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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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 Thursday June 23 Previews Black Phone - $3m
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:46 am |
 
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20344
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:48 am |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews zwackerm wrote: Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that. It's 86% of Scream's Thursday previews. $10M true Friday is not impossible. Even if it misses it, at least it will easily open over $20M OW.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:49 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20344
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews bl1222 wrote: zwackerm wrote: Woot woot that's amazing. 30m is in play with that. It's 86% of Scream's Thursday previews. $10M true Friday is not impossible. Even if it misses it, at least it will easily open over $20M OW. I don't see why Black Phone wouldn't be way more backloaded being an original with great WOM as opposed to a franchise film with decent WOM
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:51 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20344
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Elvis- 3.5m
Just a hair under Uncharted. Seems like 35-40m still in play, though it will probably open below the Great Gatsby
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:55 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Excellent. Would be cool if this ends up being a 100m grosser.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:05 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11516
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Very good for BP and solid for Elvis. We're looking good for 5 $20M+ movies, all of which are pulling a wide range of audiences. Feel like the market could have supported a comedy movie as well so it's very healthy box office!
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:20 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22679
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Strong numbers for both. Box office is booming nicely isn’t it. With the fewer releases but a better strike rate - feels like mid/late 90s box office.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:32 am |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews $5m Thursday for TGM
$4.8m for JWD
$3.8m for LY
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:35 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11516
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews It's not an exact science but I've extracted Aladdin's 2018 last non-holiday June Thursday/weekend to extrapolate LY's weekend based on that ratio to $20.58M (-59.3%)/$91.7M total
There's a lot up in the air this weekend on rankings but the only thing I'm feeling more comfortable on is that LY is falling off a cliff. With Minions the next weekend will this fail to get to $150M and a 3 multiplier? Looking like a good chance.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:03 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews O wrote: It's not an exact science but I've extracted Aladdin's 2018 last non-holiday June Thursday/weekend to extrapolate LY's weekend based on that ratio to $20.58M (-59.3%)/$91.7M total
There's a lot up in the air this weekend on rankings but the only thing I'm feeling more comfortable on is that LY is falling off a cliff. With Minions the next weekend will this fail to get to $150M and a 3 multiplier? Looking like a good chance. There's a 99.99% chance it will fall below $150m total even if Minions opens worse than LY due to losing any PLF and IMAX screens it has left.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:22 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23775
Location: Classified
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Very nice. I think Black Phone will have pretty decent word of mouth too. Hopefully it hits $30M but just getting over $20M, which seems certain, is a huge win.
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| Fri Jun 24, 2022 1:51 pm |
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Cynosure
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sun Apr 12, 2015 7:30 am
Posts: 760
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Elvis has an $85 million budget. Ouch. How on earth is it going to reach $170 million? I don't see it making much overseas.
The Black Phone is pulling in similar numbers domestically with a budget a fifth of Elvis'.
Last edited by Cynosure on Sat Jun 25, 2022 11:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jun 25, 2022 11:19 am |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: Thursday June 23 Previews Cynosure wrote: Elvis has an $85 million budget. Ouch. How on earth is it going to reach $170 million? I don't see it making much overseas. Don't lose hope just yet. Go to Box Office Theory. UK, Australia, and Italy are doing well.
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| Sat Jun 25, 2022 11:20 am |
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