$71m/$285m

might change when I see the theatre count

Updated with informations on the movie, estimated theatre count and the trailers and movie clips.

Any new predictions?

Opening-82.3 Mil

Final-290.4 Mil

I've updated the predictions/averages.

The first reviews at RT are glowing and of course The Incredibles started out with 100% FRESH and a rating of 8.6/10:

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/incredibles/

Some headlines:

"An epic battle between conformity and exceptionality in The Incredibles, which will be catnip for superhero buffs and a great time at the movies for everyone else."

"The "comics" of the 21st century--in the fullest sense of the term. If you don't love it I've got a nice flat for you on Mars. Meanwhile, there's a new bonanza on the block."

Wow, you guys have alot of confidence in this release.... I share your optimism.... but I think a 70m opener is a stretch.... so, I will go with 66.8 opening weekend. I will adjust my final number after you guys see how right I am about this one "only" doing 65ish

2 more days!

New prediction:
Opening: $73.3
Total: $328.0

Incredibles:

Opening: $73 Million
Total: $310 Million

Looking at the November release schedule, Im afraid the TOB may be disappointing to most.

on it's second weekend it goes up against Polar Express
3rd weekend Spongebob.

I'm starting to think Shark Tale type numbers.

With the type of typical glowing reviews a Pixar film is getting, it's going to hold up very well. Monster Inc. had to deal with the first Harry Potter, one of the most anticipated movies ever and which directly competes with it, and Monster still ends up with a multiplier of over 4.

Great article on the Movie

'Incredibles' Director Pressured by Pixar Success

Wed Nov 3, 8:10 AM ET

By Bob Tourtellotte

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Expectations for Pixar Animation Studios' latest computer-animated creation, superhero satire "The Incredibles," are running so high that the pressure for blockbuster success is, well, incredible.
And for that reason alone, it may seem odd, if not incredible, that Pixar entrusted the film, its first centered on human characters and tailored for adults as well as children, to a director who has made just one movie -- a commercial misfire loved by the critics.


Brad Bird, who directed and conceived "The Incredibles" about a retired superhero depressed by life, says he is feeling the pressure of great expectations even though he's not worried about maintaining Pixar's hot box office streak -- five smash hits from "Toy Story" to "Finding Nemo."


"It's ridiculous ... If this thing makes $1 less than 'Nemo,' on its opening (on Friday), somebody's going to say 'it's the beginning of the end for Pixar,"' Bird told Reuters.


"The Incredibles" marks a departure for Pixar. Its past films revolved around talking toys, lovable animals and comical monsters. They were perfect characters to win over kids, and their jokes were sharp enough to make parents laugh.


However, "The Incredibles" is built around a more adult tale about a dad, Bob Parr, once the crime-busting superhero "Mr. Incredible" who has now slid into mid-life crisis.


In his earlier days, Bob (voiced by Craig T. Nelson), was known for his super strength. His wife, Helen (Holly Hunter), was "Elastigirl" and idealized for her super stretching limbs.


After an unfortunate incident, however, they were put in a government superhero protection program. Bob is now a bored salesman, and Helen is a housewife caring for their three children, Violet, Dashiel and baby Jack Jack.


Unbeknownst to Helen, Bob goes back to busting bad guys, and his ultimate target is the menacing villain named Syndrome (Jason Lee), who threatens to take over the world. But when he confronts Syndrome, Mr. Incredible finds only more trouble. Helen and the kids must save him.


GROWN-UP FILM FOR KIDS


Bird admits some of the action, which spoofs James Bond and recent comic-book films like "Spider-Man," may get too intense for young Pixar fans.


"I think a lot of kids will have a blast at this, but I think probably a lot of really small kids, or those who are easily startled, maybe should wait a few years because some of the scenes are kind of intense," he said.


Adding to the uncertainty around "Incredibles" is that Pixar's other movies were conceived and developed within the company. "The Incredibles" is Bird's creation. He comes from outside. He sold the script to Pixar and was hired to make it, based in part on his previous film "The Iron Giant" which won critical praise but made only $23 million at the box office.


He said the directors and producers at Pixar, including "Toy Story" originator John Lasseter, offered advice, but never tried to steer him away from his original ideas.Nor were they overly concerned about the box office.


"Pixar goes, 'You never know what a movie is going to do, and the bottom line is we love this movie. We made it the best way we know, and the rest is up to the movie gods,"' he said.


The film is the sixth and next-to-last film in a highly profitable but deeply troubled partnership between Pixar and the Walt Disney Co. . The pair have earned $2.6 billion in global box office receipts from 1995's "Toy Story" to last year's "Finding Nemo."


But Disney and Pixar have been unable to forge a new agreement and their relationship is slated to end in November 2005 with the premiere of their last contracted film, "Cars."





"Nemo" hauled in $70 million in its opening weekend in the United States and Canada, earning $340 million in those countries.

Some box office experts are predicting that "The Incredibles" will gross more than $500 million in world-wide box office as compared to worldwide grosses of more than $860 million for "Nemo."

Says Bird, "Many movies we think of as being groundbreaking and smash hits that came out of nowhere. Many of them were made with a struggle and people didn't believe in the makers."

He's right. That is what happened with "Toy Story" in 1995, and we all know what its outcome -- in-credible.

Good article!

I agree that it will be ridiculous if The Incredibles opens with less than Finding Nemo and people will say it was disappointing. Sometimes I feel that the expectations of some people are really too high.

This movie will DEFINITELY make $500+ million worldwide. Even Monsters Inc. managed that and so will The Incredibles. I am projecting $700+ million for it, actually.

Final predictions:

Opening: $81.9 million
Total: $337.5 million

Final Predictions...

Opening: $72.3
Total: $289.2

'The Incredibles' Performance Won't Be Incredible, Say Analysts

Analysts doubt that Pixar's latest CGI movie, The Incredibles, which opens on Friday, will achieve the same degree of success at the box office as its previous film, Finding Nemo, Investor's Business Daily reported today (Thursday). The newspaper observed that the film will be facing tougher competition from other family films than other Pixar movies had. Among the rivals: Warner Bros.' The Polar Express (Nov. 10), Paramount's The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie, and Paramount's Jim Carrey starrer, Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events. Harris Nesbitt Gerard analyst Jeffrey Logsdon predicted that The Incredibles will gross $225 million domestically and close to $500 million worldwide -- ordinarily a huge result, but well below the $865 million for Pixar's Finding Nemo. It would also be well below the record (for an animated film) $882 million earned by DreamWorks' Shrek 2.

http://www.imdb.com/news/sb/#1

If their only arguement for saying that is competition, I don't think it stands to reason that that could take 115m away from The Incredibles.

BJs preiction of wisdome

Opening Wknd: 86m

Domestic Total: 445m

yes BJ believes this film can get a multiplyer over 5.0 8)

Okay, seriously, I mean, I am sceptical about this movie, but $215 million? That's an illusion. It is as close to a lock to break $250 million, as it gets.

$68.8/$280.5

My final predictions are:

Opening weekend - $70.5 million

Total gross - $284 million


I am going to update the predictions and the averages now.

Okay, this thread needs an update, now that I can access all of the thread.

First WEEKEND PREDICTIONS Winner:


Dr. Lecter



I hit it spot on with $70.5 million

Final ratings from the critics:


RT - 97% (8.3/10) (Finding Nemo - 99%)
MetaScore - 87 (Finding Nemo - 92)
Yahoo Reviews - A- (Finding Nemo - A-)

congrats!

Good job. :wink:

The Incredibles Daily/Weekends Tracking


Dailies / Day-toDay Drop / Week-toWeek Drop:

DAY 1 - $20,503,078 NEW
DAY 2 - $29,523,934 +44%/ -
DAY 3 - $20,440,611 -30.8%/ -
DAY 4 - $3,802,480 -81.4%/ -
DAY 5 - $3,212,599 -15.5%/ -
DAY 6 - $4,510,094 +40.4%/ -
DAY 7 - $11,011,689 +144.2%/ -


Weekends/Totals:

November 12-14 - $70,467,623 - $70,467,623