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 Wednesday Numbers (Polar Express: $2,568,233) 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Wednesday Numbers (Polar Express: $2,568,233)
1 THE INCREDIBLES $4,510,094 40.4% / $1,147 $81,992,796
2 THE POLAR EXPRESS $2,568,233 -- / $704 $2,568,233
3 SAW $1,019,224 20.1% / $413 $38,108,366
4 RAY $1,008,995 9.1% / $410 $42,486,660
5 THE GRUDGE $903,509 41.9% / $289 $90,929,472
6 SHALL WE DANCE $600,000 (estimate) 11.1% / $236 $43,719,000
7 ALFIE $536,167 6.3% / $242 $7,729,894
8 LADDER 49 $202,212 1.9% / $172 $70,532,875
9 FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS $177,595 5.9% / $120 $57,760,545
10 TEAM AMERICA: WORLD POLICE $161,113 -9% / $95 $30,964,935


Thu Nov 11, 2004 4:45 pm
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Teh Mexican
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GREAT for the incredibles, Saw and the Grudge!!

mmmmmm its the Bad for Polar Express :?: :?:
my guess it is! :?


Thu Nov 11, 2004 4:49 pm
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Extraordinary

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Yeah, it's pretty bad for Polar Express. I think it still can get to 20M for the weekend.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 4:50 pm
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Extraordinary

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Bad for TPE.

Great for the incredibles. :D


Thu Nov 11, 2004 4:55 pm
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Veteran
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These are partial Wed. numbers.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 4:57 pm
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Homo Dperious
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We have a train wreak.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:02 pm
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These comments sound like what people said with Shrek 2's Wednesday. Guys, the weekend is so much different from the weekdays. It can still make around $25 million for the weekend. What were some of you expecting, $10 million for today?


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:07 pm
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Extraordinary

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Zingaling wrote:
These comments sound like what people said with Shrek 2's Wednesday. Guys, the weekend is so much different from the weekdays. It can still make around $25 million for the weekend. What were some of you expecting, $10 million for today?


It's different from Shrek 2. It really is. :wink: When most other movies increased on a semi-Friday, $2.57M opening day is not a good sign.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:12 pm
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Sbil

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Zingaling wrote:
These comments sound like what people said with Shrek 2's Wednesday. Guys, the weekend is so much different from the weekdays. It can still make around $25 million for the weekend. What were some of you expecting, $10 million for today?


I'd say expectations were probably for around a $4M Wednesday, so it's disappointing when you consider it's in 3,650 theatres and The Incredibles got $4.5M today.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:17 pm
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Extraordinary

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I look at it this way. The absolute best Polar Express can do is to match The Incredibles daily change. The consensus for The Incredibles is around $44-47M for the weekend, so that translate to $25-27M for Polar Express if you use the same multiplier. However, considering Wednesday is still Polar Express's opening day, and it doesn't have nearly the WOM as The Incredibles, I'm certain its Wednesday-to-Weekend multiplier will be lower. So right now I agree with Libs of 20-23M.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:23 pm
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Extraordinary

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Zingaling wrote:
These comments sound like what people said with Shrek 2's Wednesday. Guys, the weekend is so much different from the weekdays. It can still make around $25 million for the weekend. What were some of you expecting, $10 million for today?


Shrek 2 made 11mill opening day,TPE in its huge wednesday theatre count only managed 2.5mill.I was expecting atleast 4mill.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:24 pm
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Draughty

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Not looking good for PE but I hope it can pull it out. I haven't seen it yet but it's obviously a "doesn't completely suck" movie, and we need more of those.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:31 pm
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Archie Gates wrote:
Not looking good for PE but I hope it can pull it out. I haven't seen it yet but it's obviously a "doesn't completely suck" movie, and we need more of those.


It's far from completely sucking. In fact, I want it do double it's investment if for no other reason than to secure the future of other films using similar technology.

Still, that doesn't mean it's not a misfire with audiences, much like Dinosaur and Final Fantasy.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 5:52 pm
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I don't think Dinosaur was a true misfire. Factoring in its international run it was close to being profitable, a feat it most likely achieved with its DVD/VHS release.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 6:37 pm
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I don't think Dinosaur was a true misfire. Factoring in its international run it was close to being profitable, a feat it most likely achieved with its DVD/VHS release.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 6:37 pm
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I don't think Dinosaur was a true misfire. Factoring in its international run it was close to being profitable, a feat it most likely achieved with its DVD/VHS release.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 6:41 pm
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Even if we compare it to Shrek 2, Polar Express wouldn't make $100 million total. But, this is Christmas season, and isn't summer movie season, so we'll see how this goes. I personally hope it doesn't make $100 million, and it MIGHT MIGHT MIGHT give filmmakers hints that you can make a movie realistic by using REAL people, and probably it will cost even less than if you pump in $165 million, so the movie looks real.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 6:41 pm
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Even if we compare it to Shrek 2, Polar Express wouldn't make $100 million total. But, this is Christmas season, and isn't summer movie season, so we'll see how this goes. I personally hope it doesn't make $100 million, and it MIGHT MIGHT MIGHT give filmmakers hints that you can make a movie realistic by using REAL people, and probably it will cost even less than if you pump in $165 million, so the movie looks real.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 6:42 pm
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(So I wasn't the only one who had forum troubles and ended up multi-posting.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:05 pm
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Hot Fuss

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Ucky number for PE. It will be fine though. I still think it will hit 100m. Maybe opening it up this early might have been a good idea? Its gotten its name out there in time for the weekend, it will have two full months of Christmas to rake in up to 100m


Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:30 pm
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The Original
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Bad for PE so far. I think this movie has to make his money in US market. I dont think it will work good in europe etc. or do you???
Lets wait for the weekend.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:44 pm
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Bad for PE so far. I think this movie has to make his money in US market. I dont think it will work good in europe etc. or do you???
Lets wait for the weekend.

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Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:45 pm
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I laugh now at all predictions above 30 million. I have no idea why kids would want to see this movie over the Incredibles. It's not funny, no "cool" action, and The Incredibles isn't so scary-looking in CGI terms.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:48 pm
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Homo Dperious
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One thing to keep in mind: If the gross for The Polar Express is low enough this weekend, the theater average might be weak enough that it will have trouble holding onto screens against the strong competition come Thanksgiving, and even moreso in December. This could cut its legs a bit short.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:49 pm
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Great increase for The Incredibles. I still need to go see it.


Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:58 pm
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