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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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 August 11-13 Predictions The Last Voyage of the Demeter- 11
I could’ve seen this done alright if it had any names in the cast at all, as it is it looks good to me, I’ll be seeing it
Barbie -35%
Oppenheimer-35%
Ninja Turtles- -40%
Meg -60%
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| Fri Aug 04, 2023 8:22 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18878
Location: San Diego
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Probably sub-10m for Demeter. But yeah probably another good weekend for Barbenheimer.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2023 9:32 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23782
Location: Classified
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Does this count as an Antz/Deep Impact/Tombstone situation or are Demeter and Reinfeld different enough to avoid it?
They also did this exact story on the Netflix Dracula miniseries.
I'd say bombs away. People can see Talk To Me for smart horror and The Meg for stupid horror. Can't imagine Demeter catching on. But I've been wrong about almost everything else this summer so maybe it will hit $100M opening weekend?
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| Fri Aug 04, 2023 2:01 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions I mean, it looks like a flop. I reckon sub-$10m all day long.
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| Fri Aug 04, 2023 4:20 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32104
Location: the last free city
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions The Last Voyage of the Demeter - $13m
BARBIE -30%
OPPEY -38%
TMNT -44%
MEG 2 -66%
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| Fri Aug 04, 2023 5:28 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: Does this count as an Antz/Deep Impact/Tombstone situation or are Demeter and Reinfeld different enough to avoid it? No, it doesn't count, imo. They're too different. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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| Wed Aug 09, 2023 5:58 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Demeter - 7-8 Million
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| Wed Aug 09, 2023 8:35 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38007
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Poor title for Last Voyage. There had to be a better way to describe Dracula's on a boat.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Aug 10, 2023 3:49 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3130
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Predicting 35.8 - 36.8% drop for Barbie - $33.77M is my prediction
_________________
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| Thu Aug 10, 2023 8:08 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3130
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions $17.82M is my prediction for Oppenheimer
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I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
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| Thu Aug 10, 2023 9:35 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11517
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions I just read that Demeter has been in development for 20+ years. $45M budget and has been in the works for so long. Would feel really bad to see it flop but should have been 1/2 the budget. Maybe it will capture an audience eventually but 20+ years.  Also, Universal, what were you thinking releasing two Dracula movies within 5 months of each other (both of which aren't in the fall)? Dracula can't catch a break this year and seems to have no bite. 
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| Sat Aug 12, 2023 12:57 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21641
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions O wrote: I just read that Demeter has been in development for 20+ years. $45M budget and has been in the works for so long. Would feel really bad to see it flop but should have been 1/2 the budget. Maybe it will capture an audience eventually but 20+ years. Also, Universal, what were you thinking releasing two Dracula movies within 5 months of each other (both of which aren't in the fall)? Dracula can't catch a break this year and seems to have no bite. I remember when this the film nic cage really wanted to play Dracula in. _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sat Aug 12, 2023 6:52 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23782
Location: Classified
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions I wonder how much Red White and Royal Blue could have made this weekend. Talk about an underserved audience... Though obviously it does have a very limited appeal.
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| Sun Aug 13, 2023 3:20 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18878
Location: San Diego
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: I wonder how much Red White and Royal Blue could have made this weekend. Talk about an underserved audience... Though obviously it does have a very limited appeal. I think it would've done rather well tbh. The book is popular and its kind of killing it on tiktok. Pretty dumb to not give it a thearical release like Air.
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| Sun Aug 13, 2023 4:25 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3130
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions lilmac wrote: Predicting 35.8 - 36.8% drop for Barbie - $33.77M is my prediction Nailed the estimate almost to the exact dollar. Taking the 2nd derivative of TDK vs Barbie (how fast it is outpacing or not outpacing the other) has been the right method for 3 weeks in a row. Of course the actuals might prove me wrong. Lol
_________________
I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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| Sun Aug 13, 2023 2:47 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: I wonder how much Red White and Royal Blue could have made this weekend. Talk about an underserved audience... Though obviously it does have a very limited appeal. I think it would've done rather well tbh. The book is popular and its kind of killing it on tiktok. Pretty dumb to not give it a theatrical release like Air. Agree. Would have likely done better than Love, Simon. Maybe not significantly more, but $50 million wouldn't have been very difficult, IMO. The book was pretty quick to find success with 100,000+ copies sold in just a few months, which is good for any book, but it's very strong for a debut novel. And it's been, as you said, huge on TikTok for years now. It's been charting well for 4 years (the copy I picked up last year was the 21st printing). This has a lot more potential than Bros last year. _________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
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| Sun Aug 13, 2023 6:18 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23782
Location: Classified
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Yeah I guess it has a much bigger concept than any similiar movies thus far released in theaters. America obviously still has a fondness for British royalty, and this would be especially topical with the whole real-life drama of Harry self-exiling because of a taboo romance. Having a romcom with a prince and first son could've have broken through to young girls who were looking for another night out and didn't want to see Barbie for the eighth time. Air's $52M would be a very reasonable and achievable goal.
Once again, streaming has robbed us of a potentially interesting box office run.
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| Sun Aug 13, 2023 6:29 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions I feel like Red, White and Royal Blue could have done 70+. I think it would have beat Air at least. So stupid it didn't get a theatrical release. Reviews are good too.
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| Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:14 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38007
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Re: August 11-13 Predictions Hopefully this is the start of the Uma-ssaince.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:38 am |
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