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Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90180		 Page 2 of 2
Author:  Jonathan [ Fri Oct 06, 2023 9:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Yeah, I'm guessing WB chose that date on the assumption that DR-P2 is moving, which considering that they still haven't finished filming due to the strike seems more likely than not.

I don't know if Horizon will make THAT much money, but it does seem like a prime contender for a surprise breakout now, with Costner being the hottest he's been in a while and there being a possible thirst among the public for large scale historical films after Oppenheimer and (hopefully) Killers of the Flower Moon. Releasing a teaser this early seems promising.
Author:  flip1 [ Sun Oct 08, 2023 2:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Jonathan wrote:
Yeah, I'm guessing WB chose that date on the assumption that DR-P2 is moving, which considering that they still haven't finished filming due to the strike seems more likely than not.

I don't know if Horizon will make THAT much money, but it does seem like a prime contender for a surprise breakout now, with Costner being the hottest he's been in a while and there being a possible thirst among the public for large scale historical films after Oppenheimer and (hopefully) Killers of the Flower Moon. Releasing a teaser this early seems promising.

A good benchmark for it is Sound of Freedom's gross
Author:  MadGez [ Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Gladiator 2 could be a kind of Top Gun Maverick. It would need to be as good or better than the first one though.
Author:  Barrabás [ Tue Nov 14, 2023 9:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
MadGez wrote:
Gladiator 2 could be a kind of Top Gun Maverick. It would need to be as good or better than the first one though.


Problem is Russell Crowe can't be/isn't in it. It's like Top Gun 2 without Tom Cruise.
Author:  Shack [ Tue Nov 14, 2023 9:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
When I made the polls Garfield was a filler spot but I actually think it’s one of the better candidates of that group now (obviously wouldn’t bet on it though like everything else on the list). Then again Top Gun -> Indy 5 showed it's never as easy as just copying last year’s breakout, in its case Super Mario Bros.
Author:  MadGez [ Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Barrabás wrote:
MadGez wrote:
Gladiator 2 could be a kind of Top Gun Maverick. It would need to be as good or better than the first one though.


Problem is Russell Crowe can't be/isn't in it. It's like Top Gun 2 without Tom Cruise.


Yes that is key isnt it.

I'm thinking more a $200-$300m gross at best with a glimmer of breakout potential.
Author:  O [ Wed Nov 15, 2023 1:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I sort of feel with the way audiences are now they might be originally apprehensive about it but warm up to Gladiator 2 if the quality is there.

Sort of like Mad Max Fury Road was a reboot without the original star Gibson and way, way later. Fighting sports in modern times have only gotten more popular it feels like since Gladiator came out and think there's a timeless nature of that type of movie. Crowe's absence will be felt greatly but feeling it will have a slow but steady run rather than bursting out of the gate to a record.
Author:  Algren [ Wed Nov 15, 2023 6:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
MadGez wrote:
I'm thinking more a $200-$300m gross at best with a glimmer of breakout potential.


That would be more than the first! I'm going with a more $75-$100m gross for it. It's getting nowhere near $300m without Crowe. This sequel is just a bad idea for me right now. It can always materialise into something special, of course, but just how I feel right now it feels stupid to do a Crowe-less Gladiator sequel.
Author:  O [ Wed Nov 15, 2023 2:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Well Denzel is in it and he at least is consistent in that $80M-120M zone so at least we know it will reach that without Crowe. :D
Author:  Algren [ Thu Nov 16, 2023 5:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I also feel that Ridley Scott is not the director he once was. He's always been hit or miss, in my opinion. I saw the first reviews for Napoleon suggest it is dull and bloated. The potential for Ridley to screw up Gladiator 2 is definitely there.
Author:  O [ Thu Nov 16, 2023 1:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Agreed on Scott but will see what he comes up with.

Clint's delivered some of my favorite work from him at a very old age so maybe Scott can pull it off.
Author:  lilmac [ Thu Nov 16, 2023 7:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Mufasa (Lion King sequel). Beloved IP and a banging Zimmer soundtrack. There’s a chance.
Author:  Shack [ Thu Nov 16, 2023 8:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
lilmac wrote:
Mufasa (Lion King sequel). Beloved IP and a banging Zimmer soundtrack. There’s a chance.


I originally didn’t have it in the mid expectations camp but after Disney’s struggles maybe it should be
Author:  flip1 [ Sat Nov 18, 2023 6:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
Algren wrote:
MadGez wrote:
I'm thinking more a $200-$300m gross at best with a glimmer of breakout potential.


That would be more than the first! I'm going with a more $75-$100m gross for it. It's getting nowhere near $300m without Crowe. This sequel is just a bad idea for me right now. It can always materialise into something special, of course, but just how I feel right now it feels stupid to do a Crowe-less Gladiator sequel.


The first one came out over 20 years ago, so inflation is going to help it a lot. If it were to lose half its audience it would still outgross the original.
Author:  Algren [ Sat Nov 25, 2023 5:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I think Napoleon is probably a blueprint for what a Gladiator sequel will do. It will flirt with $100 million as a best case. I just don't see the interest in a Crowe-less Gladiator sequel. It might feel a bit like a TV spin-off since they're focusing on the kid.
Author:  Shack [ Sat Nov 25, 2023 6:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
I decided to go in on Dune 2 in the draft. I wanted something that could plausibly build a crescendo of social media buzz.
Author:  Algren [ Sat Nov 25, 2023 7:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick a 2024 mid expectations movie to make 600 million+
And you chose Dune 2?? The mind boggles ;)
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