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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13048 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
The battle of the 2022 biggies
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
Last edited by mark66 on Tue Dec 13, 2022 2:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 8:49 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I went with TGM domestic and Avatar worldwide. Should be a nice way to end the year!
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 2:05 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3179
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Obviously Avatar will win WW and TGM domestic. I am highly confident in that outcome.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 3:19 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6444
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I dont want to bet against king jim. So I am expecting Avatar to win domestic and WW. OS wont be close. Avatar is a monster everywhere.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 6:29 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I've gone with TGM domestic and Avatar WW.
I'd prefer TGM to win both offcourse but very unlikely.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 8:58 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1851
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
MadGez wrote: I've gone with TGM domestic and Avatar WW.
I'd prefer TGM to win both offcourse but very unlikely. Is it? I could see Avatar having a noticeable dip in overseas grosses for the same reasons people are anticipating it to do so in North America (plus, the impact of exchange rates). That said… James Cameron.
_________________ how am I not myself?
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Mon Nov 21, 2022 10:35 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I'm sticking with my man Tom for both.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Nov 22, 2022 4:18 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Steve wrote: MadGez wrote: I've gone with TGM domestic and Avatar WW.
I'd prefer TGM to win both offcourse but very unlikely. Is it? I could see Avatar having a noticeable dip in overseas grosses for the same reasons people are anticipating it to do so in North America (plus, the impact of exchange rates). That said… James Cameron. I would absolutely love for Avatar to dip that low but I've bet against Cameron before and there seems to be enough interest. Let's see.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:21 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32380 Location: the last free city
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Avatar: The Way of Water will take both domestic AND worldwide numbers
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 8:31 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Looks like Avatar 2 will play in China
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 10:58 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I think it will fall short Domestic, but honestly who knows. Is Cameron just a magician? Avatar should easily take Worldwide.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:35 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Avatar early tracking has an OW of $150 Million to $175 Million. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movie ... 235268597/
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 1:21 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3179
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Shack wrote: Looks like Avatar 2 will play in China That's awesome. TGM WW is going down. TGM domestic will be interesting. Cameron does very well with sequels (Aliens, T2). A2 will enjoy essentially 10 weekend days from the 23rd through the 1st. It's hard to doubt Cameron but TGM domestic will be a high bar.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 1:48 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
China will time a huge COVID breakout in all the top cities on its opening weekend, lol
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Nov 23, 2022 6:32 pm |
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JustLurking
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Sep 30, 2020 1:44 pm Posts: 876
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Early tracking is pretty promising from what I'm seeing, nice distribution throughout the weekend makes it likely for a strong IM. TGM will go down for sure WW but I think it's going down DOM too.
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Thu Nov 24, 2022 3:19 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13048 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Time is running out for this poll - and you can change your mind too!
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Tue Dec 13, 2022 2:19 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6244 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I think it's going to be really really close. Avatar having all of December entirely to itself will help a lot. I think it will be at over $500M by the end of the year. Then it has January to itself as well.
_________________ .
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Tue Dec 13, 2022 4:44 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Avatar 2 will gross over 800m
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Tue Dec 13, 2022 4:45 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
over 1b with ease.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue Dec 13, 2022 7:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Barrabás wrote: I think it's going to be really really close. Avatar having all of December entirely to itself will help a lot. I think it will be at over $500M by the end of the year. Then it has January to itself as well. Half of December.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Dec 13, 2022 8:01 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32380 Location: the last free city
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Rev wrote: Avatar: The Way of Water will take both domestic AND worldwide numbers
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed Dec 14, 2022 8:54 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
Can we just give him an Oscar already? It's moments like this that just solidify why TGM was a phenom in our special effects heavy era with its throwback to real stunt work. Also, the tie ins with MI continue. That's going to be a fun run to watch to see how much of a halo it has from TGM goodwill, which Paramount is clearly capitalizing here as well. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ujdJf7nnCM
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Mon Dec 19, 2022 2:55 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3179
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
He is probably our last classical Movie Star.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Mon Dec 19, 2022 3:41 am |
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rftapeout
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm Posts: 103
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I came here too late to vote. I wanted to see how Avatar 2 did in China despite Covid shutdowns. Even with China's problems, a global first weekend (including some shows on Wednesday) of $441 million clearly hints that world wide box office will go over $1.5 billion. However Tom Cruise will win the domestic box office over Avatar 2. The length of the movie (about 1/2 hour longer than the original Avatar) doesn't help Avatar 2's prospects and the fact that Top Gun 2 had the whole summer of kids away from school versus Avatar 2 only having part of January hurts Avatar 2's weekday box office.
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Mon Dec 19, 2022 2:26 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: Avatar 2 vs. Top Gun Maverick
I feel quite comfortable after seeing the Monday to say that TGM has domestic in the bag in all likelihood.
International is a toss up with Avatar as the favorite but it's not a 100% lock either yet.
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Tue Dec 20, 2022 1:52 pm |
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