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 November 12-14 Predictions 
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Post November 12-14 Predictions
You guys know what to do. For now, here are my early predictions for just the openers.

The Polar Express- $32.2 (3-day)
Seed of Chucky- $15.0
After The Sunset- $13.4
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $4.5 (500 theaters)


Last edited by zingy on Sat Nov 13, 2004 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Nov 06, 2004 7:21 pm
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Ok, here be mine early predicts:

The Polar Express- $27.9 (3-day)
Seed of Chucky- $12.1
After The Sunset- $14.2
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $3.8 (500 theaters)

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Sat Nov 06, 2004 7:27 pm
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For those of you who underpredict Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason (yes, I am talking to you, Corey and Zing ;) ), remember, Love Actually opened last year in November against The Matrix Revoltuions in 576 theatres with $6,886,080 and a PTA of $11,950. Now Bridget Jones 2 is the first chick flick to come out in a long while and it has a following which loved the original that was huge on VHS and DVD and did very well in theatres. ;)

Here are my predictions for the openers:

The Polar Express (3-day) - $36 million
Seed of Chucky - $9.5 million
After The Sunset - $$16.4 million
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $8.1 million

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Sat Nov 06, 2004 8:27 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Love Actually had its release date and platform set long in advance, while Bridget Jones just moved its, so I think there will be a good portion of people who are not aware that it's coming out this soon. I see a high PTA, but not as high as Lecter is predicting.


Sat Nov 06, 2004 9:29 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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The Polar Express - $24 million (3-Day)
After the Sunset - $12.5 million
Seed of Chucky - $12 million
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $7 million


Sat Nov 06, 2004 11:43 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Love Actually had its release date and platform set long in advance, while Bridget Jones just moved its, so I think there will be a good portion of people who are not aware that it's coming out this soon. I see a high PTA, but not as high as Lecter is predicting.


You might be right. I don't live in the USA and I don't know of the awareness of the people and of the marketing of this movie. I don't know if there are many TV spots saying when it will open or no. I just figured that this movie should have a much higher PTA than Love Actually because it already has a built-in fanbase.

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Sun Nov 07, 2004 1:54 am
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
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Dont undercut Sunset....we had our sneak last night and totally sold out with many people turned away upset....

Polar 28.5
Sunset 17.0
Chucky 8.9
Jones 7.0


Sun Nov 07, 2004 12:39 pm
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The Polar Express- $30.5 (3-day)
Seed of Chucky- $16.7
After The Sunset- $14.3


Sun Nov 07, 2004 12:39 pm
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1. The Incredibles - $45 (I see a slightly lower second weekend than Finding Nemo)
2. After the Sunset - $20 (lThe Italian Job numbers)
3. The Polar Express - $19.5 (Tom Hanks has become an unreliable box office draw, plus major competition from The Incredibles)
4. Ray - $9.7
5. The Grudge - $8.8
6. Bridget Jones 2 - $7.8 (rabid fanbase for this movie)
7. Saw - $7.4
8. Seed of Chucky - $6.8 (the people who haven't seen either Saw or The Grudge--I can't see them picking this movie over one of the former)
9. Shall We Dance - $4.3 (competition from Bridget Jones=slightly larger drop)
10. Alfie - $3.4
**Sideways - $1.6 (very similar to The Motorcycle Diaries numbers except should be slightly better)


Sun Nov 07, 2004 1:50 pm
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Hot Fuss

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The Polar Express - 28.7m 3day
Seed of Chucky - 13.6m
After The Sunset - 12.8m
Bridget Jones Deux - 5.4m


Sun Nov 07, 2004 7:27 pm
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The Kramer
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1. The Incredibles - $42.3M
2. After The Sunset - $20.4M (if FNL and L49 can open with $20M why can't this?)
3. The Polar Express - $16.2M ($21.3M 5 day)
4. Seed of Chucky - $10.5M

who cares about the rest


Mon Nov 08, 2004 4:42 pm
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Sbil

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1. The Incredibles - $44 million
2. The Polar Express - $25 million (3-Day)
3. After the Sunset - $17 million
4. Ray - $10 million
5. Seed of Chucky - $9 million
6. The Grudge - $8.5 million
7. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $8 million
8. Saw - $7 million
9. Shall We Dance - $4 million
10. Alfie - $3 million


Mon Nov 08, 2004 5:22 pm
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Hatchling

Joined: Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:55 pm
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1. The Incredibles - 43.2
2. The Polar Express - 27.8
3. After the Sunset 13.4
4. Ray - 9
5. Seed of Chucky - 8.6
6. The Grudge - 8
7. Saw - 7.3


Tue Nov 09, 2004 1:59 pm
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1. The Incredibles - $51 million
2. The Polar Express - $36 million (3-Day)
3. After the Sunset - $17 million
4. Ray - $10 million
5. Seed of Chucky - $9.5 million
6. The Grudge - $8.5 million
7. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $7 million
8. Saw - $7 million
9. Shall We Dance - $4.7 million
10. Alfie - $3.9 million


Wed Nov 10, 2004 10:02 am
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Draughty

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Polar Express - 38
After the Sunset - 13
Seed of Chucky - 10
Bridget Jones - 10


Wed Nov 10, 2004 1:27 pm
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The Incredibles 41,60
The Pollar Express 28,40
After the Sunset 12,20
Ray 9,60
Seed of Chucky 7,30
The Grudge 7,20
Saw 6,70
Bridget Jones: Edge of Reason 6,00
Shall We Dance? 4,60
Alfie 3,80


Thu Nov 11, 2004 9:13 am
Extraordinary

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Final derby predictions:

1. The Incredibles - $48 million
2. The Polar Express - $25 million (3-Day)
3. After the Sunset - $10.5 million
4. Ray - $8.8 million
5. Seed of Chucky - $7.7 million
6. The Grudge - $6.6 million
7. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $6.6 million
8. Saw - $6.1 million
9. Shall We Dance - $4.0 million
10. Alfie - $3.6 million


Thu Nov 11, 2004 3:43 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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1. The Incredibles- $45.0
2. The Polar Express- $30.0
3. After The Sunset- $15.4
4. Seed of Chucky- $10.0
5. Ray- $9.0
6. The Grudge- $7.5
7. Saw- $6.5
8. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $5.5
9. Shall We Dance?- $4.3
10. Alfie- $3.4
11. Sideways- $1.2
12. Birth- $.750
13. Finding Neverland- $.338

My derby entries are slightly different because BOM's deadline was Wednesday.


Fri Nov 12, 2004 7:42 am
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Homo Dperious
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My game predictions:

The Incredibles $46.93 m
Polar Express - 16.7m
After the Sunset $16.62 m
Bridget Jones: Edge of Reason $12.93 m
Seed of Chucky $10.16 m
Ray $8.90 m
The Grudge $6.44 m
Saw $6.00 m
Shall We Dance? $3.98 m
Alfie $3.91 m
Sideways $1.34 m
Birth $0.586 m
Finding Neverland $0.416 m


Fri Nov 12, 2004 9:10 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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Final predictions:

1. The Incredibles - $49.5 million
2. The Polar Express - $25.2 million (3-Day)
3. After the Sunset - $11.9 million
4. Ray - $8.9 million
5. Seed of Chucky - $7 million
6. The Grudge - $6.6 million
7. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $6.5 million
8. Saw - $6.2 million
9. Shall We Dance - $3.9 million
10. Alfie - $3.3 million


Fri Nov 12, 2004 5:14 pm
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I'm thinking:

Incredibles: 48
Polar:26
After the Sunset: 13
Chucky: 10
Bridget Jones: 7

Despite Polar's performance the past couple days, I see a decent opening weekend.


Fri Nov 12, 2004 9:24 pm
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