I made some early predictions for the summer. Make some summer predictions!

1 Deadpool and Wolverine $525M
2 Inside Out 2 $425M
3 Despicable Me 4 $360M
4 Furiosa $170M
5 Garfield $165M
6 Horizon Chapter 2 $155M

7 Twister 2 $145M
8 Bad Boys 4 $140M
9 Planet Of The Apes $135M
10 The Fall Guy $130M
11 IF $125M
12 Horizon Chapter 1 $120M

1. Inside Out 2 500m
2. Deadpool and Wolverine 350m
3. Despicable Me 4 300m
4. Bad Boys 4 200m
5. Garfield 180m
6. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes 160m
7. The Fall Guy 150m
8. A Quiet Place Day 1 120m
9. Furiosa 110m
10. Horizon An American Saga Chapter 1 105m

Don't see anything going over $500M until Joker. Hope to be wrong though.

$400M+- Deadpool 3, Despicable Me 4
$300M+ - Inside Out 2
~$200M - Garfield, Furiosa, Twisters
$150-180M - Horizon, Fall Guy, Quiet Place

Meh - Apes, If, Alien, Bad Boys
Flops - Purple Crayon, Kraven, Strangers
Surprise- The Watchers > Trap

Deadpool and Wolverine $325M
Inside Out 2 $300M
Despicable Me 4 $285M
The Fall Guy $160M
Twister 2 $135M
Planet Of The Apes $130M
Bad Boys 4 $125M
Furiosa $120M
Horizon Chapter 1 $115M
Garfield $100M
IF $90M
Horizon Chapter 2 $85M

I'm gonna say GarFuriosa weekend is the winner after disaster May to that point and Bad Boys 4 does pretty good since people want to see Will back in action. Then Twisters and Deadpool both play through August.

1 Deadpool and Wolverine 380 mil
2 Despicable Me 4 - 260 mil
3 Furiosa - 250 mil
4 Twisters 240 mil
5 The Garfield Movie - 230 mil
6 Inside Out 2 220 mil
7 Bad Boys 4 - 200 mil
Planet of the Apes - 120 mil
A Quiet Place Day 1 - 110 mil
The Fall Guy - 90 mil
IF 70 mil sadly since I drafted it
Horizons - BOMB

Yeah, it's Deadpool vs Inside Out. I think if the next trailer hits Deadpool will do low 400s like Multiverse of Madness. Only reason Inside Out might do sub-350m is people trained to wait for D+.

Here are my 2003-level grosses, lol:

1. Deadpool and Wolverine $335m
2. Despicable Me 4 $295m
3. Garfield $236m
4. Inside Out 2 $216m
5. Bad Boys 4 $150m
6. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes $144m
7. A Quiet Place Day One $125m
8. IF $111m
9. The Fall Guy $105m
10. Furiosa $102m
11. Twisters $85m

Horizon Chapter 1 $35m
Horizon Chapter 2 $25m

It will be the first time in 6 years we've had a sequel to an annual winner for a year (since BP/WF). It feels like ages ago and of course has an asterisk but Bad Boys 3 won the year 2020 box office wise.

For a follow up to a $206M performing film (with great legs) could very well have done $250M this go around but TBD how much the Oscars impact his appeal to general moviegoers outside his fanbase.

Still feels like it could really surprise given lower expectations.

I think Bad Boys has peaked and will drop from the previous. Especially after Smith's slapping incident.

Twisters will be the biggest flop of the summer for sure.

IF I think will also tank but not as badly.

Yeah, I'm not feeling Twisters even though many are bullish about it.

IF looks like a missed opportunity.

Daughter defeats dad... interesting.

Yeah they can't really do a promo tour for this movie without it becoming all about the Chris Rock incident. I think Will should have made a self-defecating comedy before returning to his roots.

Agreed. A bit of a pallet cleanser and a chance to get himself back on-side. This will be interesting to track.

I think an actioner is still better than a comedy for him. I feel like an ID4 sequel will happen with him now sometime since his career needs it.

Garfield already debuted to $22.0M internationally (from 18 markets). Promising so far for its domestic run. Seems the floor on this now could be $250M+. Mexico opening was huge!

1. Deadpool and Wolverine $370m
2. Despicable Me 4 $320m
3. Garfield $220m
4. Inside Out 2 $315m
5. Twisters $200m
6. Horizon Pt 1 $160m
7. Horizon Pt 1 $152m
8. Bad Boys 4 $150m
9. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes $145m
10. A Quiet Place Day One $138m

oh boy already off to a bad start

It’s looking like:

1. Inside Out 2
2. Deadpool & Wolverine
3. Despicable Me 4
4. Twisters
5. Bad Boys: Ride or Die
6. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
7. A Quiet Place: Day One
8. IF
9. Borderlands
10. The Fall Guy

GarFuriosa weekend was not the winner.

My predictions were pretty good ... if you remove all the movies that came out in May and the first half of June.

How did KJ convince me that garfield would be big??

What was i thinking about Horizon???

Furiosa ending up one of the biggest bombs of all-time lol

I'm pretty happy with my predictions. Sure, there was some wrong ones. WAY wrong. But there were more right than wrong. I was correct that the Horizon's would flop. Bad Boys: Ride or Die, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, and A Quiet Place: Day One were more-or-less in the ballpark, in spirit. IF was bang on, down to the million. The Fall Guy wasn't far off. I was right, in essence, that Furiosa wouldn't be huge. Not even I could predict just how badly it would do, but at least I didn't go wild like Flava or Shack. I was right, too, if Deadpool & Wolverine wins the summer - it's in a good position to do so. But the predicted gross is obviously going to be way off. Despicable Me 4 prediction is not going to be too far away, but sure, still wrong. Inside Out 2, yes, embarrassing. As is Garfield and Twisters. But overall I can take confidence from my predictions.

Trap has a shot to pass Free guy. Borderlands is a wildcard, seems like a really bad Guardians knock off. Could open to 40 million just as easily as finish with 40.