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 Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club 
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Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Out. It might not be massive, but 125m domestic should be pretty easy for this.


Wed May 04, 2022 3:25 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
I still say under.

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:34 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Has there ever been a club off by 5 fold ($625M+ domestic)? :whaa:


Mon Jun 06, 2022 2:38 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
This club would be a success if it was referencing sub $125m OD :funny:

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 6:20 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
O wrote:
Has there ever been a club off by 5 fold ($625M+ domestic)? :whaa:


:hahaha: :hahaha: :hahaha:

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 6:56 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
I didn't see the trailer once in theaters (granted, I haven't seen many movies this year), and I only started to see TV spots / online ads in the final couple weeks.

I see a tons of TV spots, online ads, etc., now though.

But I found out today that my aunt saw it (didn't even know she went to the movies), as well as my in-laws (the last movie they claim to have seen in theaters was Spectre). So, it's definitely reaching your casual moviegoers and then those that almost never go out.

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 8:09 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
O wrote:
Has there ever been a club off by 5 fold ($625M+ domestic)? :whaa:


Excel has some legendary clubs like Australia beating Titanic domestic. That was even worse than this :-) :funny:

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Mon Jun 06, 2022 11:30 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Keyser Söze wrote:
O wrote:
Has there ever been a club off by 5 fold ($625M+ domestic)? :whaa:


Excel has some legendary clubs like Australia beating Titanic domestic. That was even worse than this :-) :funny:


:funny: :funny: :funny: :funny: that was a wild prediction

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Tue Jun 07, 2022 7:36 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
any estimate for Wednesday yet?


Thu Jun 09, 2022 11:27 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
zwackerm wrote:
any estimate for Wednesday yet?


EmpireCity said 12.4m. I think thursday number will tell the tale for the weekend hold.

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Thu Jun 09, 2022 11:38 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Already forbes says 12.7m !!!!

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Thu Jun 09, 2022 2:39 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
14% drop.

If it falls 15% tomorrow, It should do at least 16m Friday.

Thinking a 57m weekend and 36% drop


Thu Jun 09, 2022 3:14 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Will Top Gun be the first 500 million film to not hit 1 billion WW?

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Sat Jun 11, 2022 7:40 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Thegun wrote:
Will Top Gun be the first 500 million film to not hit 1 billion WW?


The first U.S. film, perhaps (though I feel it will get there), but China's Wolf Warrior 2 is already the first film to hit $500 million in a single market/domestic market yet miss $1 billion worldwide.

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Sat Jun 11, 2022 8:08 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Thegun wrote:
Will Top Gun be the first 500 million film to not hit 1 billion WW?


1B is locked. its having insane holds in OS markets as well. Japan will do 60m+ and korea PS is uber strong with strong early buzz. In fact TGM will gross 1.1b+. Let us see domestic holds beyond this week to see where it will end up over here.

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Sat Jun 11, 2022 2:33 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
So where is this heading? Looks like $550m domestic is a sure bet. $600m is a solid bet but no guaranteed. Right now I have it at $580m which is incredible.

It also sets up a TGM as a contender for the yearly crown against Avatar/Wakanda (with Thor an outside chance).

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Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:38 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
I still am thinking it will eek to $600M. There is very little product over the summer and I think this will get a big July 4th long weekend second wind at the box office which can push it there. It will probably take Labor Day to get to $600M but if Cruise/Paramount are this close think they'll go for it, as it would become their #1 film domestically in original run to pass Titanic.


Wed Jun 15, 2022 2:10 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Wondering if Paramount+ wants TGM on it's streaming service after it's 7th weekend :-k

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Last edited by Rev on Wed Jun 15, 2022 8:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Jun 15, 2022 9:20 am
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
I'm pretty sure they said Top Gun (and maybe Dead Reckoning?) would have 100 day theatrical windows.


Wed Jun 15, 2022 4:08 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Yeah I heard 88-day window before the movie opened, which Tom hard negotiated. That would take it out to the end of August, although with the way some of these blockbusters hang around these days I could easily see it still being in the top 10 by then.


Wed Jun 15, 2022 8:27 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
I heard 120 day theatrical window. https://www.gamesradar.com/top-gun-mave ... ease-date/

Not that there will be huge difference between 88 and 120 days.

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Wed Jun 15, 2022 8:44 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
That’s great news :D for a potential final gross of $600 million

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Wed Jun 15, 2022 8:58 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
I still think it won’t crack $125m.

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Wed Jun 15, 2022 9:05 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Adjusting down due to deflation from the potential recession, it could finish below $125 million before the end of its run.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Wed Jun 15, 2022 9:51 pm
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Post Re: Top Gun 2 sub-125m Club
Thegun wrote:
Will Top Gun be the first 500 million film to not hit 1 billion WW?


Nope.


Fri Jun 24, 2022 12:38 pm
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