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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18890 Location: San Diego
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June 21-23 predictions
Toy Story 4 - 4,400 Child's Play - 2,500+ Anna - 2,150
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Sat Jun 15, 2019 11:43 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18890 Location: San Diego
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Was thinking TS4 would open with less than 150m but fuck it.
Toy Story 4 - 177 Child's Play - 11 Anna - 3
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Sat Jun 15, 2019 11:45 am |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am Posts: 1742 Location: Calisota
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
I still doubt TS4 will translate those record presales in record OW. 140M.
Hoping for Anna to pull some good numbers, but that seems totally unlikely.
_________________
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Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:57 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23814 Location: Classified
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
There was no almost difference between the ads for Toy Story and Secret Life of Pets during the NBA finals. Our characters go somewhere unfamilar, with a western vibe, meet some kooky new characters and neither seems to have much of an overall story arc.
The reviews are great and Pixar brand loyalty is higher than ever, but the marketing for this movie has given us no reason to see it beyond the title. That has to count for something right?
Incredibles was a long awaited sequel that picked up right after the first movie's cliffhanger and had Jack-Jack, which is as great of a marketing tool as there is.
Once again, I very much hope I am eating crow on Friday afternoon. The box office needs a huge boost ($350M aint enough to save this June) and I would rather see another Pixar success than be right.
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Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:08 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
TS4 will make a lot. Don't have a prediction yet though. But Child's Play I'm thinking 11 Million and Anna 3-4.
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Sun Jun 16, 2019 8:46 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Toy Story 4 - 170 Child's Play - 15 Anna - 3
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Sun Jun 16, 2019 10:36 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20363 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
I think it opens a decent bit under Incredibles 2, around 160m. Which is still amazing considering 3 only adjusts to 126m opening with a far higher 3-D share.
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Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:12 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22690 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Toy Story 4 - 169 Child's Play - 12 Anna - 3
The BO wasteland will only help TS4 even more.
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Sun Jun 16, 2019 11:56 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
1. TOY STORY 4 - 165 MILLION (New) 2. ALADDIN - 14.366 MILLION (-17%) 3. CHILD'S PLAY - 13.9 MILLION (New) 4. MEN IN BLACK: INTERNATIONAL - 12.915 MILLION (-57%) 5. SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2 - 8.542 MILLION (-65%) 6. ROCKETMAN - 5.65 MILLION (-40%) 7. SHAFT - 4.361 MILLION (-51%) 8. JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 - PARABELLUM - 4.224 MILLION (-34%) 9. GODZILLA: KING OF MONSTERS - 4.042 MILLION (-54%) 10. DARK PHOENIX - 3.554 MILLION (-62%) 11. LATE NIGHT - 3.468 MILLION (-34%) 12. ANNA - 2.986 MILLION (New) 13. AVENGERS: ENDGAME - 2.272 MILLION (-39%)
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Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:53 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm Posts: 6145 Location: New York
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
People in the pre-sale tracking thread on BOT have me second-guessing a breakout for TS4, but here's hoping they're wrong.
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Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:32 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32108 Location: the last free city
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Jiffy wrote: People in the pre-sale tracking thread on BOT have me second-guessing a breakout for TS4, but here's hoping they're wrong. What are they saying?
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:46 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6171
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Jiffy wrote: People in the pre-sale tracking thread on BOT have me second-guessing a breakout for TS4, but here's hoping they're wrong. No. They are discounting ridiculous 200m prediction from Deadline. Deep Wang’s number for MTC is really promising and that is still putting us for 150m without taking into account that TS4 should be less PS heavy than Incredibles 2. Even review/reactions are way more glowing. of course there are trolls around who would even predict TS4 to flop :-)
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Jun 20, 2019 3:02 pm |
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j_forest23
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Aug 05, 2016 4:16 pm Posts: 386
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Hope Anna does well, looks like a blast
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Thu Jun 20, 2019 6:04 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
That $200M projection from Deadline always seemed like a bit of a stretch for TS4 IMO. Everything seems to still be pointing to it opening pretty comfortably over FD though, and that alone would make it a huge success.
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Thu Jun 20, 2019 8:01 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm Posts: 6145 Location: New York
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Re: June 21-23 predictions
Dil wrote: That $200M projection from Deadline always seemed like a bit of a stretch for TS4 IMO. Everything seems to still be pointing to it opening pretty comfortably over FD though, and that alone would make it a huge success. I never bought $200m but $160m did seem conceivable.
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Fri Jun 21, 2019 9:07 pm |
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