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 Friday Numbers (June 3) 
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
It being at $290m+ already... fucking crazy


Sun Jun 05, 2022 2:58 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
O wrote:
From the top 400 domestic list, I'd say other high value candidates (though not likely probable) include Home Alone, Elf, Gladiator, Grease, The Exorcist, Jaws and ET.

Actors returning to iconic roles could also be mega blockbuster runs. Julia Roberts in Pretty Woman 2, Will Smith in a legit ID4 sequel once he's back in the public's good graces, Sigourney in Alien, Matthew Broadrick in Ferris Bueller 2, Lindsay Lohan and team in Mean Girls 2, Uma in Kill Bill 3, Sound of Music 2 (still #3 on the adjusted list).

I personally think the charm of a Ferris Bueller sequel would resonate big time as Bueller's kid takes the day off of school or something.


Weaver in Aliens wouldn't have that impact, we've returned to the franchise many times, and Weaver's been in three of them. It'd be much more of a Terminator Dark Fate situation. I think the Exorcist brand is a bit diluted. (Blair even did her own spoof!) A Gladiator prequel might be big, but at this point there's no way to make any cast members look younger. (A Master and Commander sequel would be more feasible, and the toast of Film Twitter, but like Blade Runner, less commercial.)


Sun Jun 05, 2022 3:04 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Stunning hold. Wow.


Magic Mike wrote:
Absolutely a mother of God hold. :whaa:


publicenemy#1 wrote:
It being at $290m+ already... fucking crazy


Agree on all the above :D The Cruise Man is having a great summer

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Sun Jun 05, 2022 3:37 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Charlie is saying 28-29m range for sunday and so its not going to hit 90m. high end will barely miss 90m and low end will be tad below 89m. Considering all early projections have been below actuals there is still little bit of hope. But 89m is nothing to sneeze at for sure.

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Sun Jun 05, 2022 11:20 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
mark66 wrote:
A brief history of my TGM total predicitions on my website:

$250m Yearly forecast
$320m May forecast
$600m Opening forecast

Feeling more and more comfortable that I wasn't that crazy with the $600m total...

BTW, my opening weekend forecast was $160m and my 2nd weekend forecast $85m...


Awesome prediction. You should participate in this wknd’s Derby

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Sun Jun 05, 2022 11:58 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
lilmac wrote:
Awesome prediction. You should participate in this wknd’s Derby

Thing is, I just don't have the time... Running a website is very time consuming...

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:49 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
EmpireCity is saying 29.25m sunday. Unless Fri/Sat drops, it can go above 90m.

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 9:58 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
The weekend went up $4M to $90M for a -29% hold. :noway:

It's 3rd weekend will be the most interesting and insightful on where it ends up. Will it get hit harder by Jurassic Park or manage an under 35% hold?

It's crazy that this only needs a 5.493 multiplier from a $90M weekend to reach $700M and top 5 all time. A 29% hold off of Memorial Weekend?


Mon Jun 06, 2022 12:03 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
O wrote:
The weekend went up $4M to $90M for a -29% hold. :noway:

It's 3rd weekend will be the most interesting and insightful on where it ends up. Will it get hit harder by Jurassic Park or manage an under 35% hold?

It's crazy that this only needs a 5.493 multiplier from a $90M weekend to reach $700M and top 5 all time. A 29% hold off of Memorial Weekend?


It's crazy it dropped just 29% coming off such a big, preview and holiday inflated, opening. That said, it had no new competition this weekend and next weekend it will lose most of it's IMAX and PLF screens to Jurassic World. It would be an amazing hold against Jurassic World to drop under 40%. Under 50% would be a good hold.


Mon Jun 06, 2022 1:51 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya/status ... 2188219393

OS actuals up big as well. Overall up 8.6m from estimates !!!

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:08 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Lol yeah this will go past a billion for sure. Meanwhile MoM will barely miss it. Wow.


Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:21 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Thats a mother of god level hold.

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:42 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
It's breaking so many rules I can't keep track anymore. :whaa:

A Sixth Sense type hold for a $125M+ opener following an inflated Memorial Weekend appealing to older audiences who have barely showed up for the last few years with a sequel to a franchise 36 years old with 5 release date changes, starring an actor who's never had a movie make more than $234M or $1B turning 60 in less than a month, relying less on CGI, opening the same month as a Marvel movie, 2 years in a pandemic with some markets still limited, on its way to top 10 and possibly top 5 domestic of all time?!


Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:10 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:32 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
To Spidy's credit, omicron lockdowns came in its second weekend. No one in the biggest provinces in Canada for instance could see it for a month! :sweat: Still doesn't takeaway from how outstanding TG's hold is.


Mon Jun 06, 2022 3:36 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
EmpireCity is saying 12.1m Monday. That is absolute nuts again.

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Tue Jun 07, 2022 12:58 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
So, Tom Cruise finally made Boomers go back to the movies

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Tue Jun 07, 2022 4:17 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Keyser Söze wrote:
EmpireCity is saying 12.1m Monday. That is absolute nuts again.


Just HOW? :whaa: This is so exciting.


Tue Jun 07, 2022 5:12 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
This will have to ding Jurassic World.


Tue Jun 07, 2022 7:18 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Magic Mike wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
EmpireCity is saying 12.1m Monday. That is absolute nuts again.


Just HOW? :whaa: This is so exciting.


WOW! :D

$600 million is possible :noway:

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Tue Jun 07, 2022 7:33 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
As usual he updated to 12.3m. I think the numbers will be bonkers till wednesday and this will cool down on thu/fri due to JWD. After that it will do great again rest of the summer. 600m+ for sure.

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Tue Jun 07, 2022 10:02 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Looks like $13.75m Tuesday...

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Wed Jun 08, 2022 7:12 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
That would be a 13% week-to-week drop. :whaa:

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Wed Jun 08, 2022 7:45 am
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
Goodness gracious great balls of fire :whaa:. Well-deserved. Excellent movie. I'm going to go again. Should definitely be seen on the big screen.

I wish Jurassic World weren't opening already and it could have another week mostly to itself.


Wed Jun 08, 2022 12:31 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (June 3)
mark66 wrote:
A brief history of my TGM total predicitions on my website:

$250m Yearly forecast
$320m May forecast
$600m Opening forecast

Feeling more and more comfortable that I wasn't that crazy with the $600m total...

BTW, my opening weekend forecast was $160m and my 2nd weekend forecast $85m...



Coming back to this....what an amazing prediction.

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Tue Aug 16, 2022 9:35 am
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