Thinking The Marvels will top $350m. Wandavision & MsMarvel has helped it gain more fans and I'm sure they will all want to see the characters on the big screen.
BLADE should top at minimum $200m domestic, when it's released in fall of 2023.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 9:20 am |
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rftapeout
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm Posts: 92
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
The poster katnisscinaplex (from Box Office Theory) has come up with some interesting predictions based on the $29 million preview for Thor: Love and Thunder.
previews: $29 million True Friday: $40.5 million Saturday: $43.5 million
I'm estimating a 32% drop on Sunday from Saturday (just like Eternals) Sunday: $29.6 million
So if katnisscinaplex and I am right, Thor Love and Thunder should have an opening weekend of 29 +40.5+43.5+29.6 = $142.6 million. It appears that those of us predicting under $150 million in the poll will be on the money.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:09 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6167
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
rftapeout wrote: The poster katnisscinaplex (from Box Office Theory) has come up with some interesting predictions based on the $29 million preview for Thor: Love and Thunder.
previews: $29 million True Friday: $40.5 million Saturday: $43.5 million
I'm estimating a 32% drop on Sunday from Saturday (just like Eternals) Sunday: $29.6 million
So if katnisscinaplex and I am right, Thor Love and Thunder should have an opening weekend of 29 +40.5+43.5+29.6 = $142.6 million. It appears that those of us predicting under $150 million in the poll will be on the money. She is extrapolating off a very small regional sample. Its ok for previews but for friday I would hold off on projection. Thor had very good walkups yesterday(did better on final 2 days than DS2) and so we have to see where it ends up. 40m sounds like a reasonable target but it could go up couple of million(or bit lower). Plus Sunday drop in July during OW should be softer than what you are projecting. As its Summer for chrissake. Movies dont drop 32% in summer. Even with mixed WOm I see 20% drop at most. PLF/Imax tend to hold strong and they tend to dominate BO these days.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:42 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23792 Location: Classified
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
They need to release a trailer for BP2, but the rumored plotline sounds pretty cool. Namor and Atlantis attack Wakanda. I do wish the MCU would go back to teasing the next movie in the credits scenes rather than introduce new characters that won't turn up again for five years. I dunno how or why, but it's all Harry Styles' fault.
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Fri Jul 08, 2022 1:56 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
Top Gun: Maverick is now up to 45 days over $1 million, which is equal to The Force Awakens. Up next is The Avengers, which it should also reach. I wonder if it can reach The Phantom Menace.
101 Titanic 80 Avatar 61 The Phantom Menace 54 Shrek 2 52 Black Panther 52 The Avengers 52 Incredibles 2 45 Top Gun: Maverick 45 The Force Awakens 45 Avengers: Infinity War 45 Jurassic World 40 The Dark Knight 38 Avengers: Endgame 38 Spider-Man: No Way Home
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Sat Jul 09, 2022 5:54 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22681 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
It’s still shocking how big Incredibles 2 was and how under the radar it’s run was.
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Sat Jul 09, 2022 7:54 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
Algren wrote: Top Gun: Maverick is now up to 45 days over $1 million, which is equal to The Force Awakens. Up next is The Avengers, which it should also reach. I wonder if it can reach The Phantom Menace.
101 Titanic 80 Avatar 61 The Phantom Menace 54 Shrek 2 52 Black Panther 52 The Avengers 52 Incredibles 2 45 Top Gun: Maverick 45 The Force Awakens 45 Avengers: Infinity War 45 Jurassic World 40 The Dark Knight 38 Avengers: Endgame 38 Spider-Man: No Way Home Think it’ll end at 55 Monday July 18th will end it’s consecutive million dollars run. Or end at 51 idk
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Sat Jul 09, 2022 10:24 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20348 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
B+ cinemascore? Geez, the movie seemed very crowd pleasing in my screening
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Sat Jul 09, 2022 2:07 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: B+ cinemascore? Geez, the movie seemed very crowd pleasing in my screening Mine too
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Sat Jul 09, 2022 4:26 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: July 8-10 Predictions
Quote: 101 Titanic 80 Avatar 61 The Phantom Menace 60 Top Gun: Maverick 54 Shrek 2 52 Black Panther 52 The Avengers 52 Incredibles 2 45 The Force Awakens 45 Avengers: Infinity War 45 Jurassic World 40 The Dark Knight 38 Avengers: Endgame 38 Spider-Man: No Way Home
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Tue Jul 26, 2022 10:34 am |
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