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 HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week 
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Post Re: HK 2/16 THU: Ant-Man: Quantumania flies to #1
Saturday adm.(so far)February 18
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania--24,099--+69.3%
Strong increase for Ant-Man 3. Walk-ins so far on opening weekend have been decent as it has represented more than half of its ticket sales compared with only pre-sales. Let's see if it can get to 50,000 admissions today.

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Fri Feb 17, 2023 8:02 pm
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Post Re: HK 2/16 WKD: Ant-Man 3 opens below Ant-Man 1 and 2
Saturday: Ant-Man 3 did make it to 50,000 admissions, however, unlike previous Marvel films where all saw an extra blockbuster surcharge or a long running surcharge, this did not have any which means the average ticket price is very low for a Marvel film.

Sunday adm.(so far)February 19
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania--24,559--+1.9%
Good to see it increasing on Sunday.

Weekend EstimatesFebruary 16
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania$2,070,000$2,070,000
Ant-Man 3 comes in below Ant-Man 1 and 2's OW. In terms of drops, this opening weekend estimate is -6.3% off from Ant-Man's OW and a whopping -42.5% from Ant-Man 2's 5-day OW.

What makes this look even worse for Ant-Man 3's OW is that ticket prices are at its highest levels ever. Ant-Man had lower ticket prices but made up for it with admissions. Ant-Man 2 had the benefit of both higher ticket prices and Marvel marquee event anticipation.

IMAX showings look OK. It has done weaker business on weekdays while stronger ticket sales have come in with weekend showings. I can see arguments either way to give it a full 2nd week extension, however, none of the 5 IMAX theaters have released Thursday schedules yet which might be a bad sign.

With 4DX showings, Avatar: The Way of Water will take back 2 showtimes from Ant-Man 3 beginning on Monday at 1 theater.

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Sun Feb 19, 2023 12:54 am
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Post Re: HK 2/16 WKD: Ant-Man 3 cont. streak of Marvel 2m OW film
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)Feb 13-19
LWTWTitleLW (HKD)TW (HKD)Days% chgTotal (HKD)LW (USD)TW (USD)Total (USD)
--1Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania--$15,707,2155--$15,707,215--$2,003,423$2,003,423
12A Guilty Conscience$14,670,303$8,611,42830-41.3%$103,414,443$1,869,290$1,098,370$13,190,302
23Someday Or One Day$4,799,492$4,098,20011-14.6%$9,419,597$611,551$522,717$1,201,450
104Where the Wind Blows$494,838$3,493,5483+606.0%$4,082,368$63,052$445,594$520,697
35The Wandering Earth 2$2,064,319$2,079,59611+0.7%$4,143,915$263,035$265,248$528,547
56Titanic (25th Anniversary)$1,699,160$1,644,77411-3.2%$3,343,934$216,507$209,787$426,512
47The First Slam Dunk$1,835,353$740,99939-59.6%$41,252,221$233,860$94,512$5,261,637
68Plane$1,643,789$522,28718-68.2%$4,081,916$209,451$66,616$520,640
79Say I Do to Me$1,033,901$412,85225-60.1%$4,635,954$131,739$52,658$591,306
810Avatar: The Way of Water$900,464$341,64368-62.1%$143,695,048$114,737$43,575$18,328,011
Note: As the published table had incorrect totals for most movies, I added last week's total with this week's figures for all films.

I had to wait for clarification from another site that publishes box office data and there seems to be some discrepancy on totals for top films. As a result, I have decided to disregard the totals from HK MPIA this week.

Ant-Man 3 grosses over 2m in 5 days. While it is a major decline from Ant-Man 2's 5-day OW, compared to Ant-Man 3's OW from other international territories, it is not a bad OW. It also continues the consecutive number of Marvel films that have grossed 2m OW. The last Marvel film that failed to break 2m OW was Guardians of the Galaxy 2 back in 2017. A Guilty Conscience passes 100m HK. Avatar 2 might be able to slip past 144m HK.

Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong)
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame*$221,895,530$28,441,141
2Avatar**$178,248,295$22,846,719
3Avengers: Infinity War***$153,301,337$19,649,179
4Avatar: The Way of Water*$143,725,172$18,331,854
5Avengers: Age of Ultron****$133,061,397$17,054,953
6Spider-Man: No Way Home$121,002,669$15,509,343
7Titanic*****$115,306,690$14,779,269
8Captain America: Civil War******$112,654,686$14,439,353
9Top Gun: Maverick$107,702,455$13,722,109
10Iron Man 3$106,389,801$13,636,360
11A Guilty Conscience*$104,961,879$13,387,675
12Transformers: Age of Extinction$98,196,851$12,586,240
13The Avengers$96,705,670$12,395,110
14Jurassic World$96,295,976$12,342,598
15Toy Story 3$89,364,118$11,454,117
16Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom$88,649,003$11,362,459
17Toy Story 4$88,537,419$11,348,156
18Spider-Man: Far From Home$84,788,927$10,867,699
19Transformers: Dark of the Moon$84,703,797$10,856,787
20Warriors of Future$81,888,311$10,495,917
21Star Wars: The Force Awakens$81,701,193$10,410,906
22The Dark Knight Rises$80,269,966$10,288,488
23Minions$78,404,191$10,049,345
24Table for Six*$77,731,857$9,923,024
25Monsters University$77,407,664$9,906,164
26Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2$76,785,999$9,841,935
27Captain Marvel$76,043,088$9,746,714
28Aquaman$75,625,663$9,693,211
29Incredibles 2$71,205,663$9,126,684
30Train to Busan$68,004,629$8,716,396
31Beauty and the Beast$67,232,357$8,617,411
32Cold War 2$66,244,171$8,490,751
33Inside Out$66,016,979$8,461,631
34Spider-Man: Homecoming$65,760,306$8,428,733
35Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness$65,484,607$8,343,235
36Black Panther$63,312,121$8,114,940
37Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings$63,079,202$8,085,086
38Anita$62,519,889$8,013,397
39Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$62,286,926$7,983,537
40The Amazing Spider-Man$61,983,852$7,944,691
41Jurassic Park$61,898,795$7,933,789
42You Are the Apple of My Eye$61,862,731$7,929,167
43Joker$61,497,005$7,882,290
44Kung Fu Hustle$61,278,697$7,854,309
45Shaolin Soccer$60,739,847$7,785,243
46Mission Impossible: Fallout$60,449,812$7,748,068
47Ip Man 3$60,261,407$7,723,919
48Doctor Strange$59,793,472$7,663,942
49Aladdin$59,754,798$7,658,985
50Furious 7$59,634,515$7,643,568
* - without re-release (Re-release included: $223,089,935 HK)
** - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK)
*** - without re-release (Re-release included: $154,700,588 HK)
**** - without re-release (Re-release included: $133,072,933 HK)
***** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK)
****** - without re-release (Re-release included: $113,470,676 HK)
* - still in release

Updated through February 20.

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Tue Feb 21, 2023 6:31 am
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Post Re: HK 2/16 WKD: Ant-Man 3 cont. streak of Marvel 2m OW film
Looks like Ant-Man 3 is headed for a -75% hold on its 2nd weekend from its 5-day OW. One of the worst 2nd weekend holds I've seen for a very wide release.

In IMAX, at the fastest selling theater, it has sold about 120 tickets for the most coveted 3 PM showtime, however, at the slowest selling IMAX theater, both the 2:30 and 4:55 PM have seen 2 tickets sold apiece.

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Sat Feb 25, 2023 10:07 pm
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Post Re: HK 2/16 WKD: Ant-Man 3 cont. streak of Marvel 2m OW film
Actuals (through March 6)

Avatar: The Way of Water - HK$144,091,116 (US$18,356,086)
A Guilty Conscience - HK$115,354,659 (US$14,695,285)

Avatar 2 finally passes 144m.

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Tue Mar 07, 2023 7:23 pm
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Post Re: HK 2/16 WKD: Ant-Man 3 cont. streak of Marvel 2m OW film
Day 1 of pre-sales for Shazam 2 and it is looking horrid at most locations. IMAX pre-sales look bad and that performance extends into regular theaters.

Back in 2019, Shazam opened to the tune of US$1.25m and US$1.48m with previews. Shazam 2 is looking like it's in danger of not making half of its opening weekend (minus previews).

Meanwhile, after multiple Oscar wins, Everything Everywhere All at Once has seen a surge of admissions in the past 2 days. The Whale has also benefited from its main Oscar win with a bump in admissions. Avatar 2 got a reprieve at one theater despite sluggish sales at that location in the past week and it has seen a minor turnaround in admissions.

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Tue Mar 14, 2023 5:33 am
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Post Re: HK 2/16 WKD: Ant-Man 3 cont. streak of Marvel 2m OW film
Actuals (through March 13)

Avatar: The Way of Water - HK$144,148,928 (US$18,363,797); HK$57,812 (US$7,364) for the week
A Guilty Conscience - HK$117,844,301 (US$15,012,729); HK$2,489,642 (US$317,166) for the week

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 12:26 am
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Post Re: HK 3/16 PRE-SALES: Shazam 2 quiet with all formats
Thursday adm.(so far)March 16
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Shazam: Fury of the Gods--3,078----
2Suzume--1,889----
Troubling for Shazam 2 as it only is doing 60% of Suzume's 3rd Thursday pre-sales business on opening day. If you compare Shazam 2's opening day pre-sales to Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania's opening day pre-sales, it is down a whopping -71.7%.

Shazam 2's early weekend pre-sales don't look great either and one theater has already half downgraded Shazam 2 on Saturday with it sharing the biggest screen with Everything Everywhere All At Once.

Other Thursday pre-sales
Everything Everywhere All At Once - 655
The Whale - 320

Everything Everywhere All At Once was only playing in 6 theaters on Mon/Tues where it ranked 8th for the entire day, however, it returns to 10+ theaters on Thursday which should enable it to finish inside the top 5 this weekend if admissions continue like it has.

The Whale also saw an increase in sales after Brendan Fraser's Oscar win and it is screening at more than 20 theaters this week. Ticket sales aren't as great as Everything Everywhere All At Once but it is one of the few films that moved admissions after the Oscars aired.

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Wed Mar 15, 2023 9:53 pm
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Post Re: HK 3/16 THU: Shazam 2 blah #1; JW4 3/23; D&D 3/30; Mario
Friday adm.(so far)March 17
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Shazam: Fury of the Gods--3,182--+3.4%
2Suzume--2,889--+52.9%
Very weak increase for Shazam 2.

Thursday Actuals

Shazam 2 - $107,397
Everything Everywhere All At Once - $15,542
The Whale - $12,485

* Totals were not given for Everything Everywhere All At Once or The Whale.

Shazam 2 is looking at an opening weekend of about $620,000 (-50% from Shazam's opening weekend without previews or -58% from Shazam's opening weekend including previews). I have it rebounding on Saturday and Sunday with a 50%+ increase from Friday and a minimal decrease on Sunday.

Looking ahead to next week when John Wick 4 opens and so far it is looking very good in IMAX. Its busiest showing on the weekend is already 1/3 full with only 2 days of pre-sales so far.

Other movies on the horizon are Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves on March 30 and The Super Mario Bros. Movie on April 5 (Wednesday). Mario is opening on Wednesday due to it being a holiday so its opening weekend will feature 3 holidays (Wednesday, Friday, Saturday). Monday April 10 is also a holiday so all in all, only one day in its first 6 days is not a holiday or a rest day.

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Fri Mar 17, 2023 3:05 am
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Post Re: HK 3/16 THU: Shazam 2 blah #1; JW4 3/23; D&D 3/30; Mario
Saturday adm.(so far)March 18
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Shazam: Fury of the Gods--5,292--+66.3%
2Suzume--4,449--+54.0%
Not bad for Shazam 2.

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Sat Mar 18, 2023 2:06 am
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Post Re: HK 3/16 PROJ: Shazam 2 lowest OW for DC film in 14 years
Shazam 2 is in danger of missing $500,000 this weekend after it decreased from opening day on Friday. It looks like it will make around $490,000 by Sunday. If it does miss $500,000, it would be the lowest opening weekend for a DC Comics film since Watchmen 14 years ago. [Jonah Hex did not receive a HK release.] It needs to beat $3,960,540 HK ($504,587 US) set by Wonder Woman 1984 to avoid this distinction.

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Sun Mar 19, 2023 6:37 am
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Post Re: HK 3/16 PROJ: Shazam 2 lowest OW for DC film in 14 years
Finishing up last weekend's pre-sales
Sunday adm.(so far)March 19
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Shazam: Fury of the Gods--5,250---0.8%
2Suzume--4,435---0.3%


John Wick 4 opens today in HK. Here's how the series has evolved so far.

John Wick - Opening weekend ($2,496,658 HK [$318,147 US]/Total ($4,622,638 HK) [$589,060 US]
John Wick 2 - Opening weekend ($4,283,132 HK [$545,797 US]/Total ($12,129,322 HK) [$1,545,632 US]; 175,380 admissions
John Wick 3 - Opening weekend (~$9,943,292 HK [$1,267,068 US]/Total ($23,748,602 HK) [$3,026,270 US]; 321,814 admissions

With each sequel, there has been a sizable increase in total from its predecessor. Opening weekend seems to have exploded with the 3rd one making over 1m. The 3rd John Wick film saw an 83.5% increase in admissions.

John Wick 4 has glowing reviews, increased ticket prices thanks to film length and Donnie Yen. Pre-sales so far are mixed with IMAX selling quite well but some regular theaters are very slow to sell tickets. All in all, I still see an opening weekend of about 1.5m.

Thursday adm.(so far)March 23
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 4--8,590----
2Suzume1,8891,013-46.4%--
3Shazam: Fury of the Gods3,0781,003-67.4%--
4Everything Everywhere All At Once655429-34.5%--
Ok start for John Wick 4. Shazam 2 in its 2nd week already falling behind Suzume in its 4th week in admissions is very bad. Everything Everywhere All At Once will lose that Oscar bump this weekend.
________________________________________________

2019 saw the #1 film of all time Avengers: Endgame selling 1,663,752 admissions. It beat out Toy Story 4 that year with 1,219,778 admissions and Spider-Man: Far From Home with 1,027,173.

Actuals (through March 21)
Avatar: The Way of Water - $144,188,704 HK ($18,373,884 US)
A Guilty Conscience - $119,374,442 HK ($15,211,817 US)

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Last edited by Bluebomb on Wed Mar 29, 2023 11:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Mar 22, 2023 6:30 pm
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Post Re: HK 3/23 THU: John Wick 4 guns down wicked opening day
Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves is also getting special screenings this weekend. On Thursday, it began with 314 admissions in pre-sales. It will continue with its sneak previews today, Saturday and Sunday.

Shazam 2 opening weekend - $3,782,726 HK ($482,060 US)

Actuals have confirmed that Shazam 2 now has the lowest opening weekend for a DC film in 14 years.

Thursday estimated actuals

John Wick 4 - $292,756

Strong opening day for John Wick 4. It is on track for at least a 1.5m OW. With John Wick 4 occupying 2-4 screens this weekend, theater operators are anticipating this to break out.

Friday adm.(so far)March 24
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 4--8,635--+0.5%
2Suzume2,8891,685-41.7%+66.3%
3Shazam: Fury of the Gods3,1821,368-57.0%+36.4%
4Over My Dead Body--939----
5Everything Everywhere All At Once--614--+43.1%
6Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves--410--+30.6%
Similar to last week when Shazam 2 barely increased with Friday pre-sales, even if John Wick 4 decreases slightly on Friday, it still has a good chance of making over 1.5m for the weekend.

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Fri Mar 24, 2023 4:30 am
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Post Re: HK 3/23 THU: John Wick 4 guns down wicked opening day
Saturday adm.(so far)March 25
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 4--14,417--+67.0%
2Suzume4,4493,348-24.7%+98.7%
3Shazam: Fury of the Gods5,2921,802-65.9%+31.7%
4Over My Dead Body--1,029--+9.6%
5Everything Everywhere All At Once--823--+34.0%
Good increase for John Wick 4. Coupled with its great walk-ins percentage so far, this could jump to over 40,000 admissions today.

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Fri Mar 24, 2023 9:33 pm
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Post Re: HK 3/23 PROJ: John Wick 4 lays down franchise OW record
Sunday adm.(so far)March 26
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 4--13,590---5.7%
2Suzume4,4353,142-29.2%-6.2%
3Shazam: Fury of the Gods5,2502,139-59.3%+18.7%
4Over My Dead Body--1,036--+0.7%
5Everything Everywhere All At Once--906--+10.1%
6Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves--683--+32.6%


Weekend ProjectionsMarch 23
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1John Wick: Chapter 4$1,560,000$1,560,000
Biggest OW of the franchise for John Wick 4.

Talk is turning toward its legs and whether it will be the first film in the series to hit a 3 multiplier. The closest it came to doing it was John Wick 2 with a 2.83x multplier.

Next week sees Dungeons & Dragons officially opening but it won't be a major challenger to John Wick 4's screens unlike Easter weekend when 4 films open. 2 of them (The Super Mario Bros. Movie and Over My Dead Body) will take the biggest screens away from John Wick 4, however, if it survives until it gets there, it will reap the rewards with 5 days playing like a holiday from Wednesday-Monday.

Weekdays will be a struggle for JW4 with its long runtime similar to what Avatar 2 suffered earlier this year with weak weekdays but strong weekends. Some theaters only showed Avatar 2 on Saturday and Sunday for 4-5 weeks before they finally sent it packing for good.

4m should be considered a lock with its current trajectory so far and superb reviews. 5m is very possible but will be a challenge because competition is right around the corner. It's uncertain if John Wick 4 will retain IMAX screens on Easter weekend or if that will go to The Super Mario Bros. or Over My Dead Body. So far, Mario has showings at 2 IMAX theaters from Wednesday-Monday but full schedules have not been released yet.

Opening weekend predictions for upcoming films
D&D: Honor Among Thieves - $800,000
The Super Mario Bros. Movie - $2,000,000 (5-day)
Over My Dead Body - $2,300,000 (6-day)

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Sun Mar 26, 2023 4:05 am
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Post Re: HK 3/23 PROJ: John Wick 4 lays down franchise OW record
John Wick 4 opening weekend actual - $12,322,162 HK ($1,569,727 US), +23.9% from John Wick 3's opening weekend.

Actuals (through March 27)
Avatar: The Way of Water - $144,211,008 HK ($18,371,129 US)
A Guilty Conscience - $120,058,155 HK ($15,294,282 US)

Avatar 2 moved more than $20,000 HK in gross from last Tuesday, however, its US gross is lower than last week due to exchange rate. A Guilty Conscience passes 120m HK.

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Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:38 pm
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Post Re: HK 3/23 PROJ: John Wick 4 lays down franchise OW record
Thursday adm.(so far)March 30
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 48,5902,612-69.6%--
2The Sunny Side of the Street--1,429----
3Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves3141,135+261.5%--
4Suzume1,013602-40.6%--
5Detective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train--430----
6Everything Everywhere All At Once429418-2.6%--
7Hidden Blade--374----
8Lonely Castle in the Mirror--284----
9Shazam: Fury of the Gods1,003217-78.4%--
10A Guilty Conscience315198-37.1%--
Not a great pre-sales hold for John Wick 4, however, pre-sales drops will look better starting tomorrow. Low pre-sales for The Sunny Side of the Street. It will look to bank on word of mouth allowing it to run through the Easter holidays. Poor opening day pre-sales for Dungeons & Dragons. Further down the list, Everything Everywhere All At Once had an immaculate hold of -3%.

Next week, major openers The Super Mario Bros. Movie and Over My Dead Body officially open. Early pre-sales for Mario look incredibly strong. Already 1 regular theater showing has sold more than 100 tickets and a few more regular showings have broken the 80 admissions mark. IMAX showings are doing well with the fastest selling IMAX theater already having one showing selling 233 tickets so far. The box office of animation films in recent years had given me pause as to how well Mario would do but pre-sales have proven that while some families will choose to wait for digital release, the power and branding of Mario cannot be denied.

Over My Dead Body is a potential 5m+ grosser. It has very strong reviews so far. Pre-sales for this weekend's pre-sales look very good. Directed by the same director as The Sparring Partner, it has stars that have been in other recent hits such as Mama's Affair and Chilli Laugh Story. Early scheduling for this film have it on the 2nd biggest screen on Wednesday so theaters expect this to do very solid business over the holidays.

Updated opening weekend predictions
The Super Mario Bros. Movie - $3,100,000 (5-day)
Over My Dead Body - $2,200,000 (6-day)

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Wed Mar 29, 2023 6:41 pm
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Post Re: HK 3/30 THU: John Wick 4 #1; 2019 Top 50 in adm. posted
Thursday Estimated Actuals

John Wick 4 - $129,938 (-55.5%)/$2,191,115
Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves - $37,834 (opening day actual)/$125,479

John Wick 4 is looking at a 2nd weekend of about $915,000 (-41.7%). That would be a better hold than John Wick 3's 2nd weekend of about -48%.

Dungeons & Dragons completely bombed. It probably won't make $400,000 even with previews included.

Friday adm.(so far)March 31
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 48,6355,074-41.2%+94.3%
2Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves4101,548+277.6%+36.4%
3Suzume1,6851,376-18.3%+128.6%
4The Sunny Side of the Street--903---36.8%
5Over My Dead Body939844-10.1%--
6Detective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train--446--+3.7%
7Shazam: Fury of the Gods1,368315-77.0%+45.2%
8Lonely Castle in the Mirror--298--+4.9%
9Everything Everywhere All At Once614286-53.4%-31.6%
10A Guilty Conscience--244--+23.2%
Massive gains from Thursday pre-sales for both John Wick 4 and Suzume. Everything Everywhere All At Once crashed and burned. Big decrease for The Sunny Side of the Street. Ouch for Shazam 2.

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Last edited by Bluebomb on Mon Apr 24, 2023 12:43 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Mar 31, 2023 4:46 am
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Post Re: HK 3/30 THU: John Wick 4 #1; 2019 Top 50 in adm. posted
Saturday adm.(so far)April 1
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 414,4178,107-43.8%+59.8%
2Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves5152,758+435.5%+78.2%
3Suzume3,3482,013-39.9%+46.3%
4The Sunny Side of the Street--1,340--+48.4%
5Over My Dead Body1,0291,065+3.5%+26.2%
6Detective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train--647--+45.1%
7Shazam: Fury of the Gods1,802581-67.8%+84.4%
8Lonely Castle in the Mirror--428--+43.6%
9Everything Everywhere All At Once823393-52.2%+37.4%
10Lost Love--315----
Decent increase for John Wick 4. It is still on track to accumulate around 3m total by Sunday.
___________________________________________________________
Very interesting developments for the new openers on Wednesday. Broadway have dispersed their screens quite evenly with Super Mario Bros./Over My Dead Body/John Wick 4 all getting at least 1 screen or full day showtimes. Super Mario Bros. gets the biggest screen with Over My Dead Body/John Wick 4 sharing the 2nd largest screen. The rest are being shared among holdovers.

MCL has Over My Dead Body ahead of John Wick 4 here but they both pale in comparison to Super Mario Bros. which is getting 3-4 screens.

Emperor, like MCL has Mario way out in front with 2-3 screens. Theaters are split between Over My Dead Body and John Wick 4 for #2.

Cinema City has Mario on 2 screens with John Wick in 2nd on 1 screen. Over My Dead Body is lagging behind new opener Air here.

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Sat Apr 01, 2023 12:37 am
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Post Re: HK 3/30 PROJ: JW4 closes in on 3m; Mario vs. Dead Body W
Weekend ProjectionsMarch 30
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1John Wick: Chapter 4$850,000-45.9%$2,910,000
2Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves$245,000$333,000
Looks like John Wick 4 will be making around $850,000 for the weekend after a lower than expected Friday/Saturday gross. Despite the lowered projection, it would still come in with a better hold than John Wick 3's 2nd weekend.

Dungeons & Dragons flopped. $500,000 will happen by Friday or Saturday.

Sunday adm.(so far)April 2
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1John Wick: Chapter 413,5907,353-45.9%-9.3%
2Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves6833,027+343.2%+9.8%
3Suzume3,1422,425-22.8%+20.5%
4The Sunny Side of the Street--1,405--+4.9%
5Over My Dead Body1,0361,111+7.2%+4.3%
6Detective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train--694--+7.3%
7Shazam: Fury of the Gods2,139632-70.5%+8.8%
8Lonely Castle in the Mirror--491--+14.7%
9A Guilty Conscience--397----
10Everything Everywhere All At Once906380-58.1%-3.3%
Pretty much what you would expect. Family films get the biggest pre-sales boost while John Wick 4 suffers because of its long runtime.

Wednesday schedules

Note: Due to the staggered release pattern for Easter weekend, showtimes in parentheses are from Tuesday. All holdovers are leaving Tuesday unless otherwise specified.

GH

Whampoa
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Can.) - 9 showingsDungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves - 3 showings (▼ 5)Shazam: Fury of the Gods
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Eng.) - 1 showingJohn Wick: Chapter 4 - 4 showings (▼ 5)Lost Love (Mon.)
Over My Dead Body - 4 showings (▲ 3)The Sunny Side of the Street - 1 showing (▼ 2)
Air - 3 showings (=)Suzume - 1 showing (▼ 2)
Over at Golden Harvest, The Super Mario Bros. Movie gets 2-3 screens while Over My Dead Body gets full day showtimes. John Wick 4 is in 3rd with about 3-5 showings.

Pre-sales here have Mario out in front by a comfortable margin over everyone.

MCL

Festival Grand
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Can.) - 2 showingsDungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves - 1 showing (▼ 6)The Sunny Side of the Street
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (3D Eng.) - 6 showingsJohn Wick: Chapter 4 - 4 showings (▼ 6)Lonely Castle in the Mirror
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (3D Can.) - 1 showingSuzume - 3 showings (▼ 4)Shazam: Fury of the Gods
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (3D Atmos Eng.) - 3 showingsThe Lost King
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (3D Atmos Can.) - 4 showingsDetective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train
Over My Dead Body - 7 showings (▼ 9)Everything Everywhere All At Once (Mon.)
The Whale (Mon.)
MCL has Super Mario on 2-4 screens while Over My Dead Body gets 1 or 2 screens. John Wick 4 is 3rd at this theater with 3-6 showings at most locations. It is also at this theater chain where you will find the most 3D showings of Mario. I don't believe there is a single 3D showing at Broadway while Cinema City, Emperor and Golden Harvest all have a smattering of 3D showings at select locations.

Pre-sales have Mario wildly ahead of Over My Dead Body/John Wick 4 with one theater recording more than a 10:1 advantage for Mario in admissions so far on Wednesday.

Broadway

Tsuen Wan
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Can.) - 8 showingsJohn Wick: Chapter 4 - 5 showings (▼ 7)Shazam: Fury of the Gods
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Eng.) - 2 showingsThe Sunny Side of the Street - 1 showing (▼ 2)Full River Red (Mon.)
Over My Dead Body - 6 showings (=)Suzume - 2 showings (▲ 1)Lost Love (Sun.)
Cyber Heist - 2 showings (▼ 3)Missing (Sun.)
A Guilty Conscience - 1 showing (▲ 0)
Very close in showtimes between Mario/Dead Body/John Wick 4. Mario has the edge here with the biggest screen but at most theaters here, no one is getting a 2nd screen. Instead, the other screens have been handed out to the holdovers.

Mario has been doing the best here in pre-sales, however, Over My Dead Body is also doing quite well. John Wick 4 looks quiet here.

Cinema City

Langham Place
NewHoldoversLeaving
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Can.) - 3 showingsDungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves - 5 showings (▲ 4)Hidden Blade
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Atmos Eng.) - 1 showingJohn Wick: Chapter 4 - 4 showings (▼ 8)Scream 6
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (Atmos Can.) - 2 showingsJohn Wick: Chapter 4 4DX - 3 showings (=)A Guilty Conscience
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (3D 4DX Eng.) - 1 showingSuzume - 3 showings (▲ 2)Cyber Heist
The Super Mario Bros. Movie (3D 4DX Can.) - 2 showingsSuzume 4DX - 1 showing (=)When the Wind Blows
Over My Dead Body - 5 showings (▼ 1)Everything Everywhere All At Once - 1 showing (=)Lost Love (Mon.)
Over My Dead Body (AD) - 2 showings (▼ 6)Shazam: Fury of the Gods - 3 showings (▲ 2)Cocaine Bear (Mon.)
Air - 4 showings (=)The Sunny Side of the Street - 2 showings (=)65 (Mon.)
The Whale - 1 showing (=)Shazam: Fury of the Gods Atmos (Mon.)
Someday Or One Day - 1 showing (=)Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves 4DX (Mon.)
So far, Mario has 2 screens here with John Wick 4 in 2nd with 1 screen.

Mario is well ahead of Over My Dead Body and John Wick 4 here in pre-sales.

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Sun Apr 02, 2023 3:35 am
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Post Re: HK 3/30 PROJ: JW4 closes in on 3m; Mario vs. Dead Body W
Part 1 of Easter weekend pre-sales
Palace APM
The Super Mario Bros. Movie(all v.)Over My Dead BodyJohn Wick: Chapter 4(all v.)
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
Apr. 58:50 AM10928638.11%Apr. 58:50 AM3616721.56%Apr. 511:05 AM1816710.78%
10:40 AM20428671.33%2:10 PM2016711.98%1:30 PM54810.42%
11:40 AM404883.33%4:45 PM2511222.32%1:40 PM101128.93%
12:30 PM4028613.99%5:50 PM61145.26%4:25 PM151678.98%
2:20 PM7628626.57%7:30 PM71674.19%6:25 PM54810.42%
4:10 PM7628626.57%9:40 PM162865.59%7:00 PM41123.57%
4:35 PM444891.67%10:25 PM4984.08%9:30 PM114822.92%
6:00 PM3028610.49%9:50 PM111676.59%
7:50 PM262869.09%
10:05 PM41123.57%
Total649221029.37%Total114111110.26%Total798699.09%
Note: These admissions include blocked off seats. True admissions are lower.

To be honest, it's not great for any film. Though The Super Mario Bros. Movie is well out in front of Over My Dead Body and John Wick 4 at this theater, it hasn't really captured the adult market that loves certain Pixar films like Toy Story or Inside Out or The Incredibles. That is being reflected with its evening shows.

Over My Dead Body looks pretty dead after 5 PM. John Wick 4, meanwhile, has a slight rebound after 9 PM but its 6 and 7 PM shows are ghost towns.

Removing the blocked off seats for all films looks even worse for Over My Dead Body and John Wick 4, with Mario holding a 7:1 advantage in ticket sales over Over My Dead Body and 9.5:1 over John Wick 4.

Final Easter weekend predictions

1. The Super Mario Bros. Movie - $3,200,000 (5-day)
2. Over My Dead Body - $1,500,000 (6-day, including previews)
3. John Wick 4 - $625,000 (-26.5%, 4-day)/3.9m
4. Air - $600,000 (6-day)

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Mon Apr 03, 2023 4:31 am
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Post Re: HK 3/30 PROJ: JW4 closes in on 3m; Mario vs. Dead Body W
Tuesday adm.(so far)April 4
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chg
1Over My Dead Body--9,677--
2John Wick: Chapter 4--3,163--
3Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves--1,084--
4Suzume--857--
5The Sunny Side of the Street--701--
6Detective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train--349--
7Lonely Castle in the Mirror--295--
8A Guilty Conscience--232--
9Air--217--
10Shazam: Fury of the Gods--145--
Ok for Over My Dead Body. Fully booked meet & greet's and other special screenings account for more than 1/3 of its admissions. John Wick 4 saw a slight increase from last Thursday's pre-sales.

Early Thursday schedules

Same/Upgraded

The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Upgraded

Over My Dead Body

Downgraded

John Wick: Chapter 4
Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves
Air

Mario continues to lead the field with the same or increased showtimes from Wednesday on Thursday. Over My Dead Body gets the nod for a bump in audience size, either from larger screens or more showings.

Below the expected top 2, showtimes have been shaved from the remaining top holdovers and new opener Air.

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Mon Apr 03, 2023 5:50 pm
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Post Re: HK 4/5 PRE-SALES: Mario super stars OMDB, JW4 for #1
Part 2 of Easter weekend pre-sales

Palace APM
The Super Mario Bros. Movie(all v.)Over My Dead BodyJohn Wick: Chapter 4(all v.)
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
Apr. 58:50 AM19828669.23%Apr. 58:50 AM8016747.90%Apr. 511:05 AM7016741.92%
10:40 AM23628682.52%2:10 PM6816740.72%1:30 PM144829.17%
11:40 AM454893.75%4:45 PM5111245.54%1:40 PM3811233.93%
12:30 PM12528643.71%5:50 PM2111418.42%4:25 PM4116724.55%
2:20 PM14128649.30%7:30 PM131677.78%6:25 PM84816.67%
4:10 PM13128645.80%9:40 PM192866.64%7:00 PM1811216.07%
4:35 PM4848100.00%10:25 PM6986.12%9:30 PM134827.08%
6:00 PM8328629.02%9:50 PM131677.78%
7:50 PM4728616.43%
10:05 PM111129.82%
Total1065221048.19%Total258111123.22%Total21586924.74%
Since yesterday's post, Mario has accumulated more than 400 admissions, golden mushrooming to just under 50% filled for the entire day. Afternoon showings have all surpassed 40% capacity while the 2 4DX shows are more than 95% sold out combined. Evening shows remain an issue as a good chunk of theaters have given the biggest screens to Over My Dead Body at night on Thursday.

Over My Dead Body and John Wick 4 also picked up 144 and 136 admissions respectively from yesterday. While John Wick 4 is battling hard for #2 at this theater, other theaters see Over My Dead Body stomping over John Wick 4 by 2-3x in admissions.

Wednesday adm.(so far)April 5
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Super Mario Bros. Movie--42,588----
2Over My Dead Body--7,869---18.7%
3John Wick: Chapter 4--4,198--+32.7%
4Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves--1,575--+45.3%
5Suzume--1,237--+44.3%
6Air--738--+240.1%
7The Sunny Side of the Street--667---4.9%
8A Guilty Conscience--343--+47.8%
9Lonely Castle in the Mirror--320--+8.5%
10Detective Conan: The Story of Ai Haibara: Black Iron Mystery Train--220---37.0%
Very strong start for Super Mario Bros on this holiday Wednesday. The lack of a second screen at most Broadway theaters wasn't enough of a deterrent as it came in +25.2% of Monsters University's OD pre-sales and +31.9% more than Toy Story 3's OD pre-sales. It has 688 showings and already has an average of 61 admissions per showing with only its pre-sales. It should get to about 70,000-80,000 for the holiday opening day. Its OD should be close to or above $700,000. Evening shows will determine how big of an OD it is.

With the meet and greet showings dropping off, Over My Dead Body's true number has finally revealed itself. Walk-ins have been very brisk from what I saw as one showing had as few as 10 admissions bought in pre-sales while final admissions for that showing coming in at 80.

Decent for John Wick 4 though it will get its showings cut starting on Thursday.

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Tue Apr 04, 2023 6:38 pm
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Post Re: HK 4/5 PRE-SALES: Mario super stars OMDB, JW4 for #1
Part 3 of Easter weekend pre-sales

Palace APM
The Super Mario Bros. Movie(all v.)Over My Dead BodyJohn Wick: Chapter 4(all v.)
DayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filledDayTimeSeats soldSeats available% filled
Apr. 78:50 AM232868.04%Apr. 78:50 AM81674.79%Apr. 710:35 AM1611414.04%
9:20 AM234847.92%11:05 AM3516720.96%1:00 PM1811216.07%
10:40 AM11428639.86%1:20 PM91675.39%4:05 PM1911416.67%
12:30 PM222867.69%3:35 PM2916717.37%7:10 PM81147.02%
1:30 PM244850.00%5:50 PM151678.98%9:20 PM2484.17%
2:20 PM4628616.08%7:50 PM202866.99%9:55 PM71674.19%
3:20 PM234847.92%10:05 PM212867.34%
3:35 PM179817.35%
4:15 PM4528615.73%
5:10 PM204841.67%
6:05 PM122864.20%
8:05 PM71674.19%
10:05 PM41123.57%
Total380228516.63%Total13714079.74%Total7066910.46%

Comparison to Opening Wednesday's pre-sales from Monday
Super Mario Bros: -41.5% from Super Mario Bros. Movie's Wednesday pre-sales taken on Monday
Over My Dead Body: +20.2% from Over My Dead Body's Wednesday pre-sales taken on Monday
John Wick 4: -11.4% from John Wick 4's Wednesday pre-sales taken on Monday

Now part of Over My Dead Body's increase and John Wick 4's drop can be explained. As Over My Dead Body got bigger screen sizes and more showings, it got more blocked off seats added to its pre-sales total here. For example, the 286 seater actually contains 12 blocked off seats that are always listed as 'sold' unless if the theater decides to open up those seats (usually at the last minute). John Wick 4's slight drop was partly due to decreased showings and smaller houses. Smaller houses have less blocked off seats that theaters put out.

What can't be explained though is Mario's 40% drop from Day 1's pre-sales taken on Monday. It got more showtimes, so more blocked off seats added to its total. Using only true admissions, Mario and Dead Body's holds are better than what only actual admissions tells us while John Wick 4's worse.

Currently, Mario has a 4.5/5 rating to Over My Dead Body's 4.3/5, however, expect Mario's rating to drop over the coming weeks as critic reviews are meh and most animation films tend to start high and then sink lower as the weeks go by. Dead Body's rating already includes more than 80+ reviews compared to Mario's 11 so its rating won't fluctuate that much as many people have already seen it and commented.

As far as pre-sales are concerned, theaters were definitely right to give the biggest screen to Over My Dead Body at night. Although it is losing 3:1 to Mario in the morning, it is winning over Mario by at least 3:1 at night.

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Wed Apr 05, 2023 6:50 am
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Post Re: HK 4/5 WED: Mario grabs records; biggest 2023 OD
Deadline wrote:
Hong Kong kicked off with $700K on Wednesday across 62 locations, claiming the biggest opening day of 2023, the biggest opening day for any Universal animation, and the biggest April animation opening day ever.

This is in line with the opening Thursday of Minions, and above the opening Thursdays of Incredibles 2, Beauty and the Beast and Toy Story 4

Usually when figures from Deadline are posted, it is typically overestimated. From this figure, it could mean Mario grossed anywhere from $600-700k.

Toy Story 4 is not a fair comparison as it led off with massive sneaks before opening day. Incredibles 2 opened in July 2018 after schools were let out for the summer. It opened to 4.7m HK ($598,000 US).

A more encouraging sign is that it came in similar to Minions' OD. That made at least $675,000 OD.

Thursday adm.(so far)April 6
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Super Mario Bros. Movie--17,367---59.2%
2Over My Dead Body--3,641---53.7%
3John Wick: Chapter 42,6121,806-30.9%-57.0%
4Suzume602820+36.2%-33.7%
5Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves1,135727-35.9%-53.8%
6Nomad--430----
7Air--392---46.9%
8The Sunny Side of the Street1,429238---64.3%
9A Guilty Conscience198179-9.6%-47.8%
10Lonely Castle in the Mirror284166-41.5%-48.1%
Today is the one day that doesn't play like a holiday so think of this like a Friday, although I'm sure many people have taken today off as well to give themselves 6 days off.

I may or may not update later today with more accurate estimates.

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Wed Apr 05, 2023 3:36 pm
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