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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14557
Location: Everywhere
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 The Incredibles will earn 10m+ Thursday; Probably ~14m Veterans Day is huge for family films.
Grosses on Veterans Day for family films:
Thursday gross - Previous weekend
Elf - 5.7m - 31.1m
Brother Bear - 3.8m - 18.5m
The Santa Clause 2 - 4.9m - 24.7m
Antz - 1.2m - 5.6m
As you can see the grosses tend to be around 20% of the previous weekend. For the Incredibles that would be about 14m. However, it could be higher as the fact that Veterans Day is Thursday this year probably makes it a long weekend for many, so, that could help the later shows on Thursday. The last time Veterans Day was on a Thursday Pokemon actually dropped on Friday. Granted Pokemon was frontloaded, but as frontloaded as The Matrix Reloaded was it still increased on its first Saturday. So, frontloading alone can't explain it.
In any case, 10m is a lock for The Incredibles on Thursday.
Last edited by DP07 on Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:24 pm |
 
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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That would be SUPERB
But I see 30% increases for Wed/Thu minimum, so that would give it $11m over 2 days, $6m+ on Thursday. That is a conservative number though.
Incidentally, the extram oney will probably come partially at the expense of the weekend; it could have a slightly bigger drop than it otherwise would. But I'm still expecting a $42m weekend for it. So that's a minimum $130m in 10 days, which for a family film during first week of November is excellent. Thanksgiving and Christmas being still ahead, this is looking good. 
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| Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:28 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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That would be awesome! 
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| Wed Nov 10, 2004 7:40 pm |
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torrino
College Boy T
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
Posts: 16020
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Thanks for the insights.
Except, now, I can't hypothesize that the Incredibles will have excellent legs because of a suprise 200% increase on Thursday and what not.
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| Wed Nov 10, 2004 9:19 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I don't see why The Incredibles should increase over 100% on Thursday, even Elf increased by "only" 51%.
I predict no more than $9 million for The Incredibles' Thursday.
If you are right, though, I will be the first to congratulate you, DP07.  _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 11:22 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Great prediction DP07!
Now please tell me it will make $50m+ this wknd 8)
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 6:08 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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yeah!! great one DP!
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 6:09 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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*bows down to the master predictor*
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 6:37 pm |
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Chris
life begins now
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 9:09 pm
Posts: 6480
Location: Columbus, Ohio
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Awesome prediction!
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 6:42 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14557
Location: Everywhere
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box_2005 wrote: Great prediction DP07! Now please tell me it will make $50m+ this wknd 8) Thanks everyone. :wink:
And I highly doubt it will get 50m this weekend, although that would be great. I predicted 46.9m. It probably won't increase too much Friday.
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 8:11 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Hehe
He predicts for my site for a reason.
The man is a genious
KJ
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 8:30 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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box_2005 wrote: Great prediction DP07! Now please tell me it will make $50m+ this wknd 8) achieving 50m is posible with BJs prediction 8)
Friday: 17.619m +60%
Saturday: 21.343m +20%
Sunday: 13.875m -35%
Wknd: 52.846m
A increase over of 50%+ is to be expected today and I see no reason why the film would not increase again tomorrow so 50m here the Incredibles comes 8)
if anyone disagrees with this prediction feel free to explain why :wink: _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 10:58 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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DP07 wrote: box_2005 wrote: Great prediction DP07! Now please tell me it will make $50m+ this wknd 8) Thanks everyone. :wink: And I highly doubt it will get 50m this weekend, although that would be great. I predicted 46.9m. It probably won't increase too much Friday. why would it not increase much on friday :?: :? _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 11:00 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJ wrote: box_2005 wrote: Great prediction DP07! Now please tell me it will make $50m+ this wknd 8) achieving 50m is posible with BJs prediction 8) Friday: 17.619m +60%Saturday: 21.343m +20%Sunday: 13.875m -35%Wknd: 52.846m A increase over of 50%+ is to be expected today and I see no reason why the film would not increase again tomorrow so 50m here the Incredibles comes 8) if anyone disagrees with this prediction feel free to explain why :wink: ok Im fixing this prediction 8)
Friday: 14.316m +30%
Saturday: 22.906m +60%
Sunday: 14.889m -35%
Wknd: 52.111m 8)
thats a little more fitting for the wknd 8) _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Nov 12, 2004 11:49 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I think The Incredibles will increase about 30-35% today. Not much more than that. Thursday is clearly going to make this Friday's increases much smaller than they should be, so we should expect a $45-48 million weekend, in my opinion. We shall see.
DP07, you really made a great call on this one. Great job. :wink:
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| Sat Nov 13, 2004 1:08 am |
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