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 $1b movies of 2022 

$1b movies
Poll ended at Fri Jan 28, 2022 5:27 am
Moonfall 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
The Batman 7%  7%  [ 5 ]
The Lost City 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Morbius 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Fantastic Beasts 3 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Doctor Strange 2 15%  15%  [ 11 ]
Top Gun Maverick 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Jurassic World 3 18%  18%  [ 13 ]
Lightyear 4%  4%  [ 3 ]
Minions 2 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
Thor 4 11%  11%  [ 8 ]
Black Adam 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Salem's Lot 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Mission: Impossible 7 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
The Flash 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Black Panther 2 14%  14%  [ 10 ]
Avatar 2 15%  15%  [ 11 ]
Aquaman 2 10%  10%  [ 7 ]
Mario 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
ANOTHER MOVIE (please specify) 1%  1%  [ 1 ]
Total votes : 73

 $1b movies of 2022 
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Rev wrote:
These 8 will do it

The Batman :tears:
Doctor Strange 2 :| only $58m away
Top Gun Maverick :thumbsup:
Jurassic World 3 :thumbsup: no doubt
Thor 4
Mission: Impossible 7 (2023)
Black Panther 2
Avatar 2


:whaa: Shocked The BATMAN didn’t do it

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Last edited by Rev on Wed Jun 22, 2022 12:37 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jun 19, 2022 3:59 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Jurassic World: Dominion has made $100 million in China on its 13th day in release with a $2.28 million Wednesday. It's the first Hollywood film of 2022 to do so and, I believe, the first Hollywood movie to reach the mark since F9: The Fast Saga over a year ago last May.

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Wed Jun 22, 2022 12:25 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
TGM will make 1.2B+. Korea WOM is out of the world as I expected and so expect a long run over there.

JWD wont be making 1B for sure. Another movie which will finish in 900s along with Dr Strange 2.

Thor 4 is also looking tough. Its hype is well below DS2(PS is about 65% in AMC and 50% in Cinemark) and $ is so strong making 600m without China/Russia is improbable for MCU flick unless it has NWH level of hype which wont happen until next Avengers movie.

BP2 I think will drop quite a bit domestic from last movie. That had a unique hook but cannot be replicated again. Plus the movie losing its lead character and making similar gross looks very unlikely. It also wont make more than 500m OS(probably less if $ remains strong). But it still has slightly better chance than Thor 4 for sure.

Avatar is lock for 1b WW.

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Wed Jun 22, 2022 12:57 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Yeah, the dollar needs to chill. It's the strongest it's been since late 2002 on the index. Versus a year ago, approximately: $600m OS is a little over $500m now, $700m is a bit shy of $600m, $800m is around $675m, etc.

Dollar Index:

YTD:
Spoiler: show
Image


5-YEAR:
Spoiler: show
Image


10-YEAR:
Spoiler: show
Image

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Wed Jun 22, 2022 6:14 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
If it wasn't for China DS would be well over a billion by now. Eek.

Top Gun's performance is just insane.


Wed Jun 22, 2022 6:37 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Keyser Söze wrote:
BP2 I think will drop quite a bit domestic from last movie.



I'm also worrying about Black Panther: Wakanda Forever. Not just because it's lost the star of the show, but also the first movie came out with that perfect storm of heightened BLM support with the "first black superhero movie" narrative. I think it will most likely drop as well, though there will still be intrigue to see how they deal with the loss of Boseman, but I just don't see it being a record breaker.

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Wed Jun 22, 2022 8:51 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
The Suicide Squad could have gotten $300M DOM if it opened this summer. It’s so good.

https://www.the-numbers.com/custom-sear ... m=Suicide+

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Sat Jun 25, 2022 12:19 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Rev wrote:
HA! I'm the lone Top Gun Maverick voter
:D just the way I like it

Good call! :noway:

$484.7m INTL
$1,006.4m WW

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Sun Jun 26, 2022 11:47 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
This is the happiest I've been for a $1b grosser in a long time. So well deserved.

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Sun Jun 26, 2022 10:42 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
mark66 wrote:
Rev wrote:
HA! I'm the lone Top Gun Maverick voter
:D just the way I like it

Good call! :noway:

$484.7m INTL
$1,006.4m WW


Thank you :D and it deserves it. Such a great film

MadGez wrote:
This is the happiest I've been for a $1b grosser in a long time. So well deserved.


same :D

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Sun Jun 26, 2022 11:00 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Good call Rev.

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Mon Jun 27, 2022 1:39 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
lilmac wrote:
Good call Rev.

thx lilmac :thumbsup:

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Mon Jun 27, 2022 9:05 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Great call Rev. Beginning of the year I would have predicted under $500 million for TGM :-)

Now I think JWD has more than reasonable chance with China holding up much better than what I thought previously based on Covid situation plus its initial ratings at Maoyan. But competition is non existent and its doing well. Looking to add at least $50 million more than what I thought on its opening day. If Japan does $60 million then 1B will happen with reasonably good late legs domestic which is not crazy considering there is hardly anything big opening post Thor 4 and summer weekdays will help as well.

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Tue Jun 28, 2022 12:57 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think JWD has more than reasonable chance with China holding up much better than what I thought previously based on Covid situation plus its initial ratings at Maoyan. But competition is non existent and its doing well.


Its run will probably be cut short from 1st July when all the Communist Propaganda movies are re-released. Dominion will lose a ton of showtimes. So it's only got a few days left to make some money, is my feeling, but we'll see what happens. And it's already made over $115 million, so it's done well.

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Tue Jun 28, 2022 4:01 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Algren wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Now I think JWD has more than reasonable chance with China holding up much better than what I thought previously based on Covid situation plus its initial ratings at Maoyan. But competition is non existent and its doing well.


Its run will probably be cut short from 1st July when all the Communist Propaganda movies are re-released. Dominion will lose a ton of showtimes. So it's only got a few days left to make some money, is my feeling, but we'll see what happens. And it's already made over $115 million, so it's done well.


So this didn't happen. The Chinese populace reliably don't care about anything older than three months, lol. Dominion is now up to $133.6 million as of EOD Monday.

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Tue Jul 05, 2022 6:17 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Only $2,327,115 left until Jurassic World: Dominion joins a lonely Maverick in the club.

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Mon Sep 12, 2022 9:56 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
$1B in the bag!

https://variety.com/2022/film/box-offic ... 235380452/


Fri Sep 23, 2022 1:32 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Mojo does not recognise Dominion as a member, lol

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Tue Sep 27, 2022 8:25 am
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Rev wrote:
Rev wrote:
These 8 will do it

The Batman :tears:
Doctor Strange 2 :thumbdown: fell 44m short
Top Gun Maverick :thumbsup:
Jurassic World 3 :thumbsup:
Thor 4 :thumbdown:
Mission: Impossible 7 (2023)
Black Panther 2
Avatar 2

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Tue Sep 27, 2022 1:30 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Image

Mojo, while still denying Dominion, has gone crazy! :grrr:

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Wed Sep 28, 2022 7:38 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Colombia came in big. They rival China (especially now that they stopped releasing films, more or less). In fact, they may be larger the U.S. now, too. Mass underreporting there based on Mojo's new numbers.

Orphan: First Kill debuted at #1 to $38.8 million there this past weekend.

Top Grossing Films in Colombia this year:

$1.251 billion - Spider-Man: No Way Home (2022 re-release) *New record high gross for a single market*
$825.7 million - Minions 2
$821.9 million - Thor 4
$386.5 million - Sonic 2
$334.7 million - Top Gun 2
$244.0 million - DC Super Pets
$195.2 million - Sing 2
$181.1 million - Bullet Train
$172.5 million - Dragon Ball Super
$103.8 million - The Bad Guys

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:10 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Haha, ridiculous.

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Wed Sep 28, 2022 8:31 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Columbia KJ:

"Top Gun: Maverick- what went wrong?"


Wed Sep 28, 2022 11:15 pm
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Post Re: $1b movies of 2022
Moonfall was an option on this poll, lol

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Sat Dec 10, 2022 5:42 am
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