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 January 24-26 Predictions 

Can Flight Risk open to 15m?
yes 20%  20%  [ 1 ]
No 80%  80%  [ 4 ]
Total votes : 5

 January 24-26 Predictions 
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Hold the door!

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Post January 24-26 Predictions
Flight Risk- 17
Presence- 4
Brave the Dark- 4
The Colors Within- 2

I've seen no marketing for Presence, assuming its not a horror breakout that I'm missing?


Fri Jan 17, 2025 10:57 am
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Keeping it Light
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Flight Risk- 12
Presence- 6
Brave the Dark- 2
The Colors Within- 1


Fri Jan 17, 2025 12:31 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Soderbergh needs to get in on an Oceans movie again or make another franchise movie instead of random Lucy Liu horror.

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Fri Jan 17, 2025 1:44 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Shack wrote:
Soderbergh needs to get in on an Oceans movie again or make another franchise movie instead of random Lucy Liu horror.


Black Bag is also him and looks good.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 2:26 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
It's unfortunate because I believe 'Presence' could have had a killer opening weekend under the right circumstances. With a great marketing campaign, I think the first weekend of January could have brought in $20-30 million. While I think it would have quickly sunk due to audience reception, it could have had a strong start. Now, I only see a single-digit opening. Maybe their initial plan to platform it the weekend before going wide would have helped a bit to build buzz.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 3:30 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
I was thinking $12m for Flight Risk.

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Fri Jan 17, 2025 3:36 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Flight Risk looked like it could do decent a few weeks ago, but its presales have just stagnated recently


Fri Jan 17, 2025 7:07 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
It's unfortunate because I believe 'Presence' could have had a killer opening weekend under the right circumstances. With a great marketing campaign, I think the first weekend of January could have brought in $20-30 million. While I think it would have quickly sunk due to audience reception, it could have had a strong start. Now, I only see a single-digit opening. Maybe their initial plan to platform it the weekend before going wide would have helped a bit to build buzz.


100% the premise lends itself to a large OW. I think theyve dropped the ball here with the release and marketing.

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Fri Jan 17, 2025 8:31 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
It's so strange. They could have used some of the Longlegs money to advertise Presence :P. I feel like they're going to spend more to advertise Perkins' next film, The Monkey, even though I think Presence had more potential to be a hit. Now, I think The Monkey will make more money, but only because they're not promoting Presence enough. The Monkey seems fun, but I believe the title and premise might come off as too goofy to audiences.


Fri Jan 17, 2025 11:49 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
The Monkey is hype. One of the best posters of recent films. I hope it can open to $20M like LL did.

This weekend - meh. Both Gibson and Soderburgh have made great films ... but not in the last ten years for Sodes (Side Effects) and its been almost 20 for Mel (Apocalypto.) The Brutalist needs to make a huge push this weekend. 2000+ theaters, no more messing around. One Of Them Days should expand another few hundred too. And Flow cause I really wanna see it again on the big screen.

Flight Risk - $10m
Presence - $3m
Brave the Dark - $1.5m in real tickets. Maybe more if Angel goes Angel.

I dunno what The Colors Within is.


Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:13 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
I loved Hacksaw Ridge.

The colors within is an anime


Sat Jan 18, 2025 1:05 am
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
I think they needed more of a male hero than Topher to go toe to toe with heel Wahlberg.

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Sat Jan 18, 2025 4:39 am
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Mel threw in, hell, he almost invented the Faith crowd, if he released something with Angel Studios he could potentially have another blockbuster. But he still wants to be part of mainstream Hollywood, and Hollywood doesn't want to outright cancel an icon, especially since he always seems to have a comeback up his sleeve...but they also want to keep a safe distance, just in case he has another meldown (which he kind of just did) and so the movie is in a bit of a publiciy limbo.


Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:31 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
My theater is getting rid of all of the Oscar movies that expanded last weekend. :roll: Such a waste that they didn't actually get to take advantage of the Oscar nominations on Thursday.


Tue Jan 21, 2025 5:07 am
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Better Man is wrapping up its theatrical run today with a total under $2M. :funny:


Fri Jan 24, 2025 3:23 am
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now we know
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Shack wrote:
Soderbergh needs to get in on an Oceans movie again or make another franchise movie instead of random Lucy Liu horror.


I disagree here. While another Ocean's movie is a mouth watering prospect, he is making good films on a shoestring budget and so he doesn't need to go back to that well. It's not his fault the studio hasn't marketed Presence. Though I will say it's maybe a tad hard to market the film. Films like A Ghost Story were met with the same problem. They're not as marketable as found-footage horrors, so any Paranormal Activity parallels probably aren't valid.

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Fri Jan 24, 2025 5:51 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Apparently David Lietch will be directing Ocean’s 14 or is in talks to do so.

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Fri Jan 24, 2025 7:19 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Flight Risk with just under $1M previews heading for ~$9M weekend. Can it beat Mufasa?


Fri Jan 24, 2025 1:40 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
One day, the DTV reaper will come for Wahlberg. Has his time come.

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Fri Jan 24, 2025 1:55 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
$4.4M off of those weak previews is actually good? Though this movie probably should have released next weekend. Can't imagine too many dudebros are gonna be going to the movies on Sunday with the Chiefs vs Bills game on.


Sat Jan 25, 2025 5:22 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Wouldn't have expected One of These Days to make 8 million its 2nd weekend a few weeks ago

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Sun Jan 26, 2025 11:59 am
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
$14M budget and could be heading for $40M+. Add in Sza is joining the Superbowl half time show and maybe it can get a nice hold with Valentines Day, and Feb. long weekend. Already a solid hit for 2025.


Last edited by O on Sun Jan 26, 2025 3:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 26, 2025 1:50 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
What a great hold for One of These Days. I hope it continues to leg out.


Sun Jan 26, 2025 2:51 pm
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Post Re: January 24-26 Predictions
Mufasa narrows the Sonic gap to $5M with a $3M gain this weekend. Let's see the Dog Man impact but perhaps it catches Sonic by the end of next weekend?


Sun Jan 26, 2025 3:56 pm
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