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Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus
https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322
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Author:  Kanroji Mitsuri [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 4:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Lesson in Murder exceeded ¥1.0B in 48 days. Total until Wed is ¥1,009,724,660

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 9:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Nice leggy performance there, and great result for Klockworx (rarely have films reach ¥1 billion). Will probably hit a 9x multiplier. Speaking of which, I'll put together and share 2022's top multipliers later today. Meant to have this up a couple weeks ago.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 10:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Top Multipliers 2022

2022: Top Multipliers (¥1 Billion Earners, Wide Releases Only)

↑15x (Phenomenal)
x13.32 - The Last 10 Years (Warner Bros.)
↑10x (Excellent)
x8.69 - 99.9: Criminal Lawyer (Shochiku)
x8.48 - Jujutsu Kaisen 0 (Toho)
x8.21 - Lesson in Murder (Klockworx) *7 Weeks in Release*

↑8x (Great)
x7.60 - Sing 2 (Toho-Towa)
↑7x (Good)
x6.85 - Top Gun: Maverick (Towa Pictures) *4 Weeks in Release*
x6.72 - Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Toho)
x6.45 - Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Toho) *10 Weeks in Release*
x6.32 - Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Toho) *9 Weeks in Release*
x6.22 - Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Disney)
x6.15 - The Quintessential Quintuplets Movie (Pony Canyon) *5 Weeks in Release*
x6.05 - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of Hero (Toho)

↑6x (Acceptable)
x5.81 - Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Warner Bros.) *11 Weeks in Release*
x5.75 - Your Turn to Kill (Toho)
x5.46 - Shin Ultraman (Toho) *6 Weeks in Release*
x5.10 - Mr. Osomatsu (Toho)

↑5x (Mediocre)
x4.82 - The Batman (Warner Bros.)
x4.61 - Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony)
x4.60 - The Matrix Resurrections (Warner Bros.)
x4.17 - Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony)

↑4x (Poor)
↑3x (Awful)
x1.90 - Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero (Toei) *2 Weeks in Release*

As of June 19th.

Author:  Kanroji Mitsuri [ Fri Jun 24, 2022 11:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Corpseeeeeeeee, in China, We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥96.06M) missed Highest Grossing Japanese Live Action Film by ¥690K from Shoplifters (¥96.75M)...... (っ˘̩╭╮˘̩)っ

[Now a good news] According to Toho, Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0, released in 80 countries, had grossed ¥10.5B with an mobilization of 9.9M admits outside Japan..... (^3^♪ Via Oricon (https://www.oricon.co.jp/news/2239692/full/)

Author:  Chaplainfan [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 12:35 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Dragon Ball Super Hero having 1.90 time its opening weekend gross at the end of its second weekend at the box office, is it unusual for it to have that, b/c films including Marvel ones gross well over 2.0 at the second weekend at the box office. Is there any reason for such, and is it a new or unusual phenomenon?

Author:  Corpse [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

It's, overall, fairly rare for a film to be below a 2x multiplier after its second weekend. There can be some examples where it's "normal", take Doraemon or Crayon Shin-Chan for example. They open a couple weeks before a holiday frame, so their weekdays until then are dismal as they skew so young. So, their two week totals are generally at or below a 2x. But aside from very young skewing films opening a week or two before holiday periods, or very fan-driven franchises (like Kaman Rider) that are super-frontloaded (by Japan standards), it's generally a rare occurence.

Dragon Ball had two key favors on why it missed a 2x after two weeks. First, it's a frontloaded franchise. Second, June is a very weak month that provides zero support.

That said, it should be able to recover a little bit. It received a 4D expansion this weekend, and so far, the Saturday hold is looking decent. It'll be a temporary "boost", but any help is needed. Still, I really doubt it finishes much above a 4x multiplier in the end. Battle of Gods did 4.38, Resurrection F did 3.89 (yikes), and Broly did 4.92. And all three of them had major holiday support early in their runs. A 4x for Super Hero would be kinda respectable, IMO, given it has no holiday support.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 1:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Corpseeeeeeeee, in China, We Made A Beautiful Bouquet (¥96.06M) missed Highest Grossing Japanese Live Action Film by ¥690K from Shoplifters (¥96.75M)...... (っ˘̩╭╮˘̩)っ

[Now a good news] According to Toho, Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0, released in 80 countries, had grossed ¥10.5B with an mobilization of 9.9M admits outside Japan..... (^3^♪ Via Oricon (https://www.oricon.co.jp/news/2239692/full/)


Are there any upcoming live-action films being released in China?

Quite good outside Japan for JJK0. Probably had some markets where COVID probably hindered it a bit too.

Author:  KNYtracker777 [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 2:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

It seems the Dragon ball CGI animation was intentional and not due to lack of staff. There's also another movie or animation project coming.

Question to Kanroji or anyone who tracks that data. Does anyone have a list of top Japanese movies or Animation outside Japan and USA?

Author:  Algren [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 2:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Corpse wrote:
Are there any upcoming live-action films being released in China?


As far as I can see, nothing.

It's the anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) on 1st July, so they are re-releasing a ton of pro-China propaganda movies, including The Captain; The Battle at Lake Changjin; Water Gate Bridge; Wandering Earth; My People, My Country; Chinese Doctors; My Country, My Parents; Operation Red Sea; and of course, 1921. Obviously they're trying to stoke national pride (and to blur the lines between that and love for the party) while also boost the totals for soft power wins on the worldwide gross charts.

So, apart from small films like Octonauts: The Caves of Sac Actun and some Indian flick, the whole of July is one large top-up of cinematic brainwash for the Chinese people.

Author:  Kanroji Mitsuri [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 3:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Corpse wrote:
Are there any upcoming live-action films being released in China?


39 Live-Action Japanese film are pending a date. Bit Shangai Film group doesn't take any initiative to release them as they are afraid of unstable loss. The most probable will be "The Last 10 Years" in coming months.

Doraemon: 2021 Nobita's Little Star War is currently playing in the market, well it got side-kick from Bad Guys which has Wider Audience. Currently running in the total of ¥82M (Bad Guys started with ¥29.9M, & running to the total of ¥323M, Overall defeating Soul's Multiple (¥36.17M/¥376.18M)

Yokai Watch 2018 film was a hugeeeeeee flop, earning only ¥830K. This gave red card problem to Doraemon (i.e only one month of release), which Distributor is still trying to get an extension (Doraemon films normally plays for three months)

Doraemon films is a box office feast in Dragon Boat Festival, like Golden Week in Japan. But, well yes Bad Guys having door to door WOM makes the title to have a huge advantage over Doraemon...

Author:  Kanroji Mitsuri [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 3:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

KNYtracker777 wrote:
Question to Kanroji or anyone who tracks that data. Does anyone have a list of top Japanese movies or Animation outside Japan and USA?


I am working on it. It will take time. Just for rough idea, No.1 in each market,

Europe &Middle East (in USD) is under Pokemon 1998.

Nordic Region is under Spirited Away

South America is under Dragon Ball Super Broly ($37.5M), where Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 stand at ($6.5M), Demon Slayer at ($5M).

Middle East (local currency) &Africa under Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0.

SAARC is under Demon Slayer,will go Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 soon.

Oceania is under Pokemon 1998.

China &SAR is under Your Name.

Russia &CIS under Demon Slayer.

South East Asia is a mess, Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 (Malaysia, Cambodia, Mongolia), Doraemon 2021 Nobita's Little Star War (Vietnam), Stand By Me Doraemon (Indonesia), Demon Slayer (Thailand, Singapore, Laos)

Special News:
→ Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 is the first Japanese Film to receive a wide release in Africa, grossing $300K (By Africa, I didn't include Egypt, it falls on Middle East)
→ Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 is the only Japanese Film to win two consecutive weekend in Saudi Arabia (Thanks because Dr Strange didn't got released on Saudi Arabia)

Author:  KNYtracker777 [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Thanks kanroji, looking forward to it.

Author:  bullza [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 10:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Super Hero had a soft drop from Saturday to Saturday. I take it that because it opened in 4DX today that Sunday will see a decrease this time around?

Also this Dolby expansion next week....is that anything worthwhile? Will it have any notable effect on. Ext weekends drop?

Author:  Corpse [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 10:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

bullza wrote:
Super Hero had a soft drop from Saturday to Saturday. I take it that because it opened in 4DX today that Sunday will see a decrease this time around?

Also this Dolby expansion next week....is that anything worthwhile? Will it have any notable effect on. Ext weekends drop?


Sunday might come in a bit below Saturday as a result, yeah. But, this has set it up for that <30% third weekend drop I mentioned. Down about 28% at the usual locations today in admissions, that's probably sub-25% in revenue due to the 4DX ticket prices. So Sunday would need a fairly sizable drop to miss a 30% weekend drop.

Keeps its chances at ¥2.5 billion alive.

The Dolby Cinema expansion won't be a impactful since there are only 7 of them in Japan. But, their tickets are expensive, and if attendance is high enough at them, they do provide some benefit (a few percent, perhaps, in this case).

And thanks for responding Algren and Kanroji.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 10:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Fifth Weekends

Top Gun: Maverick is down ~15% Sat-to-Sat, so using that as a basis for the weekend, here is where it'll rank on the Biggest Fifth Weekends Chart if that's true nationwide (has performed a bit better nationwide in the past though):

Biggest Fifth Weekends (2000-):

¥1.522 billion ($14.5 million), -14%, ¥23.35 billion ($222.8 million) - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020)
___________
¥1.069 billion ($8.5 million), +10%, ¥10.52 billion ($83.7 million) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
___________
¥890.0 million ($7.9 million), -06%, ¥13.26 billion ($109.3 million) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥888.9 million ($7.4 million), +16%, ¥10.47 billion ($87.7 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥862.5 million ($8.5 million), -20%, ¥11.16 billion ($108.8 million) - Your Name. (2016)
¥851.2 million ($7.9 million), +13%, ¥9.94 billion ($92.3 million) - Ponyo (2008)
¥841.0 million ($8.2 million), -01%, ¥9.28 billion ($90.7 million) - Frozen (2014)
¥834.5 million ($7.8 million), +47%, ¥7.50 billion ($70.4 million) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥789.1 million ($7.6 million), -17%, ¥9.86 billion ($94.2 million) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥782.5 million ($7.3 million), +44%, ¥6.68 billion ($62.7 million) - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥756.6 million ($6.3 million), -18%, ¥9.69 billion ($80.5 million) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
___________
¥698.9 million ($6.5 million), -20%, ¥8.56 billion ($79.0 million) - Aladdin (2019)
¥532.7 million ($5.0 million), -17%, ¥9.65 billion ($89.3 million) - Weathering With You (2019)
¥526.7 million ($4.3 million), -23%, ¥8.37 billion ($68.8 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥520.8 million ($4.3 million), -07%, ¥6.95 billion ($57.6 million) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥518.4 million ($5.6 million), +02%, ¥7.00 billion ($75.3 million) - Avatar (2009)
¥513.8 million ($4.7 million), -34%, ¥8.28 billion ($75.7 million) - Frozen II (2019)
¥505.2 million ($3.7 million), -15%, ¥6.74 billion ($51.1 million) - Top Gun: Maverick (2022) *Projection*
¥505.1 million ($4.5 million), +02%, ¥4.39 billion ($38.9 million) - Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)
¥504.1 million ($4.6 million), +10%, ¥4.55 billion ($42.4 million) - Zootopia (2016)

Author:  bullza [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 10:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

How much is a 4DX ticket compared to a standard one?

Author:  JustLurking [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 10:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

I don't know, -28% with a 4D expansion+giveaway is pretty bad I think. Sunday tends to decrease over saturday on giveaway weekend, so something like 48-50k sun for 37-40% drop seems plausible imo.

Top gun keeps being really good.

Author:  gman2887 [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 12:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Apparently Shin Ultraman only had a 25% drop from last Saturday. It's been suffering some 30-40% drops on the weekdays so the uptick is nice. It's supposedly guaranteed to cross 4 Billion Yen tomorrow. I'd like to see it at least hit 3 million in attendance. It'll probably be at about 2.68 tomorrow, so I understand that's quite a hike.

Author:  Agustin [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 4:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

TGM 10B looks kinda locked. What a massive succes, also with it's wow decline trend, I want to get carried away and see it besting The Last Samuria, haha.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 6:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

bullza wrote:
How much is a 4DX ticket compared to a standard one?


4DX tickets carry a ¥1200 surcharge in addition to whatever you payed for the admission. So, if you bought a general admission (¥1900), it'd be ¥4100 (the highest ticket possible except for premium/luxury box seating). If you're a college or high school student, it'd cost you ¥2700 instead (at most places). The cheapest option available would be ¥2200 (every admission is at least ¥1000).

Standard Tickets:
¥1900 - General
¥1500 - College
¥1000-1500 - High School Student
¥1200 - Seniors
¥1000 - Age 3 through Jr. High Student
¥1000 - Disabled

Premium Tickets:
¥2200-4100 - 4DX/MX4D (¥1200 surcharge)
¥1600-2500 - IMAX (¥600 surcharge)
¥1500-2400 - Dolby Cinema (¥500 surcharge)
¥1400-2300 - 3D (¥400 surcharge)
¥1200-2100 - Dolby ATMOS (¥200 surcharge)

Special Tickets:
¥4000-4900 - Premier Luxury Seating (¥3000 surcharge)
¥2000-2900 - Premier Box Seating (¥1000 surcharge)
¥1400 - Late-Showings (Showings after 8pm generally)
¥1200 - Discount Days (1st of the Month or Day of the Week/Month per chain)
¥1200 - Female Patrons on Wednesdays (Depending on location)

This is roughly what you see at most major chains.

Author:  bullza [ Sat Jun 25, 2022 9:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Ah ok I see, so it's basically double or so.

Author:  bullza [ Sun Jun 26, 2022 8:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Super Hero did actually increase after all. Up 2.5%.

Now 4.2%

Do we know how many 4DX theatres the movie opened in?

Author:  mark66 [ Sun Jun 26, 2022 11:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche


Author:  Corpse [ Sun Jun 26, 2022 11:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

bullza wrote:
Super Hero did actually increase after all. Up 2.5%.

Now 4.2%

Do we know how many 4DX theatres the movie opened in?


I believe there are 46 nationwide (not 100% certain, but it's around there), so I'd assume all/most of them. The Sunday was pretty good. Down another ~28% or so, just like Saturday, so taking into account the 4DX/MX4D expansion, I'm going to presume it dropped in the low 20s this weekend (~21-23%?) in revenue.

Now, is roughly a 28% drop in admissions from an expansion AND a giveaway (wasn't aware of this, so thanks JustLurking) good? A little questionable. It's only in the third week, so it's not like it was going to remain stable or anything, but a better drop would have been more encouraging because next weekend will probably drop hard (the Dolby Cinema expansion will help a little bit, but not that much). Still... don't want to be negative here. This is a "good" third weekend in the end, especially if the 4D share comes in high to get that revenue drop as close to 20% as it can.

Author:  Corpse [ Sun Jun 26, 2022 11:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box-Office: Summer 2022 (July/August) Release Sche

Thanks, mark. Fran's estimates look pretty good. I think Dragon Ball will come in a little higher (assuming the 4D share was high), and Anpanman will come in lower (it usually has a low avg. ticket price since it skews really young).

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