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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18958
Location: San Diego
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 August 13-15 predictions I'm glad I don't have to see another Free Guy trailer again
I'm gonna go with $21m for Free Guy. Which in of itself sounds like a lot to me but apparently it's tracking well over at BOT. Would be embarassing if it outopens TSS, and more of an argument for theatrical windows.
Don't Breathe 2 and Respect... mmm. I'm gonns guess one of these does above 10m while the other does high single digits.
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| Mon Aug 09, 2021 4:27 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: August 13-15 predictions Free Guy will do well, it's that kind of mindless fun that will attract people plus it's not available to stream.
Don't Breathe 2 is such a non-event. It should have done well if it was a continuation of the first but it looks like they are dumping this one.
Respect will probably struggle as it's reviews are good-not-great.
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| Mon Aug 09, 2021 7:29 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18958
Location: San Diego
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Re: August 13-15 predictions TSS needs a 61% drop to stay above $10m. I'm gonna go with 64% drop, $9.4m weekend. Yuck.
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| Tue Aug 10, 2021 7:07 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1815
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Re: August 13-15 predictions gonna keep lowballing everything...
Free Guy $13m
Respect $8m
Don’t Breathe $5m
_________________
how am I not myself?
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| Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:23 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23921
Location: Classified
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Re: August 13-15 predictions I think Free Guy will beat Suicide Squad. Starpower seems to be the key to success this summer. If it had Emily Blunt it’d break out huge.
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| Wed Aug 11, 2021 4:24 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: August 13-15 predictions Indeed! But Free Guy has some cameos which can bring enough starpower (or spoiler start
intergalactic wars). Free You also has been marketing for 2 years and I'm this case it helps.
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| Wed Aug 11, 2021 7:56 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6234
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Re: August 13-15 predictions free guys previews looks like 2m. But it will be lot more frontloaded than Jungle Cruise. So I am thinking mid teens OW.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:53 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32139
Location: the last free city
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Re: August 13-15 predictions FREE GUY - 30m
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
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| Thu Aug 12, 2021 10:41 am |
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rftapeout
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm
Posts: 96
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Re: August 13-15 predictions The critics say Free Guy (84% on Rotten Tomatoes) is better than Snake Eyes (38% fresh). So Free Guy should easily do better than Snake Eyes $13.4 million opening weekend. I can't believe the low ball estimate of $13 million. I'm predicting Free Guy will earn more than The Hitman's Bodyguard ($21.4 million) with $24 million for its first weekend.
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| Thu Aug 12, 2021 9:18 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6234
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Re: August 13-15 predictions Ok. it did much better with walkups than what I expected yesterday. Its final day sales were stronger than Jungle Cruise and finished around 95% at AMC. So I am thinking 2.5m previews and low 20's OW.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Thu Aug 12, 2021 11:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: August 13-15 predictions Just below Jungle Cruise at $32m for Free Guy but I am sure I already late in my prediction(s) but having seen the movie I think the WoM will be great or on par with JC with the added advantage of not being available on streaming site(s).
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| Fri Aug 13, 2021 12:00 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18958
Location: San Diego
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Re: August 13-15 predictions An opening in the 20s is really quite solid for Free Guy. In normal times I doubt it would do much more.
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| Fri Aug 13, 2021 1:32 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: August 13-15 predictions It was supposed to release in December before pandemic so even if it didn't open big it could have legged out to $100m in normal times.
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| Fri Aug 13, 2021 2:02 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6234
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Re: August 13-15 predictions its previews did not go as I high as I saw. But its doing well with walkups. My OW prediction could still end up lower than actual.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri Aug 13, 2021 6:27 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: August 13-15 predictions Hopefully it does enough to appease some studio execs so the upcoming fall slate doesn't end up being delayed/moved to streaming.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Aug 14, 2021 1:19 am |
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