Predictions

Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon A Time... in Hollywood
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
Antonio Banderas, Pain & Glory

DeNiro is getting nominated. And I believe RDJ will too. This will be a very tough and unpredictable category.

Disney doesn't seem to be campaigning for RDJ.

https://www.slashfilm.com/avengers-endg ... ideration/

Yeah I don’t understand that. RDJ was probably out now, mostly because of Jaquin, but they had eleven years of history to play with during the campaign and it was definitely their best chance at a major category. He also got really skinny for that one part and the oscars love that shit.

He was probably never getting in anyways, but RDJ also screams "wouldn't give a shit about campaigning for awards". Maybe in supporting actor (but that category is solid this year too)

Wonder if Eddie Murphy can sneak in, he is getting a lot of praise for Dolmite.

Taron Egerton has to get in, right?

He would normally but I think this year is stupidly stacked, the #4 guy (Pryce) could've been a winner in other years I think, #5 is probably Banderas (I think they will want to nominate him as super classy guy in career best performance and having never been nominated) or De Niro (in a very strong BP film and looks like his best role in a while)

The biggest thing holding Taron back will be... Rami winning last year.

True, I wholly expect a BAFTA win for him, should at least be nominee #5

Adam Driver, Joaquin Phoenix and Leo seem like safe bets.

Taron Egerton was so good in Rocketman, I hope he gets a nom but yeah, seems like a competitive year.

Taron better get nominated, Elton John seems to be campaigning hard for him, he absolutely deserves it.

I think Taron could win Comedy/Musical Actor at the Globes and maybe that could give him a push. He absolutely deserves a nomination, and he blew Rami Malek out of the water lol.

I think Eddie Murphy has a pretty good shot at a nomination. It’s the exact type of biopic role these people eat up.

This X 100

Ando him being the second highest guy alive helps, quite a lot

Joaquin Phoenix, Joker feels like its almost a lock at this point. So universally embraced by audiences and critics.

Yeah Phoenix is a huge front runner. There’s have to be some big backlash to occur to stop hkm.

I prefer Bale or Damon over Phoenix

In the most recent Irishman trailer De Niro has a "I wasn't a good father" scene. No way he misses a nomination after that.

Kind of hilarious that 3-4 nominees this year would have all probably won last year.

I think because it’s so strong it makes Phoenix a stronger lock as his performance will be the most well known. And the fact that he’s never won despite being recognized as a brilliant actor will help.

Hmm... De Niro can win this

Joaquin is winning.

I feel more confident in predicting a Phoenix win than I do in predicting 4 of the 5 nominees. My current power rankings are:

1. Phoenix
2. DeNiro
3. Banderas
4. Leo
5. Sandler
6. Pryce
7. Driver
8. Egerton

but everyone outside the Phoenix/De Niro (who are the only locks imo) could basically be shuffled to any other position.

Yeah I don't see how Phoenix loses. Even people who hated the film praise him. The ONLY thing that may hold him back is that Ledger won it for the same role.

Way too low on Driver. He is still a potential winner. I think Sandler is also a long shot right now, he is kind of Ethan Hawke of this year where critics will go for Uncut Gems but it still feels like a no nomination movie

And is that Pitt for Ad Astra? Nah. Or did you mean to write DiCaprio

Paul Walter Hauser is a sleeper