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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: December predictions
Yeah the Star Wars universe is addictive. The Last Jedi backlash is as bad as it will ever get. People were willing to skip Solo because who ever really cared about Solo? But they aren't skipping Episode 9 just because there is a girl driving the Millenium Falcon. They'll bitch when she eventually defeats Kylo Ren, but they'll still happily give up their money.
I'm feeling the hype now. $220M opening.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Thu Dec 05, 2019 9:03 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: December predictions
Solo always felt like a bad idea. Just like the Obi Wan or Bobba stand alones.
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Fri Dec 06, 2019 12:52 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34989 Location: Minnesota
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Re: December predictions
Shack wrote: I spent a minute trying to figure out what NBA player Marcus Smart had to do with Playmobil My predictions for the weekend of the 13th. Jumanji: The Next Level - 40.8 Million Black Christmas - 12.5 Million Richard Jewell - 9.28 Million
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Fri Dec 06, 2019 2:46 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21777 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: December predictions
Really only 40 for Jumanji, I think it has 55+ locked up this point.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sat Dec 07, 2019 12:06 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34989 Location: Minnesota
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Re: December predictions
Thegun wrote: Really only 40 for Jumanji, I think it has 55+ locked up this point. I think it will be in it for the long haul but people might not be in a rush to see it. It certainly won't come close to reaching the heights of the first. You might be right though. I believe tracking is 40-60 Million opening weekend.
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Sat Dec 07, 2019 1:17 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: December predictions
I don't feel Jumanji will open big. Might even open in the 30s but play decent through January.
It looks like Jumanii isn't going to do too well in China, opened there already.
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Sat Dec 07, 2019 2:07 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: December predictions
Man Next Level is looking to drop big from the first one if the early numbers are any indication. I can't say I'm all that surprised though since this never seemed like it had franchise potential. Just like the first It movie it was mostly a lightening in a bottle type success, although both movies will likely still end up being hugely profitable for their respective studios since the budgets weren't too high and the less than saturated marketing campaigns.
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Sat Dec 07, 2019 6:32 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: December predictions
Jumanji reviews are better than I was expecting. Still seeing an opening in the 30s though.
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Tue Dec 10, 2019 8:29 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14923 Location: Everywhere
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Re: December predictions
The Rise of Skywalker - 540 Jumanji - 290 Cats - 110 Little Women - 90 Spies in Disguise - 90 1917 - 75 Richard Jewell - 70 Bombshell - 60
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Tue Dec 10, 2019 8:51 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36928
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Re: December predictions
Jumanji was released here last week and after watching it I wouldn't be surprised to see another great run from it. The movie is similar yet different with more action and maintaining the fun adventure vibes. With early positive reviews it should hold VERY well throughout Christmas once the WoM spreads.
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Tue Dec 10, 2019 9:40 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: December predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: Jumanji was released here last week and after watching it I wouldn't be surprised to see another great run from it. The movie is similar yet different with more action and maintaining the fun adventure vibes. With early positive reviews it should hold VERY well throughout Christmas once the WoM spreads. About what I was expecting after seeing the first trailer. The concept still works; the role playing is still fun and fresh to many.
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Wed Dec 11, 2019 1:29 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: December predictions
Jumanj 4pm was only about 15-20% full. Movie was just OK.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Thu Dec 12, 2019 8:38 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: December predictions
The Rise of Skywalker - 650 Jumanji - 260 Spies in Disguise - 110 1917 - 95 Little Women - 90 Cats - 75 Richard Jewell - 65 Bombshell - 55 Black Christmas - 30
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:15 am |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1851
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Re: December predictions
The Rise of Skywalker - 444 Jumanji - 238 Spies in Disguise - 70 Little Women - 110 Cats - 165 Richard Jewell - 70 Bombshell - 54 Black Christmas - ??
_________________ how am I not myself?
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:57 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34989 Location: Minnesota
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Re: December predictions
My predictions for the weekend:
1. JUMANJI: NEXT LEVEL - 43.79 MILLION (New) 2. FROZEN II - 20.396 MILLION (-42%) 3. RICHARD JEWELL - 8.282 MILLION (New) 4. KNIVES OUT - 9.24 MILLION (-35%) 5. BLACK CHRISTMAS - 8.7 MILLION (New) 6. FORD V FERRARI - 4.392 MILLION (-34%) 7. QUEEN & SLIM - 4.118 MILLION (-38%) 8. A BEAUTIFUL DAY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD - 3.12 MILLION (-40%) 9. DARK WATERS - 2.157 MILLION (-46%) 10. 21 BRIDGES - 1.518 MILLION (-47%) 11. MIDWAY - 1.005 MILLION (-48%) 12. PLAYING WITH FIRE - $955,683 (-53%) 13. JOKER - $707,833 (-30%)
Ended up lowering Black Christmas. Thursday night shows here were not well-attended. Now maybe it will rebound on Friday since it's Friday the 13th and that's played up big time in the ads. But I'm no longer thinking it will break double digits.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 3:45 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: December predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Richard Jewell - 70 Lol
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Sun Dec 15, 2019 6:53 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: December predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Richard Jewell - 70 Lol I'll raise you a double lol MadGez wrote: Richard Jewell - 90
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Sun Dec 15, 2019 6:56 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: December predictions
How bad will the RT score be for Cats? Given the embargo, I'm going with 40%.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 12:53 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: December predictions
See Rise of Skywalker at 190s for the weekend.
Cats I'm guessing around 12-14.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 12:56 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: December predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote: How bad will the RT score be for Cats? Given the embargo, I'm going with 40%. Cats has almost no plot, it was popular mainly because of the special effects and costumes and songs. So it could go either way, depending on if they judge it based on what it’s going for or if they think the lack of strong plot is a problem. Probably won’t go over 70% range though.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 1:11 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34989 Location: Minnesota
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Re: December predictions
zwackerm wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: How bad will the RT score be for Cats? Given the embargo, I'm going with 40%. Cats has almost no plot, it was popular mainly because of the special effects and costumes and songs. So it could go either way, depending on if they judge it based on what it’s going for or if they think the lack of strong plot is a problem. Probably won’t go over 70% range though. Even close to 70% for a movie they just completed Monday morning would be amazing. I don't really know if they could successfully make this into a movie. Sounds better set for the stage.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 1:16 pm |
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dandeak2000
Angels & Demons
Joined: Mon May 15, 2017 11:56 am Posts: 271
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Re: December predictions
20th - 22nd December 2019 Predictions (TOP 5)
1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $205M 2. Jumanji: The Next Level $24.9M (-58%)/$101.5M 3. Cats $12.5M 4. Frozen II $10.1M (-47%)/$383.6M 5. Bombshell $6M/$6.4M
27th - 29th December 2019 Predictions (TOP 7)
1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $102.5M (-50%)/$377.5M 2. Jumanji: The Next Level $29.9M (+20%)/$151.4M 3. Little Women $25M/$35M 4. Spies in Disguise $17.5M/$25M 5. Cats $11.3M (-10%)/$31.1M 6. Frozen II $11.1M (+10%)/$401.7M 7. Uncut Gems $5M/$6.5M
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 6:59 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: December predictions
Really curious to see how these reviews affect TROS OW. It shouldn't be by much, but I really doubt it's crossing $200M now. I got no idea what to expect from Cats either, but mid teens sounds about right.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 7:03 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: December predictions
Cats is at a whopping 8% on RT.
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 8:36 pm |
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dandeak2000
Angels & Demons
Joined: Mon May 15, 2017 11:56 am Posts: 271
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Re: December predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote: Cats is at a whopping 8% on RT. Up to 15% with 35 reviews now! The average score is terrible at 3.69/10! Probably looking at an overall score of around 20%
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Wed Dec 18, 2019 8:56 pm |
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