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 Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick 

Which movie will gross more domestic and worldwide?
Poll ended at Thu Dec 15, 2022 8:49 am
TGM ($720m) will stay No. 1 of 2022 domestically 21%  21%  [ 8 ]
AVATAR 2 will beat TGM domestically 29%  29%  [ 11 ]
TGM ($1.5b) will stay No. 1 of the year worldwide 3%  3%  [ 1 ]
AVATAR 2 will beat TGM worldwide 47%  47%  [ 18 ]
Total votes : 38

 Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick 
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Post Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
The battle of the 2022 biggies

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Last edited by mark66 on Tue Dec 13, 2022 2:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Nov 21, 2022 8:49 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I went with TGM domestic and Avatar worldwide. Should be a nice way to end the year!


Mon Nov 21, 2022 2:05 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Obviously Avatar will win WW and TGM domestic. I am highly confident in that outcome.

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Mon Nov 21, 2022 3:19 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I dont want to bet against king jim. So I am expecting Avatar to win domestic and WW. OS wont be close. Avatar is a monster everywhere.

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Mon Nov 21, 2022 6:29 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I've gone with TGM domestic and Avatar WW.

I'd prefer TGM to win both offcourse but very unlikely.

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Mon Nov 21, 2022 8:58 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
MadGez wrote:
I've gone with TGM domestic and Avatar WW.

I'd prefer TGM to win both offcourse but very unlikely.

Is it? I could see Avatar having a noticeable dip in overseas grosses for the same reasons people are anticipating it to do so in North America (plus, the impact of exchange rates). That said… James Cameron.

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Mon Nov 21, 2022 10:35 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I'm sticking with my man Tom for both.

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Tue Nov 22, 2022 4:18 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Steve wrote:
MadGez wrote:
I've gone with TGM domestic and Avatar WW.

I'd prefer TGM to win both offcourse but very unlikely.

Is it? I could see Avatar having a noticeable dip in overseas grosses for the same reasons people are anticipating it to do so in North America (plus, the impact of exchange rates). That said… James Cameron.


I would absolutely love for Avatar to dip that low but I've bet against Cameron before and there seems to be enough interest. Let's see.

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Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:21 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Avatar: The Way of Water will take both domestic AND worldwide numbers :ninja:

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Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:31 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Looks like Avatar 2 will play in China

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Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:58 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I think it will fall short Domestic, but honestly who knows. Is Cameron just a magician? Avatar should easily take Worldwide.

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Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:35 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Avatar early tracking has an OW of $150 Million to $175 Million.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movie ... 235268597/


Wed Nov 23, 2022 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Shack wrote:
Looks like Avatar 2 will play in China


That's awesome. TGM WW is going down.

TGM domestic will be interesting. Cameron does very well with sequels (Aliens, T2). A2 will enjoy essentially 10 weekend days from the 23rd through the 1st. It's hard to doubt Cameron but TGM domestic will be a high bar.

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Wed Nov 23, 2022 1:48 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
China will time a huge COVID breakout in all the top cities on its opening weekend, lol

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Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:32 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Early tracking is pretty promising from what I'm seeing, nice distribution throughout the weekend makes it likely for a strong IM. TGM will go down for sure WW but I think it's going down DOM too.


Thu Nov 24, 2022 3:19 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Time is running out for this poll - and you can change your mind too!

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Tue Dec 13, 2022 2:19 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I think it's going to be really really close. Avatar having all of December entirely to itself will help a lot. I think it will be at over $500M by the end of the year. Then it has January to itself as well.

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Tue Dec 13, 2022 4:44 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Avatar 2 will gross over 800m


Tue Dec 13, 2022 4:45 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
over 1b with ease.

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Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:46 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Barrabás wrote:
I think it's going to be really really close. Avatar having all of December entirely to itself will help a lot. I think it will be at over $500M by the end of the year. Then it has January to itself as well.

Half of December. ;)

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Tue Dec 13, 2022 8:01 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Rev wrote:
Avatar: The Way of Water will take both domestic AND worldwide numbers :ninja:

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Wed Dec 14, 2022 8:54 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Can we just give him an Oscar already? It's moments like this that just solidify why TGM was a phenom in our special effects heavy era with its throwback to real stunt work.

Also, the tie ins with MI continue. That's going to be a fun run to watch to see how much of a halo it has from TGM goodwill, which Paramount is clearly capitalizing here as well.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ujdJf7nnCM


Mon Dec 19, 2022 2:55 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
He is probably our last classical Movie Star.

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Mon Dec 19, 2022 3:41 am
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I came here too late to vote. I wanted to see how Avatar 2 did in China despite Covid shutdowns. Even with China's problems, a global first weekend (including some shows on Wednesday) of $441 million clearly hints that world wide box office will go over $1.5 billion. However Tom Cruise will win the domestic box office over Avatar 2. The length of the movie (about 1/2 hour longer than the original Avatar) doesn't help Avatar 2's prospects and the fact that Top Gun 2 had the whole summer of kids away from school versus Avatar 2 only having part of January hurts Avatar 2's weekday box office.


Mon Dec 19, 2022 2:26 pm
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Post Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I feel quite comfortable after seeing the Monday to say that TGM has domestic in the bag in all likelihood.

International is a toss up with Avatar as the favorite but it's not a 100% lock either yet.


Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:52 pm
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