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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38148
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Best Picture 2020
Predictions
Once Upon A Time... in Hollywood Marriage Story The Irishman 1917 Parasite JoJo Rabbit The Farewell A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood The Two Popes
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Sep 30, 2019 12:49 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38148
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Re: Best Picture 2020
I get the impression Irishman is film critics appreciate more than it is fun to watch, especially at 3.5 hours long. I have heard it compared to Silence but a gangster film.
I'm warming up to chance of Marriage Story win. The more I read of it the more it seems like Baumbach was willing to bend the knee and have some traditional Oscar bait moments, Laura Dern giving a speech about how women are mistreated in society, etc. compared to some of his icier and uncompromising movies.
Edit - Now that I read more I'm thinking Marriage Story will fail. I heard everyone in it is a bad person.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Oct 05, 2019 5:39 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22704 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Early reactions to 1917 are glowing. We have a major contender here.
Favourites for BP at the moment...
Once Upon A Time... in Hollywood The Irishman Marriage Story 1917 Parasite Ford V Ferrari
Others with a chance
Bombshell Richard Jewel The Farewell A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
I think Once has a better shot than Irishman to be honest.
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 10:01 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6148 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Little Women has 98% on RT.
At this point, I see the nominees being:
- Ford V Ferrari - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 1917 - Little Women - The Irishman - Marriage Story - Parasite - Jojo Rabbit
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Sat Nov 30, 2019 3:19 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Best Picture 2020
So Joker's out?
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Sun Dec 01, 2019 10:43 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Joker was never in if you ask me though I do think a lot of people will be disappointed when its not nominated for BP. I think Endgame might have a better chance to sneak in than Joker just to give Marvel some sort of recognition.
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Sun Dec 01, 2019 11:17 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18905 Location: San Diego
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Joker has a better chance than Endgame imo. It's not out, let's see how Golden Globes goes.
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Mon Dec 02, 2019 12:05 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18905 Location: San Diego
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Magnus wrote: Lol why the hell are y’all thinking JoJo is getting a nod It won the Toronto audience award over Marriage Story and Parasite. Not saying that's a huge precursor but all of the recent films that won that went on to a BP nomination.
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Mon Dec 02, 2019 12:06 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
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Re: Best Picture 2020
The movie that wins Best Actor usually gets a picture nomination. Crazy Heart is the only one that hasn't since the expansion in 2009. Not sure which one of the eight Barabas listed would fall out though.
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Mon Dec 02, 2019 1:16 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Best Picture 2020
I think it would be funny if Joker got nominated and Endgame didn't.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Dec 02, 2019 10:45 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Hopefully neither gets nominated but Endgame is a better film regardless.
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Mon Dec 02, 2019 12:03 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Well Endgame has no chance. It came out way too long ago. Oscar voters are all about celebrating movies they’ve seen over the past week.
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Mon Dec 02, 2019 12:17 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38148
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Magnus wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Magnus wrote: Lol why the hell are y’all thinking JoJo is getting a nod It won the Toronto audience award over Marriage Story and Parasite. Not saying that's a huge precursor but all of the recent films that won that went on to a BP nomination. That's the only precursor to use. It pretty much has failed in every other category for one to think it will get a BP nod. Sure, it'll probably get in at GG cause of the comedy category but Oscars is not happening. I believe it's a close race between JoJo and Two Popes for what appeals to Green Book voters the most
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Dec 03, 2019 3:52 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22704 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Jojo and Two Popes aren't getting in.
_________________
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Tue Dec 03, 2019 8:32 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22704 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Irishman being the early front runner will backfire (like for most front runners of late). Plus any remaining Netflix stigma or manufactured outrage will only further hurt it.
With QT looking good for BD - there is a solid chance OUATIH gets both BP and BD (but at least BD).
_________________
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Wed Dec 04, 2019 11:34 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11022 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Joker is performing very well in big time awards and seems to have the support of the SGA. It is getting nominated for sure.
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Wed Dec 11, 2019 1:53 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18905 Location: San Diego
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Little Women's ommission so far is interesting, especially since Gerwig seems like the only viable female director nom. If she doesn't get nominated for DGA then it's probably done.
Likely lineup is: 1917 The Irishmen Jojo Rabbit Joker Marriage Story Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood Parasite
And then 1-2 of the following: Knives Out Ford v Ferrari Little Women Bombshell
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Wed Dec 11, 2019 4:04 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18905 Location: San Diego
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Re: Best Picture 2020
This might be the best bunch of BP nominees in awhile actually.
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Wed Dec 11, 2019 4:26 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11022 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Best Picture 2020
publicenemy#1 wrote: This might be the best bunch of BP nominees in awhile actually. Agreed
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Wed Dec 11, 2019 4:48 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22704 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Best Picture 2020
publicenemy#1 wrote: This might be the best bunch of BP nominees in awhile actually. Yeah - its a bumper crop. Looking back at the last decade, the nominees for each year are actually damn good. It's the winners that leave a lot to be desired.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:57 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11022 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Best Picture 2020
I actually care about the nominees this year
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 3:07 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23858 Location: Classified
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Re: Best Picture 2020
Predictions before the rest of the guilds release: 1917 The Irishman Joker Knives Out Little Women Marriage Story Once Upon A Time In Hollywood Parasite Jojo gets snubbed ( ) as does Bombshell and Les Mans 66. If there is a ninth nominee then Jojo is back in. Avengers Endgame is the real Best Picture and will miss here because of stupid Joker, but get some random big tech nomination that we wouldn't have expected like Editing.
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Sun Dec 29, 2019 4:25 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6148 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Best Picture 2020
My predictions atm, in order of likeliness:
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Parasite The Irishman Marriage Story Little Women 1917 Knives Out Jojo Rabbit
_________________ .
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Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:53 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22704 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Best Picture 2020
We are now down to 3 real contenders - Hollywood, Parasite and 1917.
And whichever wins BP - we’ll get a Different film winning BD.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Mon Jan 06, 2020 9:00 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20382 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Best Picture 2020
This is gonna be a year where audiences will have actually seen the nominated films, with 2 being on Netflix, and 1917, Joker, Knives Out and Little Women likely all crossing 100m domestic. Only Parasite and Jojo Rabbit look to maybe be nominated without being much seen,
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Mon Jan 06, 2020 11:24 am |
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